All Symbols
COIN
16 runs · 2025-04-10 → 2026-07-24
Best Return
+24.8%
Best Alpha
+33.4pp
LLM Accuracy
50.0%
Total Runs
16
Alpha is the LLM strategy's return minus the buy-&-hold (B&H) return over the same period — how much the model beat simply holding the stock. +101.5 pp means the strategy outperformed buy-&-hold by 101.5 percentage points (pp = percentage points).
Next Trading Day Prediction
WAIT
Predicted for: 2026-07-27DOWNConfidence: 90%
Last close: $158.29
Exit signals are strong, so sell the long position now.
Portfolio Summary
Starting Fund
$10,000.00
Initial Capital
Current Fund
$18,110.19
as of 2026-07-24
Total Gain / Loss
$8,110.19
+81.1%
Current Position
● LONG HOLDINGEntry $165.48 · 114.4115 sharesOpen P&L: -$822.62
Performance by Month
(latest 6)| Month | Start | End | Return | B&H | Alpha | Trades | Win% | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2026 | $18,932.81 | $18,110.19 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Jun 2026 | $18,932.81 | $18,932.81 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| May 2026 | $20,456.98 | $18,932.81 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Apr 2026 | $20,090.92 | $20,456.98 | +1.8% | +9.5% | -7.7pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Mar 2026 | $18,069.75 | $20,090.92 | +11.2% | -4.2% | +15.4pp | 1 | 100% | Completed |
| Feb 2026 | $16,346.23 | $18,069.75 | +10.5% | -2.1% | +12.7pp | 1 | 100% | Completed |
Prediction Accuracy by Model
| Evaluated | Accuracy | BUY Acc. | SELL Acc. | SHORT Acc. | COVER Acc. | WAITs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | — | — | — | 19 |
| 2 | 50.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | — | — | 39 |
| 76 | 47.4% | 45.5% | 66.7% | 50.0% | — | 164 |
Period Summaries
(all runs combined)| Period | Days | Start | End | P&L | Return | Alpha | Trades | Win% | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-Q3 | 1 | $18,932.81 | $18,932.81 | $0.00 | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | — | 0.0% vs0.0% |
| 2026-Q2 | 2 | $18,401.39 | $18,932.81 | $531.42 | +2.9% | +2.9pp | 0 | — | 2.9% vs0.0% |
| 2026-Q1 | 61 | $14,888.53 | $20,090.92 | $5,202.39 | +34.9% | +61.1pp | 3 | 100% | 34.9% vs-26.2% |
| 2025-Q4 | 64 | $14,146.92 | $14,888.53 | $741.61 | +5.2% | +39.9pp | 3 | 67% | 5.2% vs-34.7% |
| 2025-Q3 | 64 | $12,083.76 | $14,146.92 | $2,063.16 | +17.1% | +16.4pp | 2 | 100% | 17.1% vs0.6% |
| 2025-Q2 | 55 | $10,000.00 | $12,083.76 | $2,083.76 | +20.8% | -85.8pp | 2 | 0% | 20.8% vs106.6% |
| Date | Close | Rec | Trade Action | Trade P&L | Unrealized | Portfolio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $158.29 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$822.62 | $18,110.19 |
| 2026-07-23 | $161.14 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$496.55 | $18,436.26 |
| 2026-07-22 | $166.12 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $73.22 | $19,006.03 |
| 2026-07-21 | $175.85 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $1,186.45 | $20,119.26 |
| 2026-07-20 | $160.43 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$577.78 | $18,355.03 |
| 2026-07-17 | $157.12 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$956.48 | $17,976.33 |
| 2026-07-16 | $160.49 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$570.91 | $18,361.90 |
| 2026-07-15 | $167.21 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $197.93 | $19,130.74 |
| 2026-07-14 | $161.50 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$455.36 | $18,477.45 |
| 2026-07-13 | $157.37 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$927.88 | $18,004.93 |
| 2026-07-10 | $159.07 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$733.38 | $18,199.43 |
| 2026-07-09 | $158.44 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$805.46 | $18,127.35 |
| 2026-07-08 | $159.36 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$700.20 | $18,232.61 |
| 2026-07-07 | $163.51 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$225.39 | $18,707.42 |
| 2026-07-06 | $168.87 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $387.85 | $19,320.66 |
| 2026-07-02 | $165.48 | BUY | BUY | — | $0.00 | $18,932.81 |
| 2026-07-01 | $159.24 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $18,932.81 |
| 2026-06-30 | $146.19 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $18,932.81 |
| 2026-06-29 | $151.65 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $18,932.81 |
| 2026-06-26 | $149.06 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $18,932.81 |
| 2026-06-25 | $142.52 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $18,932.81 |
| 2026-06-24 | $150.12 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $18,932.81 |
| 2026-06-23 | $157.91 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $18,932.81 |
| 2026-06-22 | $164.84 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $18,932.81 |
| 2026-06-18 | $163.21 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $18,932.81 |
| 2026-06-17 | $164.92 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $18,932.81 |
| 2026-06-16 | $169.28 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $18,932.81 |
| 2026-06-15 | $169.62 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $18,932.81 |
| 2026-06-12 | $159.78 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $18,932.81 |
| 2026-06-11 | $160.43 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $18,932.81 |