All Symbols
JPM
27 runs · 2024-01-02 → 2026-03-11
Best Return
+7.9%
Best Alpha
+5.1pp
LLM Accuracy
60.5%
Total Runs
27
Alpha is the LLM strategy's return minus the buy-&-hold (B&H) return over the same period — how much the model beat simply holding the stock. +101.5 pp means the strategy outperformed buy-&-hold by 101.5 percentage points (pp = percentage points).
Next Trading Day Prediction
WAIT
Predicted for: 2026-03-12NEUTRALConfidence: 30%
Last close: $287.52
The weekly momentum isn't picking up and other signals are too weak to buy, so no action is recommended.
Performance by Month
(latest 6)| Month | Start | End | Return | B&H | Alpha | Trades | Win% | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2026 | $15,251.84 | $15,251.84 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Feb 2026 | $15,692.33 | $15,251.84 | -2.8% | -4.6% | +1.8pp | 2 | 50% | Completed |
| Jan 2026 | $16,504.46 | $15,692.33 | -4.9% | -8.0% | +3.1pp | 1 | 0% | Completed |
| Dec 2025 | $16,477.30 | $16,504.46 | +0.2% | +4.7% | -4.5pp | 2 | 50% | Completed |
| Nov 2025 | $16,899.85 | $16,477.30 | -2.5% | +1.2% | -3.7pp | 1 | 0% | Completed |
| Oct 2025 | $16,681.99 | $16,899.85 | +1.3% | +1.7% | -0.3pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
Prediction Accuracy by Model
| Evaluated | Accuracy | BUY Acc. | SELL Acc. | WAITs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 256 | 60.5% | 61.3% | 52.4% | 293 |
Period Summaries
(all runs combined)| Period | Days | Start | End | P&L | Return | Alpha | Trades | Win% | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-Q4 | 64 | $16,681.99 | $16,504.46 | -$177.53 | -1.1% | -5.3pp | 3 | 33% | -1.1% vs4.2% |
| 2025-Q3 | 64 | $16,298.03 | $16,681.99 | $383.96 | +2.4% | -6.8pp | 4 | 100% | 2.4% vs9.1% |
| 2025-Q2 | 62 | $13,841.79 | $16,298.03 | $2,456.24 | +17.7% | -2.0pp | 1 | 100% | 17.7% vs19.7% |
| 2025-Q1 | 60 | $13,371.56 | $13,841.79 | $470.23 | +3.5% | +0.8pp | 2 | 50% | 3.5% vs2.7% |
| 2024-Q4 | 64 | $11,715.14 | $13,371.56 | $1,656.42 | +14.1% | -2.4pp | 2 | 50% | 14.1% vs16.5% |
| 2024-Q3 | 64 | $11,229.16 | $11,715.14 | $485.98 | +4.3% | +1.1pp | 3 | 67% | 4.3% vs3.2% |
| 2024-Q2 | 63 | $10,819.97 | $11,229.16 | $409.19 | +3.8% | +1.5pp | 2 | 50% | 3.8% vs2.3% |
| 2024-Q1 | 61 | $10,000.00 | $10,819.97 | $819.97 | +8.2% | -9.5pp | 1 | 100% | 8.2% vs17.7% |
| Date | Close | Rec | Trade Action | Trade P&L | Unrealized | Portfolio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-11 | $287.52 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $15,251.84 |
| 2026-03-10 | $288.73 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $15,251.84 |
| 2026-03-09 | $289.92 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $15,251.84 |
| 2026-03-06 | $289.48 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $15,251.84 |
| 2026-03-05 | $293.55 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $15,251.84 |
| 2026-03-04 | $299.39 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $15,251.84 |
| 2026-03-03 | $300.26 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $15,251.84 |
| 2026-03-02 | $297.56 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $15,251.84 |
| 2026-02-27 | $300.30 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $15,251.84 |
| 2026-02-26 | $306.13 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $15,251.84 |
| 2026-02-25 | $303.30 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $15,251.84 |
| 2026-02-24 | $297.30 | SELL | SELL | $283.11 | $283.11 | $15,251.84 |
| 2026-02-23 | $297.67 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$18.61 | $14,950.12 |
| 2026-02-20 | $310.79 | BUY | BUY | — | $0.00 | $14,968.73 |
| 2026-02-19 | $308.05 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,968.73 |
| 2026-02-18 | $308.78 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,968.73 |
| 2026-02-17 | $307.13 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,968.73 |
| 2026-02-13 | $302.55 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,968.73 |
| 2026-02-12 | $302.64 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,968.73 |
| 2026-02-11 | $310.82 | SELL | SELL | -$723.61 | -$723.61 | $14,968.73 |
| 2026-02-10 | $318.28 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$319.02 | $15,373.31 |
| 2026-02-09 | $322.10 | BUY | HOLD | — | $49.96 | $15,742.29 |
| 2026-02-06 | $322.40 | BUY | HOLD | — | $238.89 | $15,931.23 |
| 2026-02-05 | $310.16 | BUY | HOLD | — | $253.73 | $15,946.07 |
| 2026-02-04 | $317.27 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$351.66 | $15,340.67 |
| 2026-02-03 | $314.85 | BUY | BUY | — | $0.00 | $15,692.33 |
| 2026-02-02 | $308.14 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $15,692.33 |
| 2026-01-30 | $305.89 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $15,692.33 |
| 2026-01-29 | $306.42 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $15,692.33 |
| 2026-01-28 | $300.77 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $15,692.33 |