All Symbols
JNJ
15 runs · 2025-05-23 → 2026-07-24
Best Return
+9.8%
Best Alpha
+5.4pp
LLM Accuracy
69.2%
Total Runs
15
Alpha is the LLM strategy's return minus the buy-&-hold (B&H) return over the same period — how much the model beat simply holding the stock. +101.5 pp means the strategy outperformed buy-&-hold by 101.5 percentage points (pp = percentage points).
Next Trading Day Prediction
WAIT
Predicted for: 2026-07-27UPConfidence: 90%
Last close: $263.40
No reason to sell, so stay in the long position.
Portfolio Summary
Starting Fund
$10,000.00
Initial Capital
Current Fund
$15,006.14
as of 2026-07-24
Total Gain / Loss
$5,006.14
+50.1%
Current Position
● LONG HOLDINGEntry $259.31 · 56.9709 sharesOpen P&L: $233.01
Performance by Month
(latest 6)| Month | Start | End | Return | B&H | Alpha | Trades | Win% | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2026 | $14,774.88 | $15,006.14 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Jun 2026 | $13,541.02 | $14,774.88 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| May 2026 | $13,541.02 | $13,541.02 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Apr 2026 | $13,541.02 | $13,541.02 | +0.0% | -5.4% | +5.4pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Mar 2026 | $14,292.37 | $13,541.02 | -5.3% | -0.9% | -4.3pp | 1 | 100% | Completed |
| Feb 2026 | $13,073.87 | $14,292.37 | +9.3% | +6.6% | +2.7pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
Prediction Accuracy by Model
| Evaluated | Accuracy | BUY Acc. | SELL Acc. | SHORT Acc. | COVER Acc. | WAITs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 69.2% | 69.2% | — | — | — | 28 |
| 73 | 52.1% | 52.8% | 0.0% | — | — | 141 |
| 0 | — | — | — | — | — | 21 |
Period Summaries
(all runs combined)| Period | Days | Start | End | P&L | Return | Alpha | Trades | Win% | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-Q3 | 1 | $14,774.88 | $14,723.68 | -$51.20 | -0.3% | -0.3pp | 0 | — | -0.3% vs0.0% |
| 2026-Q2 | 2 | $13,308.15 | $13,541.02 | $232.87 | +1.7% | +1.7pp | 0 | — | 1.7% vs0.0% |
| 2026-Q1 | 61 | $11,905.99 | $13,541.02 | $1,635.03 | +13.7% | -4.2pp | 1 | 100% | 13.7% vs17.9% |
| 2025-Q4 | 64 | $10,667.36 | $11,905.99 | $1,238.63 | +11.6% | +0.4pp | 0 | — | 11.6% vs11.2% |
| 2025-Q3 | 64 | $10,000.00 | $10,667.36 | $667.36 | +6.7% | -12.2pp | 0 | — | 6.7% vs18.9% |
| 2025-Q2 | 25 | $10,000.00 | $10,000.00 | $0.00 | +0.0% | +0.1pp | 0 | — | 0.0% vs-0.1% |
| Date | Close | Rec | Trade Action | Trade P&L | Unrealized | Portfolio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $263.40 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $233.01 | $15,006.14 |
| 2026-07-23 | $259.31 | BUY | BUY | — | $0.00 | $14,773.13 |
| 2026-07-22 | $255.64 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,773.13 |
| 2026-07-21 | $250.74 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,773.13 |
| 2026-07-20 | $248.85 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,773.13 |
| 2026-07-17 | $253.04 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,773.13 |
| 2026-07-16 | $249.59 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,773.13 |
| 2026-07-15 | $247.00 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,773.13 |
| 2026-07-14 | $253.86 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,773.13 |
| 2026-07-13 | $257.97 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,773.13 |
| 2026-07-10 | $256.98 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,773.13 |
| 2026-07-09 | $259.10 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,773.13 |
| 2026-07-08 | $263.35 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,773.13 |
| 2026-07-07 | $267.30 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,773.13 |
| 2026-07-06 | $259.34 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,773.13 |
| 2026-07-02 | $263.04 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,773.13 |
| 2026-07-01 | $253.95 | BUY | HOLD | — | $1,232.11 | $14,773.13 |
| 2026-06-30 | $253.98 | BUY | HOLD | — | $1,233.86 | $14,774.88 |
| 2026-06-29 | $258.42 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $1,492.15 | $15,033.17 |
| 2026-06-26 | $254.66 | BUY | HOLD | — | $1,273.42 | $14,814.44 |
| 2026-06-25 | $244.96 | BUY | HOLD | — | $709.13 | $14,250.15 |
| 2026-06-24 | $241.02 | BUY | HOLD | — | $479.93 | $14,020.95 |
| 2026-06-23 | $238.50 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $333.04 | $13,874.06 |
| 2026-06-22 | $231.27 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$87.26 | $13,453.76 |
| 2026-06-18 | $228.37 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$255.96 | $13,285.06 |
| 2026-06-17 | $234.05 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $74.46 | $13,615.48 |
| 2026-06-16 | $235.22 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $142.52 | $13,683.54 |
| 2026-06-15 | $235.82 | BUY | HOLD | — | $177.43 | $13,718.45 |
| 2026-06-12 | $240.87 | BUY | HOLD | — | $471.20 | $14,012.22 |
| 2026-06-11 | $238.37 | BUY | HOLD | — | $325.48 | $13,866.50 |