All Symbols
AMZN
18 runs · 2025-04-10 → 2026-09-09
Best Return
+10.0%
Best Alpha
+12.0pp
LLM Accuracy
62.5%
Total Runs
18
Alpha is the LLM strategy's return minus the buy-&-hold (B&H) return over the same period — how much the model beat simply holding the stock. +101.5 pp means the strategy outperformed buy-&-hold by 101.5 percentage points (pp = percentage points).
Next Trading Day Prediction
WAIT
Predicted for: 2026-09-10NEUTRALConfidence: 20%
Last close: $252.40
The weekly gate is closed so no new trade is allowed today.
Portfolio Summary
Starting Fund
$10,000.00
Initial Capital
Current Fund
$12,053.79
as of 2026-09-09
Total Gain / Loss
$2,053.79
+20.5%
Current Position
● FLATNo open position
Performance by Month
(latest 6)| Month | Start | End | Return | B&H | Alpha | Trades | Win% | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2026 | $12,283.12 | $12,053.79 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Aug 2026 | $12,437.75 | $12,283.12 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Jul 2026 | $13,736.16 | $12,437.75 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Jun 2026 | $13,736.16 | $13,736.16 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| May 2026 | $13,391.59 | $13,736.16 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Apr 2026 | $10,638.60 | $13,391.59 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
Prediction Accuracy by Model
| Evaluated | Accuracy | BUY Acc. | SELL Acc. | SHORT Acc. | COVER Acc. | WAITs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 62.5% | 62.5% | — | — | — | 13 |
| 96 | 54.2% | 56.3% | 28.6% | 50.0% | — | 146 |
| 13 | 30.8% | 27.3% | 50.0% | — | — | 60 |
Period Summaries
(all runs combined)| Period | Days | Start | End | P&L | Return | Alpha | Trades | Win% | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-Q3 | 3 | $13,736.16 | $12,015.96 | -$1,720.20 | -12.5% | -12.5pp | 1 | 0% | -12.5% vs0.0% |
| 2026-Q2 | 2 | $13,403.21 | $13,736.16 | $332.95 | +2.5% | +2.5pp | 0 | — | 2.5% vs0.0% |
| 2026-Q1 | 61 | $11,399.63 | $10,638.60 | -$761.03 | -6.7% | +1.4pp | 3 | 0% | -6.7% vs-8.0% |
| 2025-Q4 | 64 | $10,672.37 | $11,399.63 | $727.26 | +6.8% | +2.2pp | 2 | 50% | 6.8% vs4.6% |
| 2025-Q3 | 64 | $10,205.73 | $10,672.37 | $466.64 | +4.6% | +5.0pp | 2 | 50% | 4.6% vs-0.4% |
| 2025-Q2 | 55 | $10,000.00 | $10,205.73 | $205.73 | +2.1% | -19.0pp | 2 | 50% | 2.1% vs21.1% |
| Date | Close | Rec | Trade Action | Trade P&L | Unrealized | Portfolio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | $252.40 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,053.79 |
| 2026-09-08 | $256.97 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,053.79 |
| 2026-09-04 | $258.51 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,053.79 |
| 2026-09-03 | $258.91 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,053.79 |
| 2026-09-02 | $254.98 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,053.79 |
| 2026-09-01 | $254.92 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$544.25 | $12,053.79 |
| 2026-08-31 | $259.77 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$314.92 | $12,283.12 |
| 2026-08-28 | $266.43 | BUY | BUY | — | $0.00 | $12,598.03 |
| 2026-08-27 | $256.26 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,598.03 |
| 2026-08-26 | $260.28 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,598.03 |
| 2026-08-25 | $261.06 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,598.03 |
| 2026-08-24 | $262.07 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,598.03 |
| 2026-08-21 | $258.63 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,598.03 |
| 2026-08-20 | $260.11 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,598.03 |
| 2026-08-19 | $265.84 | SELL | SELL | -$409.45 | -$409.45 | $12,598.03 |
| 2026-08-18 | $259.45 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$712.26 | $12,295.21 |
| 2026-08-17 | $261.31 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$624.12 | $12,383.36 |
| 2026-08-14 | $262.65 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$560.62 | $12,446.86 |
| 2026-08-13 | $265.13 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$443.09 | $12,564.39 |
| 2026-08-12 | $267.28 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$341.20 | $12,666.27 |
| 2026-08-11 | $272.27 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$104.73 | $12,902.75 |
| 2026-08-10 | $278.09 | BUY | HOLD | — | $171.08 | $13,178.55 |
| 2026-08-07 | $274.48 | BUY | BUY | — | $0.00 | $13,007.48 |
| 2026-08-06 | $272.26 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,007.48 |
| 2026-08-05 | $272.65 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,007.48 |
| 2026-08-04 | $277.42 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,007.48 |
| 2026-08-03 | $284.02 | BUY | HOLD | — | $569.72 | $13,007.48 |
| 2026-07-31 | $271.58 | BUY | BUY | — | $0.00 | $12,437.75 |
| 2026-07-30 | $235.50 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,437.75 |
| 2026-07-29 | $226.65 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,437.75 |