All Symbols
COIN
27 runs · 2024-01-02 → 2026-03-11
Best Return
+44.9%
Best Alpha
+21.7pp
LLM Accuracy
52.0%
Total Runs
27
Alpha is the LLM strategy's return minus the buy-&-hold (B&H) return over the same period — how much the model beat simply holding the stock. +101.5 pp means the strategy outperformed buy-&-hold by 101.5 percentage points (pp = percentage points).
Next Trading Day Prediction
WAIT
Predicted for: 2026-03-12NEUTRALConfidence: 30%
Last close: $198.63
The key weekly trend signals aren't fully aligned today, so it's best to wait for a clearer buy opportunity.
Performance by Month
(latest 6)| Month | Start | End | Return | B&H | Alpha | Trades | Win% | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2026 | $22,981.98 | $24,643.22 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Feb 2026 | $20,353.02 | $22,981.98 | +12.9% | -2.1% | +15.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Jan 2026 | $22,854.05 | $20,353.02 | -10.9% | -23.6% | +12.7pp | 1 | 0% | Completed |
| Dec 2025 | $22,854.05 | $22,854.05 | +0.0% | -14.1% | +14.1pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Nov 2025 | $22,854.05 | $22,854.05 | +0.0% | -11.2% | +11.2pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Oct 2025 | $22,161.37 | $22,854.05 | +3.1% | -7.6% | +10.7pp | 1 | 100% | Completed |
Prediction Accuracy by Model
| Evaluated | Accuracy | BUY Acc. | SELL Acc. | WAITs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 198 | 52.0% | 50.6% | 66.7% | 351 |
Period Summaries
(all runs combined)| Period | Days | Start | End | P&L | Return | Alpha | Trades | Win% | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-Q4 | 64 | $22,161.37 | $22,854.05 | $692.68 | +3.1% | +37.8pp | 1 | 100% | 3.1% vs-34.7% |
| 2025-Q3 | 64 | $21,131.61 | $22,161.37 | $1,029.76 | +4.9% | +4.2pp | 2 | 100% | 4.9% vs0.6% |
| 2025-Q2 | 62 | $17,125.72 | $21,131.61 | $4,005.89 | +23.4% | -77.4pp | 3 | 67% | 23.4% vs100.8% |
| 2025-Q1 | 60 | $17,201.46 | $17,125.72 | -$75.74 | -0.4% | +32.6pp | 1 | 0% | -0.4% vs-33.0% |
| 2024-Q4 | 64 | $15,063.29 | $17,201.46 | $2,138.17 | +14.2% | -36.3pp | 4 | 75% | 14.2% vs50.5% |
| 2024-Q3 | 64 | $16,895.93 | $15,063.29 | -$1,832.64 | -10.8% | +12.8pp | 2 | 0% | -10.8% vs-23.7% |
| 2024-Q2 | 63 | $17,710.78 | $16,895.93 | -$814.85 | -4.6% | +7.3pp | 2 | 50% | -4.6% vs-11.9% |
| 2024-Q1 | 61 | $10,000.00 | $17,710.78 | $7,710.78 | +77.1% | -29.7pp | 2 | 100% | 77.1% vs106.8% |
| Date | Close | Rec | Trade Action | Trade P&L | Unrealized | Portfolio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-11 | $198.63 | BUY | HOLD | — | $4,290.20 | $24,643.22 |
| 2026-03-10 | $196.52 | BUY | HOLD | — | $4,028.42 | $24,381.44 |
| 2026-03-09 | $199.79 | BUY | HOLD | — | $4,434.12 | $24,787.14 |
| 2026-03-06 | $197.22 | BUY | HOLD | — | $4,115.27 | $24,468.29 |
| 2026-03-05 | $205.71 | BUY | HOLD | — | $4,115.27 | $24,468.29 |
| 2026-03-04 | $208.93 | BUY | HOLD | — | $5,168.59 | $25,521.61 |
| 2026-03-03 | $182.36 | BUY | HOLD | — | $5,568.08 | $25,921.10 |
| 2026-03-02 | $185.24 | BUY | HOLD | — | $2,271.65 | $22,624.67 |
| 2026-02-27 | $175.85 | BUY | HOLD | — | $2,628.96 | $22,981.98 |
| 2026-02-26 | $181.06 | BUY | HOLD | — | $1,463.98 | $21,817.00 |
| 2026-02-25 | $183.94 | BUY | HOLD | — | $2,110.36 | $22,463.38 |
| 2026-02-24 | $162.03 | BUY | HOLD | — | $2,467.67 | $22,820.69 |
| 2026-02-23 | $160.24 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$250.61 | $20,102.41 |
| 2026-02-20 | $171.35 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$472.69 | $19,880.33 |
| 2026-02-19 | $165.94 | BUY | HOLD | — | $905.68 | $21,258.70 |
| 2026-02-18 | $164.05 | BUY | HOLD | — | $234.48 | $20,587.50 |
| 2026-02-17 | $166.02 | BUY | BUY | — | $0.00 | $20,353.02 |
| 2026-02-13 | $164.32 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $20,353.02 |
| 2026-02-12 | $141.09 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $20,353.02 |
| 2026-02-11 | $153.20 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $20,353.02 |
| 2026-02-10 | $162.51 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $20,353.02 |
| 2026-02-09 | $167.25 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $20,353.02 |
| 2026-02-06 | $165.12 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $20,353.02 |
| 2026-02-05 | $146.12 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $20,353.02 |
| 2026-02-04 | $168.62 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $20,353.02 |
| 2026-02-03 | $179.66 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $20,353.02 |
| 2026-02-02 | $187.86 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $20,353.02 |
| 2026-01-30 | $194.74 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $20,353.02 |
| 2026-01-29 | $199.18 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $20,353.02 |
| 2026-01-28 | $209.43 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $20,353.02 |