All Symbols
AAPL
16 runs · 2025-04-10 → 2026-07-24
Best Return
+9.7%
Best Alpha
+7.4pp
LLM Accuracy
56.1%
Total Runs
16
Alpha is the LLM strategy's return minus the buy-&-hold (B&H) return over the same period — how much the model beat simply holding the stock. +101.5 pp means the strategy outperformed buy-&-hold by 101.5 percentage points (pp = percentage points).
Next Trading Day Prediction
BUY
Predicted for: 2026-07-27UPConfidence: 80%
Last close: $333.02
No reason to sell yet, so stay invested in the long position.
Portfolio Summary
Starting Fund
$10,000.00
Initial Capital
Current Fund
$18,321.03
as of 2026-07-24
Total Gain / Loss
$8,321.03
+83.2%
Current Position
● LONG HOLDINGEntry $308.63 · 55.0148 sharesOpen P&L: $1,341.81
Performance by Month
(latest 6)| Month | Start | End | Return | B&H | Alpha | Trades | Win% | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2026 | $16,979.22 | $18,321.03 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Jun 2026 | $16,979.22 | $16,979.22 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| May 2026 | $14,821.66 | $16,979.22 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Apr 2026 | $13,963.00 | $14,821.66 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Mar 2026 | $13,963.00 | $13,963.00 | +0.0% | -3.8% | +3.8pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Feb 2026 | $13,226.28 | $13,963.00 | +5.6% | -1.9% | +7.4pp | 1 | 100% | Completed |
Prediction Accuracy by Model
| Evaluated | Accuracy | BUY Acc. | SELL Acc. | SHORT Acc. | COVER Acc. | WAITs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 98 | 56.1% | 55.6% | 40.0% | 100.0% | — | 143 |
| 11 | 54.5% | 54.5% | — | — | — | 29 |
| 10 | 50.0% | 50.0% | — | — | — | 11 |
Period Summaries
(all runs combined)| Period | Days | Start | End | P&L | Return | Alpha | Trades | Win% | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-Q3 | 1 | $16,979.22 | $16,979.22 | $0.00 | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | — | 0.0% vs0.0% |
| 2026-Q2 | 2 | $16,841.57 | $16,979.22 | $137.65 | +0.8% | +0.8pp | 0 | — | 0.8% vs0.0% |
| 2026-Q1 | 61 | $13,242.92 | $13,963.00 | $720.08 | +5.4% | +11.7pp | 2 | 100% | 5.4% vs-6.3% |
| 2025-Q4 | 64 | $12,669.96 | $13,242.92 | $572.96 | +4.5% | -2.0pp | 1 | 100% | 4.5% vs6.5% |
| 2025-Q3 | 64 | $10,400.67 | $12,669.96 | $2,269.29 | +21.8% | -0.8pp | 4 | 75% | 21.8% vs22.7% |
| 2025-Q2 | 55 | $10,000.00 | $10,400.67 | $400.67 | +4.0% | -3.9pp | 1 | 100% | 4.0% vs7.9% |
| Date | Close | Rec | Trade Action | Trade P&L | Unrealized | Portfolio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $333.02 | BUY | HOLD | — | $1,341.81 | $18,321.03 |
| 2026-07-23 | $321.66 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $716.84 | $17,696.06 |
| 2026-07-22 | $325.89 | BUY | HOLD | — | $949.56 | $17,928.78 |
| 2026-07-21 | $327.74 | BUY | HOLD | — | $1,051.33 | $18,030.55 |
| 2026-07-20 | $326.59 | BUY | HOLD | — | $988.07 | $17,967.29 |
| 2026-07-17 | $333.74 | BUY | HOLD | — | $1,381.42 | $18,360.64 |
| 2026-07-16 | $333.26 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $1,355.01 | $18,334.23 |
| 2026-07-15 | $327.50 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $1,038.13 | $18,017.35 |
| 2026-07-14 | $314.86 | BUY | HOLD | — | $342.74 | $17,321.96 |
| 2026-07-13 | $317.31 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $477.53 | $17,456.75 |
| 2026-07-10 | $315.32 | BUY | HOLD | — | $368.05 | $17,347.27 |
| 2026-07-09 | $316.17 | BUY | HOLD | — | $414.81 | $17,394.03 |
| 2026-07-08 | $313.28 | BUY | HOLD | — | $255.82 | $17,235.04 |
| 2026-07-07 | $310.66 | BUY | HOLD | — | $111.68 | $17,090.90 |
| 2026-07-06 | $312.66 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $221.71 | $17,200.93 |
| 2026-07-02 | $308.63 | BUY | BUY | — | $0.00 | $16,979.22 |
| 2026-07-01 | $294.38 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,979.22 |
| 2026-06-30 | $289.36 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,979.22 |
| 2026-06-29 | $281.74 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,979.22 |
| 2026-06-26 | $283.78 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,979.22 |
| 2026-06-25 | $275.15 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,979.22 |
| 2026-06-24 | $293.17 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,979.22 |
| 2026-06-23 | $297.12 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,979.22 |
| 2026-06-22 | $297.01 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,979.22 |
| 2026-06-18 | $298.01 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,979.22 |
| 2026-06-17 | $295.88 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,979.22 |
| 2026-06-16 | $299.26 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,979.22 |
| 2026-06-15 | $296.42 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,979.22 |
| 2026-06-12 | $291.13 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,979.22 |
| 2026-06-11 | $295.63 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,979.22 |