All Symbols
COIN
13 runs · 2025-04-10 → 2026-04-24
Best Return
+24.8%
Best Alpha
+33.4pp
LLM Accuracy
47.4%
Total Runs
13
Alpha is the LLM strategy's return minus the buy-&-hold (B&H) return over the same period — how much the model beat simply holding the stock. +101.5 pp means the strategy outperformed buy-&-hold by 101.5 percentage points (pp = percentage points).
Next Trading Day Prediction
WAIT
Predicted for: 2026-04-27DOWNConfidence: 20%
Last close: $201.42
The weekly trend gate is closed and the market is in a bearish regime, so no entry is recommended.
Portfolio Summary
Starting Fund
$10,000.00
Initial Capital
Current Fund
$18,602.35
as of 2026-04-24
Total Gain / Loss
$8,602.35
+86.0%
Current Position
● FLATNo open position
Performance by Month
(latest 6)| Month | Start | End | Return | B&H | Alpha | Trades | Win% | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2026 | $20,090.92 | $18,602.35 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Mar 2026 | $18,069.75 | $20,090.92 | +11.2% | -4.2% | +15.4pp | 1 | 100% | Completed |
| Feb 2026 | $16,346.23 | $18,069.75 | +10.5% | -2.1% | +12.7pp | 1 | 100% | Completed |
| Jan 2026 | $14,888.53 | $16,346.23 | +9.8% | -23.6% | +33.4pp | 1 | 100% | Completed |
| Dec 2025 | $13,949.42 | $14,888.53 | +6.7% | -14.1% | +20.8pp | 1 | 100% | Completed |
| Nov 2025 | $14,513.44 | $13,949.42 | -3.9% | -11.2% | +7.3pp | 1 | 0% | Completed |
Prediction Accuracy by Model
| Evaluated | Accuracy | BUY Acc. | SELL Acc. | SHORT Acc. | COVER Acc. | WAITs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78 | 47.4% | 44.8% | 71.4% | 50.0% | — | 179 |
Period Summaries
(all runs combined)| Period | Days | Start | End | P&L | Return | Alpha | Trades | Win% | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-Q2 | 8 | $20,090.92 | $20,090.92 | $0.00 | +0.0% | -0.9pp | 0 | — | 0.0% vs0.9% |
| 2026-Q1 | 61 | $14,888.53 | $20,090.92 | $5,202.39 | +34.9% | +61.1pp | 3 | 100% | 34.9% vs-26.2% |
| 2025-Q4 | 64 | $14,146.92 | $14,888.53 | $741.61 | +5.2% | +39.9pp | 3 | 67% | 5.2% vs-34.7% |
| 2025-Q3 | 64 | $12,083.76 | $14,146.92 | $2,063.16 | +17.1% | +16.4pp | 2 | 100% | 17.1% vs0.6% |
| 2025-Q2 | 55 | $10,000.00 | $12,083.76 | $2,083.76 | +20.8% | -85.8pp | 2 | 0% | 20.8% vs106.6% |
| Date | Close | Rec | Trade Action | Trade P&L | Unrealized | Portfolio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-24 | $199.77 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $18,602.35 |
| 2026-04-23 | $197.93 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $18,602.35 |
| 2026-04-22 | $206.24 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $18,602.35 |
| 2026-04-21 | $195.95 | SELL | SELL | -$1,488.57 | -$1,488.57 | $18,602.35 |
| 2026-04-20 | $211.63 | BUY | BUY | — | $0.00 | $20,090.92 |
| 2026-04-17 | $206.33 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $20,090.92 |
| 2026-04-16 | $199.83 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $20,090.92 |
| 2026-04-15 | $195.90 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $20,090.92 |
| 2026-04-14 | $184.41 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $20,090.92 |
| 2026-04-13 | $174.53 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $20,090.92 |
| 2026-04-10 | $167.85 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $20,090.92 |
| 2026-04-09 | $169.02 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $20,090.92 |
| 2026-04-08 | $175.09 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $20,090.92 |
| 2026-04-07 | $175.18 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $20,090.92 |
| 2026-04-06 | $174.79 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $20,090.92 |
| 2026-04-02 | $171.46 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $20,090.92 |
| 2026-04-01 | $172.99 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $20,090.92 |
| 2026-03-31 | $174.61 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $20,090.92 |
| 2026-03-30 | $160.79 | COVER | COVER | $2,021.17 | $2,021.17 | $20,090.92 |
| 2026-03-27 | $161.14 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $1,986.24 | $20,055.99 |
| 2026-03-26 | $173.38 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $764.55 | $18,834.30 |
| 2026-03-25 | $181.10 | WAIT | SKIP | — | -$5.99 | $18,063.76 |
| 2026-03-24 | $181.04 | SHORT | SHORT | — | $0.00 | $18,069.75 |
| 2026-03-23 | $200.62 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $18,069.75 |
| 2026-03-20 | $197.50 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $18,069.75 |
| 2026-03-19 | $202.91 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $18,069.75 |
| 2026-03-18 | $202.29 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $18,069.75 |
| 2026-03-17 | $210.23 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $18,069.75 |
| 2026-03-16 | $203.32 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $18,069.75 |
| 2026-03-13 | $195.53 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $18,069.75 |