All Symbols
AAPL
13 runs · 2025-04-10 → 2026-04-24
Best Return
+9.7%
Best Alpha
+7.4pp
LLM Accuracy
52.6%
Total Runs
13
Alpha is the LLM strategy's return minus the buy-&-hold (B&H) return over the same period — how much the model beat simply holding the stock. +101.5 pp means the strategy outperformed buy-&-hold by 101.5 percentage points (pp = percentage points).
Next Trading Day Prediction
WAIT
Predicted for: 2026-04-27NEUTRALConfidence: 20%
Last close: $270.23
The short-term trend indicators aren't confirming an entry signal, so it's best to stay on the sidelines.
Portfolio Summary
Starting Fund
$10,000.00
Initial Capital
Current Fund
$14,383.48
as of 2026-04-24
Total Gain / Loss
$4,383.48
+43.8%
Current Position
● LONG HOLDINGEntry $266.43 · 53.0638 sharesOpen P&L: $245.69
Performance by Month
(latest 6)| Month | Start | End | Return | B&H | Alpha | Trades | Win% | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2026 | $13,963.00 | $14,383.48 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Mar 2026 | $13,963.00 | $13,963.00 | +0.0% | -3.8% | +3.8pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Feb 2026 | $13,226.28 | $13,963.00 | +5.6% | -1.9% | +7.4pp | 1 | 100% | Completed |
| Jan 2026 | $13,242.92 | $13,226.28 | -0.1% | -2.9% | +2.8pp | 1 | 100% | Completed |
| Dec 2025 | $13,583.24 | $13,242.92 | -2.5% | -5.0% | +2.5pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Nov 2025 | $13,157.59 | $13,583.24 | +3.2% | +3.4% | -0.1pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
Prediction Accuracy by Model
| Evaluated | Accuracy | BUY Acc. | SELL Acc. | SHORT Acc. | COVER Acc. | WAITs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 114 | 52.6% | 51.4% | 50.0% | 100.0% | — | 144 |
Period Summaries
(all runs combined)| Period | Days | Start | End | P&L | Return | Alpha | Trades | Win% | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-Q2 | 8 | $13,963.00 | $14,158.00 | $195.00 | +1.4% | +0.0pp | 0 | — | 1.4% vs1.4% |
| 2026-Q1 | 61 | $13,242.92 | $13,963.00 | $720.08 | +5.4% | +11.7pp | 2 | 100% | 5.4% vs-6.3% |
| 2025-Q4 | 64 | $12,669.96 | $13,242.92 | $572.96 | +4.5% | -2.0pp | 1 | 100% | 4.5% vs6.5% |
| 2025-Q3 | 64 | $10,400.67 | $12,669.96 | $2,269.29 | +21.8% | -0.8pp | 4 | 75% | 21.8% vs22.7% |
| 2025-Q2 | 55 | $10,000.00 | $10,400.67 | $400.67 | +4.0% | -3.9pp | 1 | 100% | 4.0% vs7.9% |
| Date | Close | Rec | Trade Action | Trade P&L | Unrealized | Portfolio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-24 | $271.06 | BUY | HOLD | — | $245.69 | $14,383.48 |
| 2026-04-23 | $273.43 | BUY | HOLD | — | $371.45 | $14,509.24 |
| 2026-04-22 | $273.17 | BUY | HOLD | — | $357.65 | $14,495.44 |
| 2026-04-21 | $266.17 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$13.80 | $14,124.00 |
| 2026-04-20 | $273.05 | BUY | HOLD | — | $351.28 | $14,489.08 |
| 2026-04-17 | $270.23 | BUY | HOLD | — | $201.64 | $14,339.44 |
| 2026-04-16 | $263.40 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$160.78 | $13,977.01 |
| 2026-04-15 | $266.43 | BUY | BUY | — | $0.00 | $14,137.79 |
| 2026-04-14 | $258.83 | SELL | SELL | $174.79 | $174.79 | $14,137.79 |
| 2026-04-13 | $259.20 | BUY | HOLD | — | $195.00 | $14,158.00 |
| 2026-04-10 | $260.48 | BUY | HOLD | — | $264.92 | $14,227.92 |
| 2026-04-09 | $260.49 | BUY | HOLD | — | $265.46 | $14,228.47 |
| 2026-04-08 | $258.90 | BUY | HOLD | — | $178.61 | $14,141.62 |
| 2026-04-07 | $253.50 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$116.34 | $13,846.66 |
| 2026-04-06 | $258.86 | BUY | HOLD | — | $176.43 | $14,139.43 |
| 2026-04-02 | $255.92 | BUY | HOLD | — | $15.84 | $13,978.84 |
| 2026-04-01 | $255.63 | BUY | BUY | — | $0.00 | $13,963.00 |
| 2026-03-31 | $253.79 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,963.00 |
| 2026-03-30 | $246.63 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,963.00 |
| 2026-03-27 | $248.80 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,963.00 |
| 2026-03-26 | $252.89 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,963.00 |
| 2026-03-25 | $252.62 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,963.00 |
| 2026-03-24 | $251.64 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,963.00 |
| 2026-03-23 | $251.49 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,963.00 |
| 2026-03-20 | $247.99 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,963.00 |
| 2026-03-19 | $248.96 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,963.00 |
| 2026-03-18 | $249.94 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,963.00 |
| 2026-03-17 | $254.23 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,963.00 |
| 2026-03-16 | $252.82 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,963.00 |
| 2026-03-13 | $250.12 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,963.00 |