CRM

13 runs · 2025-04-10 → 2026-04-14

Best Return

+12.6%

Best Alpha

+26.5pp

LLM Accuracy

67.6%

Total Runs

Alpha is the LLM strategy's return minus the buy-&-hold (B&H) return over the same period — how much the model beat simply holding the stock. +101.5 pp means the strategy outperformed buy-&-hold by 101.5 percentage points (pp = percentage points).

Next Trading Day Prediction

WAIT

Predicted for: 2026-04-15NEUTRALConfidence: 40%

Last close: $171.20

Some short-term signals are positive with the weekly gate open, but in a bearish market regime, the score isn't high enough to justify buying yet.

Portfolio Summary

Starting Fund

$10,000.00

Initial Capital

Current Fund

$18,425.89

as of 2026-04-14

Total Gain / Loss

$8,425.89

+84.3%

Current Position

● FLATNo open position

Performance by Month

(latest 6)

Month	Start	End	Return	B&H	Alpha	Trades	Win%	Status
Apr 2026	$18,062.33	$18,425.89	+0.0%	+0.0%	+0.0pp	0	0%	Completed
Mar 2026	$17,160.75	$18,062.33	+5.3%	-4.8%	+10.0pp	1	100%	Completed
Feb 2026	$15,620.01	$17,160.75	+9.9%	-0.8%	+10.7pp	1	100%	Completed
Jan 2026	$14,288.96	$15,620.01	+9.3%	-17.2%	+26.5pp	3	67%	Completed
Dec 2025	$12,686.95	$14,288.96	+12.6%	+12.9%	-0.2pp	1	100%	Completed
Nov 2025	$11,855.95	$12,686.95	+7.0%	-9.4%	+16.4pp	3	67%	Completed

Prediction Accuracy by Model

Evaluated	Accuracy	BUY Acc.	SELL Acc.	SHORT Acc.	COVER Acc.	WAITs
34	67.6%	58.8%	33.3%	85.7%	—	205

Period Summaries

(all runs combined)

Period	Days	Start	End	P&L	Return	Alpha	Trades	Win%	vs B&H
2026-Q2	8	$18,062.33	$18,425.89	$363.56	+2.0%	+9.2pp	1	100%	2.0% vs -7.2%
2026-Q1	61	$14,288.96	$18,062.33	$3,773.37	+26.4%	+52.8pp	5	80%	26.4% vs -26.4%
2025-Q4	64	$11,992.68	$14,288.96	$2,296.28	+19.1%	+6.7pp	6	67%	19.1% vs 12.4%
2025-Q3	64	$10,466.01	$11,992.68	$1,526.67	+14.6%	+27.4pp	3	100%	14.6% vs -12.8%
2025-Q2	55	$10,000.00	$10,466.01	$466.01	+4.7%	-2.2pp	2	50%	4.7% vs 6.9%

Latest 30 Trading Days

(most recent)View all →

Date	Close	Rec	Trade Action	Trade P&L	Unrealized	Portfolio
2026-04-14	$171.31	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$18,425.89
2026-04-13	$172.82	COVER	COVER	$363.56	$363.56	$18,425.89
2026-04-10	$164.96	WAIT	SKIP	—	$1,168.52	$19,230.85
2026-04-09	$170.85	WAIT	SKIP	—	$565.31	$18,627.64
2026-04-08	$176.37	SHORT	SHORT	—	$0.00	$18,062.33
2026-04-07	$182.96	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$18,062.33
2026-04-06	$185.03	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$18,062.33
2026-04-02	$187.18	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$18,062.33
2026-04-01	$186.24	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$18,062.33
2026-03-31	$186.67	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$18,062.33
2026-03-30	$185.03	COVER	COVER	$901.58	$901.58	$18,062.33
2026-03-27	$179.31	WAIT	SKIP	—	$1,404.21	$18,564.96
2026-03-26	$185.57	WAIT	SKIP	—	$854.13	$18,014.88
2026-03-25	$181.96	WAIT	SKIP	—	$1,171.35	$18,332.10
2026-03-24	$183.02	WAIT	SKIP	—	$1,078.20	$18,238.95
2026-03-23	$195.29	SHORT	SHORT	—	$0.00	$17,160.75
2026-03-20	$195.38	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$17,160.75
2026-03-19	$194.99	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$17,160.75
2026-03-18	$194.34	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$17,160.75
2026-03-17	$195.31	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$17,160.75
2026-03-16	$198.34	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$17,160.75
2026-03-13	$192.83	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$17,160.75
2026-03-12	$199.28	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$17,160.75
2026-03-11	$194.13	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$17,160.75
2026-03-10	$194.91	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$17,160.75
2026-03-09	$198.79	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$17,160.75
2026-03-06	$202.11	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$17,160.75
2026-03-05	$201.39	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$17,160.75
2026-03-04	$193.08	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$17,160.75
2026-03-03	$196.05	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$17,160.75