All Symbols
AAPL
18 runs · 2025-04-10 → 2026-09-09
Best Return
+9.7%
Best Alpha
+7.4pp
LLM Accuracy
56.1%
Total Runs
18
Alpha is the LLM strategy's return minus the buy-&-hold (B&H) return over the same period — how much the model beat simply holding the stock. +101.5 pp means the strategy outperformed buy-&-hold by 101.5 percentage points (pp = percentage points).
Next Trading Day Prediction
WAIT
Predicted for: 2026-09-10DOWNConfidence: 90%
Last close: $315.34
The system requires selling the long position because momentum has reversed downward.
Portfolio Summary
Starting Fund
$10,000.00
Initial Capital
Current Fund
$16,310.43
as of 2026-09-09
Total Gain / Loss
$6,310.43
+63.1%
Current Position
● LONG HOLDINGEntry $328.21 · 51.7233 sharesOpen P&L: -$665.68
Performance by Month
(latest 6)| Month | Start | End | Return | B&H | Alpha | Trades | Win% | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2026 | $16,543.78 | $16,310.43 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Aug 2026 | $16,994.62 | $16,543.78 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Jul 2026 | $16,979.22 | $16,994.62 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 1 | 0% | Completed |
| Jun 2026 | $16,979.22 | $16,979.22 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| May 2026 | $14,821.66 | $16,979.22 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Apr 2026 | $13,963.00 | $14,821.66 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
Prediction Accuracy by Model
| Evaluated | Accuracy | BUY Acc. | SELL Acc. | SHORT Acc. | COVER Acc. | WAITs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 98 | 56.1% | 55.6% | 40.0% | 100.0% | — | 143 |
| 20 | 50.0% | 50.0% | — | — | — | 53 |
| 10 | 50.0% | 50.0% | — | — | — | 11 |
Period Summaries
(all runs combined)| Period | Days | Start | End | P&L | Return | Alpha | Trades | Win% | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-Q3 | 3 | $16,979.22 | $16,982.90 | $3.68 | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | — | 0.0% vs0.0% |
| 2026-Q2 | 2 | $16,841.57 | $16,979.22 | $137.65 | +0.8% | +0.8pp | 0 | — | 0.8% vs0.0% |
| 2026-Q1 | 61 | $13,242.92 | $13,963.00 | $720.08 | +5.4% | +11.7pp | 2 | 100% | 5.4% vs-6.3% |
| 2025-Q4 | 64 | $12,669.96 | $13,242.92 | $572.96 | +4.5% | -2.0pp | 1 | 100% | 4.5% vs6.5% |
| 2025-Q3 | 64 | $10,400.67 | $12,669.96 | $2,269.29 | +21.8% | -0.8pp | 4 | 75% | 21.8% vs22.7% |
| 2025-Q2 | 55 | $10,000.00 | $10,400.67 | $400.67 | +4.0% | -3.9pp | 1 | 100% | 4.0% vs7.9% |
| Date | Close | Rec | Trade Action | Trade P&L | Unrealized | Portfolio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | $315.34 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$665.68 | $16,310.43 |
| 2026-09-08 | $316.22 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$620.16 | $16,355.95 |
| 2026-09-04 | $319.97 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$426.20 | $16,549.91 |
| 2026-09-03 | $328.21 | BUY | BUY | — | $0.00 | $16,976.11 |
| 2026-09-02 | $324.96 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,976.11 |
| 2026-09-01 | $325.13 | BUY | HOLD | — | $283.52 | $16,976.11 |
| 2026-08-31 | $316.85 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$148.81 | $16,543.78 |
| 2026-08-28 | $319.70 | BUY | BUY | — | $0.00 | $16,692.59 |
| 2026-08-27 | $314.58 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,692.59 |
| 2026-08-26 | $313.45 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,692.59 |
| 2026-08-25 | $309.90 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,692.59 |
| 2026-08-24 | $310.34 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,692.59 |
| 2026-08-21 | $309.35 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,692.59 |
| 2026-08-20 | $311.30 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,692.59 |
| 2026-08-19 | $316.83 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,692.59 |
| 2026-08-18 | $310.03 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,692.59 |
| 2026-08-17 | $305.59 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,692.59 |
| 2026-08-14 | $305.93 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,692.59 |
| 2026-08-13 | $305.26 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,692.59 |
| 2026-08-12 | $302.25 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,692.59 |
| 2026-08-11 | $304.91 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,692.59 |
| 2026-08-10 | $308.26 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,692.59 |
| 2026-08-07 | $313.33 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,692.59 |
| 2026-08-06 | $312.41 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,692.59 |
| 2026-08-05 | $311.00 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,692.59 |
| 2026-08-04 | $309.38 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,692.59 |
| 2026-08-03 | $303.42 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$286.63 | $16,692.59 |
| 2026-07-31 | $308.91 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $15.40 | $16,994.62 |
| 2026-07-30 | $333.43 | BUY | HOLD | — | $1,364.37 | $18,343.59 |
| 2026-07-29 | $338.19 | BUY | HOLD | — | $1,626.24 | $18,605.46 |