All Symbols
JNJ
17 runs · 2025-05-23 → 2026-09-09
Best Return
+9.8%
Best Alpha
+5.4pp
LLM Accuracy
60.0%
Total Runs
17
Alpha is the LLM strategy's return minus the buy-&-hold (B&H) return over the same period — how much the model beat simply holding the stock. +101.5 pp means the strategy outperformed buy-&-hold by 101.5 percentage points (pp = percentage points).
Next Trading Day Prediction
WAIT
Predicted for: 2026-09-10DOWNConfidence: 80%
Last close: $267.19
Sell now because momentum has reversed downward.
Portfolio Summary
Starting Fund
$10,000.00
Initial Capital
Current Fund
$14,080.50
as of 2026-09-09
Total Gain / Loss
$4,080.50
+40.8%
Current Position
● LONG HOLDINGEntry $275.34 · 52.6985 sharesOpen P&L: -$429.49
Performance by Month
(latest 6)| Month | Start | End | Return | B&H | Alpha | Trades | Win% | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2026 | $14,215.12 | $14,080.50 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Aug 2026 | $14,604.50 | $14,215.12 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Jul 2026 | $14,774.88 | $14,604.50 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Jun 2026 | $13,541.02 | $14,774.88 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| May 2026 | $13,541.02 | $13,541.02 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Apr 2026 | $13,541.02 | $13,541.02 | +0.0% | -5.4% | +5.4pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
Prediction Accuracy by Model
| Evaluated | Accuracy | BUY Acc. | SELL Acc. | SHORT Acc. | COVER Acc. | WAITs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 60.0% | 60.0% | — | — | — | 48 |
| 73 | 52.1% | 52.8% | 0.0% | — | — | 141 |
| 0 | — | — | — | — | — | 21 |
Period Summaries
(all runs combined)| Period | Days | Start | End | P&L | Return | Alpha | Trades | Win% | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-Q3 | 3 | $14,774.88 | $14,461.07 | -$313.81 | -2.1% | -2.1pp | 0 | — | -2.1% vs0.0% |
| 2026-Q2 | 2 | $13,308.15 | $13,541.02 | $232.87 | +1.7% | +1.7pp | 0 | — | 1.7% vs0.0% |
| 2026-Q1 | 61 | $11,905.99 | $13,541.02 | $1,635.03 | +13.7% | -4.2pp | 1 | 100% | 13.7% vs17.9% |
| 2025-Q4 | 64 | $10,667.36 | $11,905.99 | $1,238.63 | +11.6% | +0.4pp | 0 | — | 11.6% vs11.2% |
| 2025-Q3 | 64 | $10,000.00 | $10,667.36 | $667.36 | +6.7% | -12.2pp | 0 | — | 6.7% vs18.9% |
| 2025-Q2 | 25 | $10,000.00 | $10,000.00 | $0.00 | +0.0% | +0.1pp | 0 | — | 0.0% vs-0.1% |
| Date | Close | Rec | Trade Action | Trade P&L | Unrealized | Portfolio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | $267.19 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$429.49 | $14,080.50 |
| 2026-09-08 | $269.14 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$326.73 | $14,183.27 |
| 2026-09-04 | $275.23 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$5.80 | $14,504.20 |
| 2026-09-03 | $278.47 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $164.95 | $14,674.94 |
| 2026-09-02 | $275.34 | BUY | BUY | — | $0.00 | $14,510.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | $271.38 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $13.90 | $14,510.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | $265.87 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$280.97 | $14,215.12 |
| 2026-08-28 | $268.04 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$164.68 | $14,331.41 |
| 2026-08-27 | $265.76 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$286.59 | $14,209.51 |
| 2026-08-26 | $270.13 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$52.93 | $14,443.16 |
| 2026-08-25 | $273.13 | BUY | HOLD | — | $107.47 | $14,603.56 |
| 2026-08-24 | $273.03 | BUY | HOLD | — | $102.12 | $14,598.22 |
| 2026-08-21 | $270.24 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$47.05 | $14,449.04 |
| 2026-08-20 | $267.77 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$179.12 | $14,316.98 |
| 2026-08-19 | $273.44 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $124.04 | $14,620.14 |
| 2026-08-18 | $271.12 | BUY | BUY | — | $0.00 | $14,496.09 |
| 2026-08-17 | $262.42 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,496.09 |
| 2026-08-14 | $260.35 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,496.09 |
| 2026-08-13 | $262.12 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,496.09 |
| 2026-08-12 | $260.89 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,496.09 |
| 2026-08-11 | $259.72 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,496.09 |
| 2026-08-10 | $261.69 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,496.09 |
| 2026-08-07 | $259.24 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,496.09 |
| 2026-08-06 | $257.02 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,496.09 |
| 2026-08-05 | $257.58 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,496.09 |
| 2026-08-04 | $254.94 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,496.09 |
| 2026-08-03 | $254.45 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$277.04 | $14,496.09 |
| 2026-07-31 | $256.35 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$168.63 | $14,604.50 |
| 2026-07-30 | $255.88 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$195.41 | $14,577.72 |
| 2026-07-29 | $265.66 | BUY | HOLD | — | $361.77 | $15,134.90 |