All Symbols
AMZN
19 runs · 2025-04-10 → 2026-10-23
Best Return
+10.0%
Best Alpha
+12.0pp
LLM Accuracy
62.5%
Total Runs
19
Alpha is the LLM strategy's return minus the buy-&-hold (B&H) return over the same period — how much the model beat simply holding the stock. +101.5 pp means the strategy outperformed buy-&-hold by 101.5 percentage points (pp = percentage points).
Next Trading Day Prediction
WAIT
Predicted for: 2026-10-26DOWNConfidence: 90%
Last close: $248.00
The strategy requires selling the long position because momentum has reversed and weekly trends are weakening.
Portfolio Summary
Starting Fund
$10,000.00
Initial Capital
Current Fund
$11,502.77
as of 2026-10-23
Total Gain / Loss
$1,502.77
+15.0%
Current Position
● LONG HOLDINGEntry $259.88 · 46.3821 sharesOpen P&L: -$551.02
Performance by Month
(latest 6)| Month | Start | End | Return | B&H | Alpha | Trades | Win% | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2026 | $12,053.79 | $11,502.77 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Sep 2026 | $12,283.12 | $12,053.79 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Aug 2026 | $12,437.75 | $12,283.12 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Jul 2026 | $13,736.16 | $12,437.75 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Jun 2026 | $13,736.16 | $13,736.16 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| May 2026 | $13,391.59 | $13,736.16 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
Prediction Accuracy by Model
| Evaluated | Accuracy | BUY Acc. | SELL Acc. | SHORT Acc. | COVER Acc. | WAITs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 62.5% | 62.5% | — | — | — | 13 |
| 96 | 54.2% | 56.3% | 28.6% | 50.0% | — | 146 |
| 21 | 23.8% | 21.1% | 50.0% | — | — | 84 |
Period Summaries
(all runs combined)| Period | Days | Start | End | P&L | Return | Alpha | Trades | Win% | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-Q4 | 1 | $12,053.79 | $12,053.79 | $0.00 | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | — | 0.0% vs0.0% |
| 2026-Q3 | 3 | $13,736.16 | $12,015.96 | -$1,720.20 | -12.5% | -12.5pp | 1 | 0% | -12.5% vs0.0% |
| 2026-Q2 | 2 | $13,403.21 | $13,736.16 | $332.95 | +2.5% | +2.5pp | 0 | — | 2.5% vs0.0% |
| 2026-Q1 | 61 | $11,399.63 | $10,638.60 | -$761.03 | -6.7% | +1.4pp | 3 | 0% | -6.7% vs-8.0% |
| 2025-Q4 | 64 | $10,672.37 | $11,399.63 | $727.26 | +6.8% | +2.2pp | 2 | 50% | 6.8% vs4.6% |
| 2025-Q3 | 64 | $10,205.73 | $10,672.37 | $466.64 | +4.6% | +5.0pp | 2 | 50% | 4.6% vs-0.4% |
| 2025-Q2 | 55 | $10,000.00 | $10,205.73 | $205.73 | +2.1% | -19.0pp | 2 | 50% | 2.1% vs21.1% |
| Date | Close | Rec | Trade Action | Trade P&L | Unrealized | Portfolio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-23 | $248.00 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$551.02 | $11,502.77 |
| 2026-10-22 | $250.38 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$440.63 | $11,613.16 |
| 2026-10-21 | $262.37 | BUY | HOLD | — | $115.49 | $12,169.28 |
| 2026-10-20 | $262.63 | BUY | HOLD | — | $127.55 | $12,181.34 |
| 2026-10-19 | $262.45 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $119.20 | $12,172.99 |
| 2026-10-16 | $250.00 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$458.26 | $11,595.53 |
| 2026-10-15 | $254.76 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$237.48 | $11,816.31 |
| 2026-10-14 | $254.17 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$264.84 | $11,788.95 |
| 2026-10-13 | $258.62 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$58.44 | $11,995.35 |
| 2026-10-12 | $259.53 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$16.23 | $12,037.56 |
| 2026-10-09 | $262.43 | BUY | HOLD | — | $118.27 | $12,172.06 |
| 2026-10-08 | $254.06 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$269.94 | $11,783.85 |
| 2026-10-07 | $259.88 | BUY | BUY | — | $0.00 | $12,053.79 |
| 2026-10-06 | $256.29 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,053.79 |
| 2026-10-05 | $251.40 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,053.79 |
| 2026-10-02 | $251.52 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,053.79 |
| 2026-10-01 | $248.23 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,053.79 |
| 2026-09-30 | $249.15 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,053.79 |
| 2026-09-29 | $246.67 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,053.79 |
| 2026-09-28 | $246.15 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,053.79 |
| 2026-09-25 | $249.67 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,053.79 |
| 2026-09-24 | $249.38 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,053.79 |
| 2026-09-23 | $249.27 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,053.79 |
| 2026-09-22 | $254.98 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,053.79 |
| 2026-09-21 | $258.45 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,053.79 |
| 2026-09-18 | $253.71 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,053.79 |
| 2026-09-17 | $251.19 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,053.79 |
| 2026-09-16 | $245.96 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,053.79 |
| 2026-09-15 | $248.42 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,053.79 |
| 2026-09-14 | $253.55 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,053.79 |