All Symbols
AAPL
19 runs · 2025-04-10 → 2026-10-23
Best Return
+9.7%
Best Alpha
+7.4pp
LLM Accuracy
56.1%
Total Runs
19
Alpha is the LLM strategy's return minus the buy-&-hold (B&H) return over the same period — how much the model beat simply holding the stock. +101.5 pp means the strategy outperformed buy-&-hold by 101.5 percentage points (pp = percentage points).
Next Trading Day Prediction
WAIT
Predicted for: 2026-10-26UPConfidence: 90%
Last close: $347.73
No reason to sell right now, so stay in the position.
Portfolio Summary
Starting Fund
$10,000.00
Initial Capital
Current Fund
$17,452.13
as of 2026-10-23
Total Gain / Loss
$7,452.13
+74.5%
Current Position
● LONG HOLDINGEntry $340.42 · 50.1887 sharesOpen P&L: $366.88
Performance by Month
(latest 6)| Month | Start | End | Return | B&H | Alpha | Trades | Win% | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2026 | $17,224.90 | $17,452.13 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Sep 2026 | $16,543.78 | $17,224.90 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Aug 2026 | $16,994.62 | $16,543.78 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Jul 2026 | $16,979.22 | $16,994.62 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 1 | 0% | Completed |
| Jun 2026 | $16,979.22 | $16,979.22 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| May 2026 | $14,821.66 | $16,979.22 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
Prediction Accuracy by Model
| Evaluated | Accuracy | BUY Acc. | SELL Acc. | SHORT Acc. | COVER Acc. | WAITs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 98 | 56.1% | 55.6% | 40.0% | 100.0% | — | 143 |
| 10 | 50.0% | 50.0% | — | — | — | 11 |
| 33 | 48.5% | 48.5% | — | — | — | 72 |
Period Summaries
(all runs combined)| Period | Days | Start | End | P&L | Return | Alpha | Trades | Win% | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-Q4 | 1 | $17,224.90 | $17,054.21 | -$170.69 | -1.0% | -1.0pp | 0 | — | -1.0% vs0.0% |
| 2026-Q3 | 3 | $16,979.22 | $16,982.90 | $3.68 | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | — | 0.0% vs0.0% |
| 2026-Q2 | 2 | $16,841.57 | $16,979.22 | $137.65 | +0.8% | +0.8pp | 0 | — | 0.8% vs0.0% |
| 2026-Q1 | 61 | $13,242.92 | $13,963.00 | $720.08 | +5.4% | +11.7pp | 2 | 100% | 5.4% vs-6.3% |
| 2025-Q4 | 64 | $12,669.96 | $13,242.92 | $572.96 | +4.5% | -2.0pp | 1 | 100% | 4.5% vs6.5% |
| 2025-Q3 | 64 | $10,400.67 | $12,669.96 | $2,269.29 | +21.8% | -0.8pp | 4 | 75% | 21.8% vs22.7% |
| 2025-Q2 | 55 | $10,000.00 | $10,400.67 | $400.67 | +4.0% | -3.9pp | 1 | 100% | 4.0% vs7.9% |
| Date | Close | Rec | Trade Action | Trade P&L | Unrealized | Portfolio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-23 | $347.73 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $366.88 | $17,452.13 |
| 2026-10-22 | $348.22 | BUY | HOLD | — | $391.47 | $17,476.72 |
| 2026-10-21 | $343.99 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $179.17 | $17,264.42 |
| 2026-10-20 | $339.52 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$45.17 | $17,040.07 |
| 2026-10-19 | $342.94 | BUY | HOLD | — | $126.48 | $17,211.72 |
| 2026-10-16 | $343.46 | BUY | HOLD | — | $152.57 | $17,237.82 |
| 2026-10-15 | $341.90 | BUY | HOLD | — | $74.28 | $17,159.53 |
| 2026-10-14 | $343.23 | BUY | HOLD | — | $141.03 | $17,226.28 |
| 2026-10-13 | $341.30 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $43.92 | $17,129.16 |
| 2026-10-12 | $340.97 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $27.60 | $17,112.85 |
| 2026-10-09 | $336.64 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$189.71 | $16,895.53 |
| 2026-10-08 | $340.42 | BUY | BUY | — | $0.00 | $17,085.25 |
| 2026-10-07 | $336.67 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $17,085.25 |
| 2026-10-06 | $333.63 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $17,085.25 |
| 2026-10-05 | $332.89 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $17,085.25 |
| 2026-10-02 | $333.69 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $17,085.25 |
| 2026-10-01 | $330.32 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $109.14 | $17,085.25 |
| 2026-09-30 | $333.02 | BUY | HOLD | — | $248.79 | $17,224.90 |
| 2026-09-29 | $329.40 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $61.55 | $17,037.66 |
| 2026-09-28 | $338.40 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $527.06 | $17,503.17 |
| 2026-09-25 | $341.07 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $665.16 | $17,641.27 |
| 2026-09-24 | $335.92 | BUY | HOLD | — | $398.79 | $17,374.90 |
| 2026-09-23 | $337.02 | BUY | HOLD | — | $455.68 | $17,431.79 |
| 2026-09-22 | $339.75 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $596.89 | $17,573.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | $338.98 | BUY | HOLD | — | $557.06 | $17,533.17 |
| 2026-09-18 | $336.13 | BUY | HOLD | — | $409.65 | $17,385.76 |
| 2026-09-17 | $337.00 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $454.65 | $17,430.76 |
| 2026-09-16 | $332.41 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $217.24 | $17,193.35 |
| 2026-09-15 | $331.34 | BUY | HOLD | — | $161.89 | $17,138.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | $333.12 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $253.96 | $17,230.07 |