All Symbols
JNJ
18 runs · 2025-05-23 → 2026-10-23
Best Return
+9.8%
Best Alpha
+5.4pp
LLM Accuracy
58.8%
Total Runs
18
Alpha is the LLM strategy's return minus the buy-&-hold (B&H) return over the same period — how much the model beat simply holding the stock. +101.5 pp means the strategy outperformed buy-&-hold by 101.5 percentage points (pp = percentage points).
Next Trading Day Prediction
BUY
Predicted for: 2026-10-26UPConfidence: 80%
Last close: $263.81
The uptrend signal is strong enough to keep holding the long position.
Portfolio Summary
Starting Fund
$10,000.00
Initial Capital
Current Fund
$13,436.55
as of 2026-10-23
Total Gain / Loss
$3,436.55
+34.4%
Current Position
● LONG HOLDINGEntry $267.70 · 50.9327 sharesOpen P&L: -$198.13
Performance by Month
(latest 6)| Month | Start | End | Return | B&H | Alpha | Trades | Win% | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2026 | $13,954.03 | $13,436.55 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Sep 2026 | $14,215.12 | $13,954.03 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Aug 2026 | $14,604.50 | $14,215.12 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Jul 2026 | $14,774.88 | $14,604.50 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Jun 2026 | $13,541.02 | $14,774.88 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| May 2026 | $13,541.02 | $13,541.02 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
Prediction Accuracy by Model
| Evaluated | Accuracy | BUY Acc. | SELL Acc. | SHORT Acc. | COVER Acc. | WAITs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 58.8% | 57.6% | 100.0% | — | — | 70 |
| 73 | 52.1% | 52.8% | 0.0% | — | — | 141 |
| 0 | — | — | — | — | — | 21 |
Period Summaries
(all runs combined)| Period | Days | Start | End | P&L | Return | Alpha | Trades | Win% | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-Q4 | 1 | $13,954.03 | $13,683.68 | -$270.35 | -1.9% | -1.9pp | 1 | 0% | -1.9% vs0.0% |
| 2026-Q3 | 3 | $14,774.88 | $14,461.07 | -$313.81 | -2.1% | -2.1pp | 0 | — | -2.1% vs0.0% |
| 2026-Q2 | 2 | $13,308.15 | $13,541.02 | $232.87 | +1.7% | +1.7pp | 0 | — | 1.7% vs0.0% |
| 2026-Q1 | 61 | $11,905.99 | $13,541.02 | $1,635.03 | +13.7% | -4.2pp | 1 | 100% | 13.7% vs17.9% |
| 2025-Q4 | 64 | $10,667.36 | $11,905.99 | $1,238.63 | +11.6% | +0.4pp | 0 | — | 11.6% vs11.2% |
| 2025-Q3 | 64 | $10,000.00 | $10,667.36 | $667.36 | +6.7% | -12.2pp | 0 | — | 6.7% vs18.9% |
| 2025-Q2 | 25 | $10,000.00 | $10,000.00 | $0.00 | +0.0% | +0.1pp | 0 | — | 0.0% vs-0.1% |
| Date | Close | Rec | Trade Action | Trade P&L | Unrealized | Portfolio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-23 | $263.81 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$198.13 | $13,436.55 |
| 2026-10-22 | $267.70 | BUY | BUY | — | $0.00 | $13,634.67 |
| 2026-10-21 | $257.68 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,634.67 |
| 2026-10-20 | $259.44 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,634.67 |
| 2026-10-19 | $253.96 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,634.67 |
| 2026-10-16 | $255.56 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,634.67 |
| 2026-10-15 | $253.40 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,634.67 |
| 2026-10-14 | $253.93 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,634.67 |
| 2026-10-13 | $248.69 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,634.67 |
| 2026-10-12 | $264.12 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,634.67 |
| 2026-10-09 | $261.44 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,634.67 |
| 2026-10-08 | $256.46 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,634.67 |
| 2026-10-07 | $258.37 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,634.67 |
| 2026-10-06 | $254.85 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,634.67 |
| 2026-10-05 | $252.87 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,634.67 |
| 2026-10-02 | $256.03 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,634.67 |
| 2026-10-01 | $258.73 | SELL | SELL | -$875.32 | -$875.32 | $13,634.67 |
| 2026-09-30 | $264.79 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$555.97 | $13,954.03 |
| 2026-09-29 | $267.58 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$408.94 | $14,101.06 |
| 2026-09-28 | $272.03 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$174.43 | $14,335.56 |
| 2026-09-25 | $271.22 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$217.12 | $14,292.88 |
| 2026-09-24 | $270.75 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$241.89 | $14,268.11 |
| 2026-09-23 | $269.29 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$318.83 | $14,191.17 |
| 2026-09-22 | $269.31 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$317.77 | $14,192.22 |
| 2026-09-21 | $269.50 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$307.76 | $14,202.24 |
| 2026-09-18 | $269.99 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$281.94 | $14,228.06 |
| 2026-09-17 | $270.21 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$270.34 | $14,239.65 |
| 2026-09-16 | $267.35 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$421.06 | $14,088.94 |
| 2026-09-15 | $266.88 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$445.83 | $14,064.17 |
| 2026-09-14 | $266.33 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$474.81 | $14,035.18 |