All Symbols
AMZN
16 runs · 2025-04-10 → 2026-07-24
Best Return
+10.0%
Best Alpha
+12.0pp
LLM Accuracy
62.5%
Total Runs
16
Alpha is the LLM strategy's return minus the buy-&-hold (B&H) return over the same period — how much the model beat simply holding the stock. +101.5 pp means the strategy outperformed buy-&-hold by 101.5 percentage points (pp = percentage points).
Next Trading Day Prediction
WAIT
Predicted for: 2026-07-27DOWNConfidence: 90%
Last close: $232.11
The system requires selling now because momentum has reversed downward.
Portfolio Summary
Starting Fund
$10,000.00
Initial Capital
Current Fund
$12,505.10
as of 2026-07-24
Total Gain / Loss
$2,505.10
+25.1%
Current Position
● LONG HOLDINGEntry $254.96 · 53.8757 sharesOpen P&L: -$1,231.06
Performance by Month
(latest 6)| Month | Start | End | Return | B&H | Alpha | Trades | Win% | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2026 | $13,736.16 | $12,505.10 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 1 | 0% | Completed |
| Jun 2026 | $13,736.16 | $13,736.16 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| May 2026 | $13,391.59 | $13,736.16 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Apr 2026 | $10,638.60 | $13,391.59 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Mar 2026 | $10,725.23 | $10,638.60 | -0.8% | -0.2% | -0.6pp | 1 | 0% | Completed |
| Feb 2026 | $10,725.23 | $10,725.23 | +0.0% | -12.0% | +12.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
Prediction Accuracy by Model
| Evaluated | Accuracy | BUY Acc. | SELL Acc. | SHORT Acc. | COVER Acc. | WAITs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 62.5% | 62.5% | — | — | — | 13 |
| 96 | 54.2% | 56.3% | 28.6% | 50.0% | — | 146 |
| 4 | 25.0% | 25.0% | — | — | — | 37 |
Period Summaries
(all runs combined)| Period | Days | Start | End | P&L | Return | Alpha | Trades | Win% | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-Q3 | 1 | $13,736.16 | $13,736.16 | $0.00 | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | — | 0.0% vs0.0% |
| 2026-Q2 | 2 | $13,403.21 | $13,736.16 | $332.95 | +2.5% | +2.5pp | 0 | — | 2.5% vs0.0% |
| 2026-Q1 | 61 | $11,399.63 | $10,638.60 | -$761.03 | -6.7% | +1.4pp | 3 | 0% | -6.7% vs-8.0% |
| 2025-Q4 | 64 | $10,672.37 | $11,399.63 | $727.26 | +6.8% | +2.2pp | 2 | 50% | 6.8% vs4.6% |
| 2025-Q3 | 64 | $10,205.73 | $10,672.37 | $466.64 | +4.6% | +5.0pp | 2 | 50% | 4.6% vs-0.4% |
| 2025-Q2 | 55 | $10,000.00 | $10,205.73 | $205.73 | +2.1% | -19.0pp | 2 | 50% | 2.1% vs21.1% |
| Date | Close | Rec | Trade Action | Trade P&L | Unrealized | Portfolio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $232.11 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$1,231.06 | $12,505.10 |
| 2026-07-23 | $233.66 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$1,147.55 | $12,588.61 |
| 2026-07-22 | $244.85 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$544.68 | $13,191.48 |
| 2026-07-21 | $247.55 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$399.22 | $13,336.94 |
| 2026-07-20 | $249.99 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$267.76 | $13,468.40 |
| 2026-07-17 | $247.23 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$416.46 | $13,319.70 |
| 2026-07-16 | $249.89 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$273.15 | $13,463.01 |
| 2026-07-15 | $254.96 | BUY | BUY | — | $0.00 | $13,736.16 |
| 2026-07-14 | $247.54 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,736.16 |
| 2026-07-13 | $247.31 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,736.16 |
| 2026-07-10 | $245.34 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,736.16 |
| 2026-07-09 | $247.04 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,736.16 |
| 2026-07-08 | $243.54 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,736.16 |
| 2026-07-07 | $245.98 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,736.16 |
| 2026-07-06 | $244.16 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,736.16 |
| 2026-07-02 | $242.67 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,736.16 |
| 2026-07-01 | $241.70 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,736.16 |
| 2026-06-30 | $238.34 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,736.16 |
| 2026-06-29 | $240.14 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,736.16 |
| 2026-06-26 | $232.69 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,736.16 |
| 2026-06-25 | $227.01 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,736.16 |
| 2026-06-24 | $234.37 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,736.16 |
| 2026-06-23 | $234.66 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,736.16 |
| 2026-06-22 | $232.79 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,736.16 |
| 2026-06-18 | $244.39 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,736.16 |
| 2026-06-17 | $237.50 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,736.16 |
| 2026-06-16 | $246.00 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,736.16 |
| 2026-06-15 | $246.10 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,736.16 |
| 2026-06-12 | $238.55 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,736.16 |
| 2026-06-11 | $241.32 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,736.16 |