All Symbols
COIN
19 runs · 2025-04-10 → 2026-10-23
Best Return
+24.8%
Best Alpha
+33.4pp
LLM Accuracy
50.0%
Total Runs
19
Alpha is the LLM strategy's return minus the buy-&-hold (B&H) return over the same period — how much the model beat simply holding the stock. +101.5 pp means the strategy outperformed buy-&-hold by 101.5 percentage points (pp = percentage points).
Next Trading Day Prediction
WAIT
Predicted for: 2026-10-26NEUTRALConfidence: 30%
Last close: $164.45
No valid entry signal today because the weekly confirmation gate is closed, so stay out of the market.
Portfolio Summary
Starting Fund
$10,000.00
Initial Capital
Current Fund
$16,756.91
as of 2026-10-23
Total Gain / Loss
$6,756.91
+67.6%
Current Position
● FLATNo open position
Performance by Month
(latest 6)| Month | Start | End | Return | B&H | Alpha | Trades | Win% | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2026 | $16,495.76 | $16,756.91 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Sep 2026 | $18,294.94 | $16,495.76 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Aug 2026 | $16,733.82 | $18,294.94 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Jul 2026 | $18,932.81 | $16,733.82 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Jun 2026 | $18,932.81 | $18,932.81 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| May 2026 | $20,456.98 | $18,932.81 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
Prediction Accuracy by Model
| Evaluated | Accuracy | BUY Acc. | SELL Acc. | SHORT Acc. | COVER Acc. | WAITs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | — | — | — | 19 |
| 76 | 47.4% | 45.5% | 66.7% | 50.0% | — | 164 |
| 11 | 36.4% | 40.0% | 0.0% | — | — | 94 |
Period Summaries
(all runs combined)| Period | Days | Start | End | P&L | Return | Alpha | Trades | Win% | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-Q4 | 1 | $16,495.76 | $16,949.01 | $453.25 | +2.7% | +2.7pp | 0 | — | 2.7% vs0.0% |
| 2026-Q3 | 3 | $18,932.81 | $17,177.52 | -$1,755.29 | -9.3% | -9.3pp | 0 | — | -9.3% vs0.0% |
| 2026-Q2 | 2 | $18,401.39 | $18,932.81 | $531.42 | +2.9% | +2.9pp | 0 | — | 2.9% vs0.0% |
| 2026-Q1 | 61 | $14,888.53 | $20,090.92 | $5,202.39 | +34.9% | +61.1pp | 3 | 100% | 34.9% vs-26.2% |
| 2025-Q4 | 64 | $14,146.92 | $14,888.53 | $741.61 | +5.2% | +39.9pp | 3 | 67% | 5.2% vs-34.7% |
| 2025-Q3 | 64 | $12,083.76 | $14,146.92 | $2,063.16 | +17.1% | +16.4pp | 2 | 100% | 17.1% vs0.6% |
| 2025-Q2 | 55 | $10,000.00 | $12,083.76 | $2,083.76 | +20.8% | -85.8pp | 2 | 0% | 20.8% vs106.6% |
| Date | Close | Rec | Trade Action | Trade P&L | Unrealized | Portfolio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-23 | $164.45 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,756.91 |
| 2026-10-22 | $169.09 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,756.91 |
| 2026-10-21 | $177.08 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,756.91 |
| 2026-10-20 | $170.77 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,756.91 |
| 2026-10-19 | $168.45 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,756.91 |
| 2026-10-16 | $173.16 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,756.91 |
| 2026-10-15 | $183.81 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,756.91 |
| 2026-10-14 | $172.89 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,756.91 |
| 2026-10-13 | $181.79 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,756.91 |
| 2026-10-12 | $180.39 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,756.91 |
| 2026-10-09 | $179.39 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,756.91 |
| 2026-10-08 | $172.00 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,756.91 |
| 2026-10-07 | $178.46 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,756.91 |
| 2026-10-06 | $185.74 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,756.91 |
| 2026-10-05 | $188.22 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,756.91 |
| 2026-10-02 | $183.00 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,756.91 |
| 2026-10-01 | $189.29 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$439.08 | $16,756.91 |
| 2026-09-30 | $186.34 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$700.23 | $16,495.76 |
| 2026-09-29 | $190.02 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$374.46 | $16,821.53 |
| 2026-09-28 | $191.79 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$217.77 | $16,978.22 |
| 2026-09-25 | $195.11 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $76.13 | $17,272.13 |
| 2026-09-24 | $199.21 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $439.08 | $17,635.08 |
| 2026-09-23 | $198.13 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $343.48 | $17,539.47 |
| 2026-09-22 | $201.07 | BUY | HOLD | — | $603.74 | $17,799.74 |
| 2026-09-21 | $201.05 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $601.97 | $17,797.96 |
| 2026-09-18 | $194.25 | BUY | BUY | — | $0.00 | $17,195.99 |
| 2026-09-17 | $173.97 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $17,195.99 |
| 2026-09-16 | $164.51 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $17,195.99 |
| 2026-09-15 | $172.11 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $17,195.99 |
| 2026-09-14 | $191.37 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $17,195.99 |