All Symbols
AMZN
13 runs · 2025-04-10 → 2026-04-24
Best Return
+10.0%
Best Alpha
+12.0pp
LLM Accuracy
50.9%
Total Runs
13
Alpha is the LLM strategy's return minus the buy-&-hold (B&H) return over the same period — how much the model beat simply holding the stock. +101.5 pp means the strategy outperformed buy-&-hold by 101.5 percentage points (pp = percentage points).
Next Trading Day Prediction
WAIT
Predicted for: 2026-04-27UPConfidence: 40%
Last close: $263.93
The market has some positive trend signals in a bull phase, but not strong enough to buy yet.
Portfolio Summary
Starting Fund
$10,000.00
Initial Capital
Current Fund
$13,198.39
as of 2026-04-24
Total Gain / Loss
$3,198.39
+32.0%
Current Position
● LONG HOLDINGEntry $212.79 · 49.9958 sharesOpen P&L: $2,559.78
Performance by Month
(latest 6)| Month | Start | End | Return | B&H | Alpha | Trades | Win% | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2026 | $10,638.60 | $13,198.39 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Mar 2026 | $10,725.23 | $10,638.60 | -0.8% | -0.2% | -0.6pp | 1 | 0% | Completed |
| Feb 2026 | $10,725.23 | $10,725.23 | +0.0% | -12.0% | +12.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Jan 2026 | $11,399.63 | $10,725.23 | -5.9% | +2.7% | -8.6pp | 2 | 0% | Completed |
| Dec 2025 | $11,596.33 | $11,399.63 | -1.7% | -1.5% | -0.2pp | 1 | 0% | Completed |
| Nov 2025 | $11,738.98 | $11,596.33 | -1.2% | -6.5% | +5.2pp | 1 | 100% | Completed |
Prediction Accuracy by Model
| Evaluated | Accuracy | BUY Acc. | SELL Acc. | SHORT Acc. | COVER Acc. | WAITs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 110 | 50.9% | 52.5% | 28.6% | 50.0% | — | 149 |
Period Summaries
(all runs combined)| Period | Days | Start | End | P&L | Return | Alpha | Trades | Win% | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-Q2 | 8 | $10,638.60 | $11,993.49 | $1,354.89 | +12.7% | -1.2pp | 0 | — | 12.7% vs13.9% |
| 2026-Q1 | 61 | $11,399.63 | $10,638.60 | -$761.03 | -6.7% | +1.4pp | 3 | 0% | -6.7% vs-8.0% |
| 2025-Q4 | 64 | $10,672.37 | $11,399.63 | $727.26 | +6.8% | +2.2pp | 2 | 50% | 6.8% vs4.6% |
| 2025-Q3 | 64 | $10,205.73 | $10,672.37 | $466.64 | +4.6% | +5.0pp | 2 | 50% | 4.6% vs-0.4% |
| 2025-Q2 | 55 | $10,000.00 | $10,205.73 | $205.73 | +2.1% | -19.0pp | 2 | 50% | 2.1% vs21.1% |
| Date | Close | Rec | Trade Action | Trade P&L | Unrealized | Portfolio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-24 | $263.99 | BUY | HOLD | — | $2,559.78 | $13,198.39 |
| 2026-04-23 | $255.08 | BUY | HOLD | — | $2,114.32 | $12,752.92 |
| 2026-04-22 | $255.36 | BUY | HOLD | — | $2,128.32 | $12,766.92 |
| 2026-04-21 | $249.91 | BUY | HOLD | — | $1,855.84 | $12,494.45 |
| 2026-04-20 | $248.28 | BUY | HOLD | — | $1,774.35 | $12,412.95 |
| 2026-04-17 | $250.56 | BUY | HOLD | — | $1,888.34 | $12,526.94 |
| 2026-04-16 | $249.70 | BUY | HOLD | — | $1,845.34 | $12,483.95 |
| 2026-04-15 | $248.50 | BUY | HOLD | — | $1,785.35 | $12,423.95 |
| 2026-04-14 | $248.97 | BUY | HOLD | — | $1,808.85 | $12,447.45 |
| 2026-04-13 | $239.89 | BUY | HOLD | — | $1,354.89 | $11,993.49 |
| 2026-04-10 | $238.38 | BUY | HOLD | — | $1,279.39 | $11,917.99 |
| 2026-04-09 | $233.65 | BUY | HOLD | — | $1,042.91 | $11,681.51 |
| 2026-04-08 | $221.25 | BUY | HOLD | — | $422.96 | $11,061.57 |
| 2026-04-07 | $213.77 | BUY | HOLD | — | $49.00 | $10,687.60 |
| 2026-04-06 | $212.79 | BUY | BUY | — | $0.00 | $10,638.60 |
| 2026-04-02 | $209.77 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $10,638.60 |
| 2026-04-01 | $210.57 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $10,638.60 |
| 2026-03-31 | $208.27 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $10,638.60 |
| 2026-03-30 | $200.95 | COVER | COVER | -$86.62 | -$86.62 | $10,638.60 |
| 2026-03-27 | $199.34 | SHORT | SHORT | — | $0.00 | $10,725.23 |
| 2026-03-26 | $207.54 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $10,725.23 |
| 2026-03-25 | $211.71 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $10,725.23 |
| 2026-03-24 | $207.24 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $10,725.23 |
| 2026-03-23 | $210.14 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $10,725.23 |
| 2026-03-20 | $205.37 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $10,725.23 |
| 2026-03-19 | $208.76 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $10,725.23 |
| 2026-03-18 | $209.87 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $10,725.23 |
| 2026-03-17 | $215.20 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $10,725.23 |
| 2026-03-16 | $211.74 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $10,725.23 |
| 2026-03-13 | $207.67 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $10,725.23 |