All Symbols
LLY
13 runs · 2025-04-10 → 2026-04-24
Best Return
+24.8%
Best Alpha
+10.5pp
LLM Accuracy
66.7%
Total Runs
13
Alpha is the LLM strategy's return minus the buy-&-hold (B&H) return over the same period — how much the model beat simply holding the stock. +101.5 pp means the strategy outperformed buy-&-hold by 101.5 percentage points (pp = percentage points).
Next Trading Day Prediction
WAIT
Predicted for: 2026-04-27DOWNConfidence: 30%
Last close: $881.06
The trend signals are negative and not strong enough to buy or short, so we stay on the sidelines.
Portfolio Summary
Starting Fund
$10,000.00
Initial Capital
Current Fund
$15,239.27
as of 2026-04-24
Total Gain / Loss
$5,239.27
+52.4%
Current Position
● FLATNo open position
Performance by Month
(latest 6)| Month | Start | End | Return | B&H | Alpha | Trades | Win% | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2026 | $15,078.93 | $15,239.27 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Mar 2026 | $15,078.93 | $15,078.93 | +0.0% | -8.7% | +8.7pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Feb 2026 | $15,078.93 | $15,078.93 | +0.0% | +5.0% | -5.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Jan 2026 | $15,078.93 | $15,078.93 | +0.0% | -0.4% | +0.4pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Dec 2025 | $15,329.50 | $15,078.93 | -1.6% | +2.7% | -4.4pp | 1 | 100% | Completed |
| Nov 2025 | $12,280.96 | $15,329.50 | +24.8% | +18.8% | +6.1pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
Prediction Accuracy by Model
| Evaluated | Accuracy | BUY Acc. | SELL Acc. | SHORT Acc. | COVER Acc. | WAITs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84 | 66.7% | 64.7% | 87.5% | 62.5% | — | 169 |
Period Summaries
(all runs combined)| Period | Days | Start | End | P&L | Return | Alpha | Trades | Win% | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-Q2 | 8 | $15,078.93 | $15,239.27 | $160.34 | +1.1% | +3.7pp | 1 | 100% | 1.1% vs-2.6% |
| 2026-Q1 | 61 | $15,078.93 | $15,078.93 | $0.00 | +0.0% | +14.7pp | 0 | — | 0.0% vs-14.7% |
| 2025-Q4 | 64 | $11,771.57 | $15,078.93 | $3,307.36 | +28.1% | -2.3pp | 2 | 50% | 28.1% vs30.4% |
| 2025-Q3 | 64 | $11,885.12 | $11,771.57 | -$113.55 | -1.0% | +0.5pp | 8 | 50% | -1.0% vs-1.4% |
| 2025-Q2 | 55 | $10,000.00 | $11,885.12 | $1,885.12 | +18.9% | +10.5pp | 5 | 80% | 18.9% vs8.4% |
| Date | Close | Rec | Trade Action | Trade P&L | Unrealized | Portfolio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-24 | $883.96 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $15,239.27 |
| 2026-04-23 | $917.65 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $15,239.27 |
| 2026-04-22 | $921.48 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $15,239.27 |
| 2026-04-21 | $903.02 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $15,239.27 |
| 2026-04-20 | $919.90 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $15,239.27 |
| 2026-04-17 | $927.03 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $15,239.27 |
| 2026-04-16 | $903.99 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $15,239.27 |
| 2026-04-15 | $905.03 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $15,239.27 |
| 2026-04-14 | $922.50 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $15,239.27 |
| 2026-04-13 | $929.55 | SELL | SELL | $160.34 | $160.34 | $15,239.27 |
| 2026-04-10 | $939.47 | BUY | HOLD | — | $322.97 | $15,401.90 |
| 2026-04-09 | $955.19 | BUY | HOLD | — | $580.68 | $15,659.62 |
| 2026-04-08 | $953.30 | BUY | HOLD | — | $549.70 | $15,628.63 |
| 2026-04-07 | $931.09 | BUY | HOLD | — | $185.58 | $15,264.51 |
| 2026-04-06 | $927.06 | BUY | HOLD | — | $119.51 | $15,198.45 |
| 2026-04-02 | $935.58 | BUY | HOLD | — | $259.19 | $15,338.13 |
| 2026-04-01 | $954.52 | BUY | HOLD | — | $569.70 | $15,648.63 |
| 2026-03-31 | $919.77 | BUY | BUY | — | $0.00 | $15,078.93 |
| 2026-03-30 | $886.63 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $15,078.93 |
| 2026-03-27 | $878.24 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $15,078.93 |
| 2026-03-26 | $897.00 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $15,078.93 |
| 2026-03-25 | $916.31 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $15,078.93 |
| 2026-03-24 | $903.02 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $15,078.93 |
| 2026-03-23 | $910.55 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $15,078.93 |
| 2026-03-20 | $906.70 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $15,078.93 |
| 2026-03-19 | $917.50 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $15,078.93 |
| 2026-03-18 | $918.05 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $15,078.93 |
| 2026-03-17 | $930.35 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $15,078.93 |
| 2026-03-16 | $989.12 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $15,078.93 |
| 2026-03-13 | $985.08 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $15,078.93 |