All Symbols
LLY
18 runs · 2025-04-10 → 2026-09-09
Best Return
+24.8%
Best Alpha
+10.5pp
LLM Accuracy
67.5%
Total Runs
18
Alpha is the LLM strategy's return minus the buy-&-hold (B&H) return over the same period — how much the model beat simply holding the stock. +101.5 pp means the strategy outperformed buy-&-hold by 101.5 percentage points (pp = percentage points).
Next Trading Day Prediction
WAIT
Predicted for: 2026-09-10NEUTRALConfidence: 20%
Last close: $1,124.16
No clear buy signal exists today, so we stay out of the market.
Portfolio Summary
Starting Fund
$10,000.00
Initial Capital
Current Fund
$12,946.26
as of 2026-09-09
Total Gain / Loss
$2,946.26
+29.5%
Current Position
● FLATNo open position
Performance by Month
(latest 6)| Month | Start | End | Return | B&H | Alpha | Trades | Win% | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2026 | $12,920.57 | $12,946.26 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Aug 2026 | $14,083.25 | $12,920.57 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Jul 2026 | $15,241.49 | $14,083.25 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Jun 2026 | $14,607.90 | $15,241.49 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| May 2026 | $14,333.32 | $14,607.90 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Apr 2026 | $15,078.93 | $14,333.32 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 1 | 0% | Completed |
Prediction Accuracy by Model
| Evaluated | Accuracy | BUY Acc. | SELL Acc. | SHORT Acc. | COVER Acc. | WAITs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | 67.5% | 66.1% | 85.7% | 62.5% | — | 159 |
| 3 | 66.7% | 50.0% | 100.0% | — | — | 18 |
| 31 | 45.2% | 45.2% | — | — | — | 42 |
Period Summaries
(all runs combined)| Period | Days | Start | End | P&L | Return | Alpha | Trades | Win% | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-Q3 | 3 | $15,241.49 | $12,930.28 | -$2,311.21 | -15.2% | -15.2pp | 1 | 0% | -15.2% vs0.0% |
| 2026-Q2 | 2 | $15,865.78 | $14,263.19 | -$1,602.59 | -10.1% | -10.1pp | 0 | — | -10.1% vs0.0% |
| 2026-Q1 | 61 | $15,078.93 | $15,078.93 | $0.00 | +0.0% | +14.7pp | 0 | — | 0.0% vs-14.7% |
| 2025-Q4 | 64 | $11,771.57 | $15,078.93 | $3,307.36 | +28.1% | -2.3pp | 2 | 50% | 28.1% vs30.4% |
| 2025-Q3 | 64 | $11,885.12 | $11,771.57 | -$113.55 | -1.0% | +0.5pp | 8 | 50% | -1.0% vs-1.4% |
| 2025-Q2 | 55 | $10,000.00 | $11,885.12 | $1,885.12 | +18.9% | +10.5pp | 5 | 80% | 18.9% vs8.4% |
| Date | Close | Rec | Trade Action | Trade P&L | Unrealized | Portfolio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | $1,124.16 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,946.26 |
| 2026-09-08 | $1,123.59 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,946.26 |
| 2026-09-04 | $1,149.36 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,946.26 |
| 2026-09-03 | $1,159.50 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,946.26 |
| 2026-09-02 | $1,160.06 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,946.26 |
| 2026-09-01 | $1,159.93 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$797.80 | $12,946.26 |
| 2026-08-31 | $1,157.63 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$823.48 | $12,920.57 |
| 2026-08-28 | $1,174.61 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$633.96 | $13,110.09 |
| 2026-08-27 | $1,175.35 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$625.71 | $13,118.35 |
| 2026-08-26 | $1,189.31 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$469.89 | $13,274.16 |
| 2026-08-25 | $1,233.51 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $23.43 | $13,767.49 |
| 2026-08-24 | $1,247.64 | BUY | HOLD | — | $181.08 | $13,925.14 |
| 2026-08-21 | $1,255.40 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $267.75 | $14,011.81 |
| 2026-08-20 | $1,245.69 | BUY | HOLD | — | $159.38 | $13,903.43 |
| 2026-08-19 | $1,280.74 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $550.58 | $14,294.63 |
| 2026-08-18 | $1,226.67 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$52.91 | $13,691.14 |
| 2026-08-17 | $1,184.91 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$519.00 | $13,225.05 |
| 2026-08-14 | $1,180.16 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$572.02 | $13,172.03 |
| 2026-08-13 | $1,209.27 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$247.12 | $13,496.94 |
| 2026-08-12 | $1,220.55 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$121.22 | $13,622.84 |
| 2026-08-11 | $1,214.59 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$187.74 | $13,556.32 |
| 2026-08-10 | $1,231.41 | BUY | BUY | — | $0.00 | $13,744.05 |
| 2026-08-07 | $1,185.71 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,744.05 |
| 2026-08-06 | $1,192.80 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,744.05 |
| 2026-08-05 | $1,168.77 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,744.05 |
| 2026-08-04 | $1,116.11 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,744.05 |
| 2026-08-03 | $1,121.17 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$1,403.37 | $13,744.05 |
| 2026-07-31 | $1,148.84 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$1,064.18 | $14,083.25 |
| 2026-07-30 | $1,155.27 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$985.35 | $14,162.07 |
| 2026-07-29 | $1,210.67 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$306.22 | $14,841.21 |