All Symbols
AMZN
27 runs · 2024-01-02 → 2026-03-11
Best Return
+16.5%
Best Alpha
+12.3pp
LLM Accuracy
53.4%
Total Runs
27
Alpha is the LLM strategy's return minus the buy-&-hold (B&H) return over the same period — how much the model beat simply holding the stock. +101.5 pp means the strategy outperformed buy-&-hold by 101.5 percentage points (pp = percentage points).
Next Trading Day Prediction
WAIT
Predicted for: 2026-03-12NEUTRALConfidence: 30%
Last close: $212.65
The key weekly trend signals aren't fully aligned today, so it's best to wait for a clearer buy opportunity.
Performance by Month
(latest 6)| Month | Start | End | Return | B&H | Alpha | Trades | Win% | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2026 | $15,441.87 | $14,998.24 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Feb 2026 | $15,441.87 | $15,441.87 | +0.0% | -12.0% | +12.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Jan 2026 | $15,318.59 | $15,441.87 | +0.8% | +2.7% | -1.9pp | 2 | 50% | Completed |
| Dec 2025 | $16,110.58 | $15,318.59 | -4.9% | -1.5% | -3.4pp | 1 | 0% | Completed |
| Nov 2025 | $17,084.26 | $16,110.58 | -5.7% | -6.5% | +0.8pp | 1 | 100% | Completed |
| Oct 2025 | $14,659.50 | $17,084.26 | +16.5% | +9.8% | +6.7pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
Prediction Accuracy by Model
| Evaluated | Accuracy | BUY Acc. | SELL Acc. | WAITs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 251 | 53.4% | 54.8% | 39.1% | 298 |
Period Summaries
(all runs combined)| Period | Days | Start | End | P&L | Return | Alpha | Trades | Win% | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-Q4 | 64 | $14,659.50 | $15,318.59 | $659.09 | +4.5% | -0.1pp | 2 | 50% | 4.5% vs4.6% |
| 2025-Q3 | 64 | $14,366.41 | $14,659.50 | $293.09 | +2.0% | +2.4pp | 2 | 50% | 2.0% vs-0.4% |
| 2025-Q2 | 62 | $14,867.06 | $14,366.41 | -$500.65 | -3.4% | -17.5pp | 3 | 33% | -3.4% vs14.2% |
| 2025-Q1 | 60 | $14,700.05 | $14,867.06 | $167.01 | +1.1% | +14.7pp | 1 | 100% | 1.1% vs-13.6% |
| 2024-Q4 | 64 | $12,154.98 | $14,700.05 | $2,545.07 | +20.9% | +2.4pp | 2 | 100% | 20.9% vs18.5% |
| 2024-Q3 | 64 | $12,159.22 | $12,154.98 | -$4.24 | -0.0% | +5.5pp | 3 | 100% | -0.0% vs-5.5% |
| 2024-Q2 | 63 | $10,390.95 | $12,159.22 | $1,768.27 | +17.0% | +10.2pp | 3 | 100% | 17.0% vs6.8% |
| 2024-Q1 | 61 | $10,000.00 | $10,390.95 | $390.95 | +3.9% | -12.6pp | 5 | 60% | 3.9% vs16.5% |
| Date | Close | Rec | Trade Action | Trade P&L | Unrealized | Portfolio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-11 | $212.65 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$443.63 | $14,998.24 |
| 2026-03-10 | $214.33 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$325.14 | $15,116.73 |
| 2026-03-09 | $213.49 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$384.39 | $15,057.48 |
| 2026-03-06 | $213.21 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$404.14 | $15,037.73 |
| 2026-03-05 | $218.94 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$404.14 | $15,037.73 |
| 2026-03-04 | $216.82 | BUY | BUY | — | $0.00 | $15,441.87 |
| 2026-03-03 | $208.73 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $15,441.87 |
| 2026-03-02 | $208.39 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $15,441.87 |
| 2026-02-27 | $210.00 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $15,441.87 |
| 2026-02-26 | $207.92 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $15,441.87 |
| 2026-02-25 | $210.64 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $15,441.87 |
| 2026-02-24 | $208.56 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $15,441.87 |
| 2026-02-23 | $205.27 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $15,441.87 |
| 2026-02-20 | $210.11 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $15,441.87 |
| 2026-02-19 | $204.86 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $15,441.87 |
| 2026-02-18 | $204.79 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $15,441.87 |
| 2026-02-17 | $201.15 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $15,441.87 |
| 2026-02-13 | $198.79 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $15,441.87 |
| 2026-02-12 | $199.60 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $15,441.87 |
| 2026-02-11 | $204.08 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $15,441.87 |
| 2026-02-10 | $206.96 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $15,441.87 |
| 2026-02-09 | $208.72 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $15,441.87 |
| 2026-02-06 | $210.32 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $15,441.87 |
| 2026-02-05 | $222.69 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $15,441.87 |
| 2026-02-04 | $232.99 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $15,441.87 |
| 2026-02-03 | $238.62 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $15,441.87 |
| 2026-02-02 | $242.96 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $15,441.87 |
| 2026-01-30 | $239.30 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $15,441.87 |
| 2026-01-29 | $241.73 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $15,441.87 |
| 2026-01-28 | $243.01 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $15,441.87 |