All Symbols
COIN
18 runs · 2025-04-10 → 2026-09-09
Best Return
+24.8%
Best Alpha
+33.4pp
LLM Accuracy
50.0%
Total Runs
18
Alpha is the LLM strategy's return minus the buy-&-hold (B&H) return over the same period — how much the model beat simply holding the stock. +101.5 pp means the strategy outperformed buy-&-hold by 101.5 percentage points (pp = percentage points).
Next Trading Day Prediction
WAIT
Predicted for: 2026-09-10NEUTRALConfidence: 20%
Last close: $174.72
The weekly trend signals are not aligned for a new long trade, so stay out of the market.
Portfolio Summary
Starting Fund
$10,000.00
Initial Capital
Current Fund
$17,195.99
as of 2026-09-09
Total Gain / Loss
$7,195.99
+72.0%
Current Position
● FLATNo open position
Performance by Month
(latest 6)| Month | Start | End | Return | B&H | Alpha | Trades | Win% | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2026 | $18,294.94 | $17,195.99 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Aug 2026 | $16,733.82 | $18,294.94 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Jul 2026 | $18,932.81 | $16,733.82 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Jun 2026 | $18,932.81 | $18,932.81 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| May 2026 | $20,456.98 | $18,932.81 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Apr 2026 | $20,090.92 | $20,456.98 | +1.8% | +9.5% | -7.7pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
Prediction Accuracy by Model
| Evaluated | Accuracy | BUY Acc. | SELL Acc. | SHORT Acc. | COVER Acc. | WAITs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | — | — | — | 19 |
| 76 | 47.4% | 45.5% | 66.7% | 50.0% | — | 164 |
| 8 | 37.5% | 42.9% | 0.0% | — | — | 65 |
Period Summaries
(all runs combined)| Period | Days | Start | End | P&L | Return | Alpha | Trades | Win% | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-Q3 | 3 | $18,932.81 | $17,177.52 | -$1,755.29 | -9.3% | -9.3pp | 0 | — | -9.3% vs0.0% |
| 2026-Q2 | 2 | $18,401.39 | $18,932.81 | $531.42 | +2.9% | +2.9pp | 0 | — | 2.9% vs0.0% |
| 2026-Q1 | 61 | $14,888.53 | $20,090.92 | $5,202.39 | +34.9% | +61.1pp | 3 | 100% | 34.9% vs-26.2% |
| 2025-Q4 | 64 | $14,146.92 | $14,888.53 | $741.61 | +5.2% | +39.9pp | 3 | 67% | 5.2% vs-34.7% |
| 2025-Q3 | 64 | $12,083.76 | $14,146.92 | $2,063.16 | +17.1% | +16.4pp | 2 | 100% | 17.1% vs0.6% |
| 2025-Q2 | 55 | $10,000.00 | $12,083.76 | $2,083.76 | +20.8% | -85.8pp | 2 | 0% | 20.8% vs106.6% |
| Date | Close | Rec | Trade Action | Trade P&L | Unrealized | Portfolio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | $174.72 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $17,195.99 |
| 2026-09-08 | $178.94 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $17,195.99 |
| 2026-09-04 | $184.64 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $17,195.99 |
| 2026-09-03 | $192.70 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $17,195.99 |
| 2026-09-02 | $174.96 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $17,195.99 |
| 2026-09-01 | $176.82 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $434.71 | $17,195.99 |
| 2026-08-31 | $188.12 | BUY | HOLD | — | $1,533.65 | $18,294.94 |
| 2026-08-28 | $178.64 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $611.71 | $17,372.99 |
| 2026-08-27 | $190.72 | BUY | HOLD | — | $1,786.51 | $18,547.79 |
| 2026-08-26 | $181.78 | BUY | HOLD | — | $917.08 | $17,678.36 |
| 2026-08-25 | $187.16 | BUY | HOLD | — | $1,440.29 | $18,201.57 |
| 2026-08-24 | $179.48 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $693.40 | $17,454.68 |
| 2026-08-21 | $186.49 | BUY | HOLD | — | $1,375.13 | $18,136.42 |
| 2026-08-20 | $172.35 | BUY | BUY | — | $0.00 | $16,761.28 |
| 2026-08-19 | $160.23 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,761.28 |
| 2026-08-18 | $146.23 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,761.28 |
| 2026-08-17 | $150.55 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,761.28 |
| 2026-08-14 | $148.47 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,761.28 |
| 2026-08-13 | $153.90 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,761.28 |
| 2026-08-12 | $149.04 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,761.28 |
| 2026-08-11 | $148.58 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,761.28 |
| 2026-08-10 | $148.68 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,761.28 |
| 2026-08-07 | $153.60 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,761.28 |
| 2026-08-06 | $145.41 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,761.28 |
| 2026-08-05 | $149.89 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,761.28 |
| 2026-08-04 | $150.73 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,761.28 |
| 2026-08-03 | $146.50 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$2,171.53 | $16,761.28 |
| 2026-07-31 | $146.26 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$2,198.99 | $16,733.82 |
| 2026-07-30 | $163.58 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$217.38 | $18,715.43 |
| 2026-07-29 | $160.09 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$616.68 | $18,316.13 |