All Symbols
AMZN
15 runs · 2025-04-10 → 2026-06-09
Best Return
+10.0%
Best Alpha
+12.0pp
LLM Accuracy
100.0%
Total Runs
15
Alpha is the LLM strategy's return minus the buy-&-hold (B&H) return over the same period — how much the model beat simply holding the stock. +101.5 pp means the strategy outperformed buy-&-hold by 101.5 percentage points (pp = percentage points).
Next Trading Day Prediction
WAIT
Predicted for: 2026-06-10NEUTRALConfidence: 20%
Last close: $244.19
The weekly trend signal is not strong enough to buy, so stay out of the market.
Portfolio Summary
Starting Fund
$10,000.00
Initial Capital
Current Fund
$13,736.16
as of 2026-06-09
Total Gain / Loss
$3,736.16
+37.4%
Current Position
● FLATNo open position
Performance by Month
(latest 6)| Month | Start | End | Return | B&H | Alpha | Trades | Win% | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2026 | $13,736.16 | $13,736.16 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| May 2026 | $13,391.59 | $13,736.16 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Apr 2026 | $10,638.60 | $13,391.59 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Mar 2026 | $10,725.23 | $10,638.60 | -0.8% | -0.2% | -0.6pp | 1 | 0% | Completed |
| Feb 2026 | $10,725.23 | $10,725.23 | +0.0% | -12.0% | +12.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Jan 2026 | $11,399.63 | $10,725.23 | -5.9% | +2.7% | -8.6pp | 2 | 0% | Completed |
Prediction Accuracy by Model
| Evaluated | Accuracy | BUY Acc. | SELL Acc. | SHORT Acc. | COVER Acc. | WAITs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 100.0% | 100.0% | — | — | — | 9 |
| 8 | 62.5% | 62.5% | — | — | — | 13 |
| 96 | 54.2% | 56.3% | 28.6% | 50.0% | — | 146 |
Period Summaries
(all runs combined)| Period | Days | Start | End | P&L | Return | Alpha | Trades | Win% | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-Q2 | 2 | $13,403.21 | $13,736.16 | $332.95 | +2.5% | +2.5pp | 0 | — | 2.5% vs0.0% |
| 2026-Q1 | 61 | $11,399.63 | $10,638.60 | -$761.03 | -6.7% | +1.4pp | 3 | 0% | -6.7% vs-8.0% |
| 2025-Q4 | 64 | $10,672.37 | $11,399.63 | $727.26 | +6.8% | +2.2pp | 2 | 50% | 6.8% vs4.6% |
| 2025-Q3 | 64 | $10,205.73 | $10,672.37 | $466.64 | +4.6% | +5.0pp | 2 | 50% | 4.6% vs-0.4% |
| 2025-Q2 | 55 | $10,000.00 | $10,205.73 | $205.73 | +2.1% | -19.0pp | 2 | 50% | 2.1% vs21.1% |
| Date | Close | Rec | Trade Action | Trade P&L | Unrealized | Portfolio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-09 | $244.19 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,736.16 |
| 2026-06-08 | $245.22 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,736.16 |
| 2026-06-05 | $246.03 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,736.16 |
| 2026-06-04 | $253.91 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,736.16 |
| 2026-06-03 | $250.02 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,736.16 |
| 2026-06-02 | $256.49 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,736.16 |
| 2026-06-01 | $261.26 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,736.16 |
| 2026-05-29 | $270.64 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,736.16 |
| 2026-05-28 | $274.00 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,736.16 |
| 2026-05-27 | $271.88 | BUY | HOLD | — | $3,097.56 | $13,736.16 |
| 2026-04-30 | $265.06 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $2,752.99 | $13,391.59 |
| 2026-04-29 | $263.04 | BUY | HOLD | — | $2,650.93 | $13,289.53 |
| 2026-04-28 | $259.70 | BUY | HOLD | — | $2,482.19 | $13,120.79 |
| 2026-04-27 | $261.12 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $2,553.93 | $13,192.53 |
| 2026-04-24 | $263.99 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $2,698.93 | $13,337.53 |
| 2026-04-23 | $255.08 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $2,248.77 | $12,887.37 |
| 2026-04-22 | $255.36 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $2,262.92 | $12,901.52 |
| 2026-04-21 | $249.91 | BUY | HOLD | — | $1,987.57 | $12,626.17 |
| 2026-04-20 | $248.28 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $1,905.22 | $12,543.82 |
| 2026-04-17 | $250.56 | BUY | HOLD | — | $2,020.41 | $12,659.01 |
| 2026-04-16 | $249.70 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $1,976.96 | $12,615.56 |
| 2026-04-15 | $248.50 | BUY | HOLD | — | $1,916.33 | $12,554.93 |
| 2026-04-14 | $248.97 | BUY | HOLD | — | $1,940.08 | $12,578.68 |
| 2026-04-13 | $239.89 | BUY | HOLD | — | $1,481.33 | $12,119.93 |
| 2026-04-10 | $238.38 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $1,405.04 | $12,043.64 |
| 2026-04-09 | $233.65 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $1,166.07 | $11,804.67 |
| 2026-04-08 | $221.25 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $539.58 | $11,178.18 |
| 2026-04-07 | $213.77 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $161.67 | $10,800.27 |
| 2026-04-06 | $212.79 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $112.16 | $10,750.76 |
| 2026-04-02 | $209.77 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$40.42 | $10,598.18 |