All Symbols
LLY
19 runs · 2025-04-10 → 2026-10-23
Best Return
+24.8%
Best Alpha
+10.5pp
LLM Accuracy
67.5%
Total Runs
19
Alpha is the LLM strategy's return minus the buy-&-hold (B&H) return over the same period — how much the model beat simply holding the stock. +101.5 pp means the strategy outperformed buy-&-hold by 101.5 percentage points (pp = percentage points).
Next Trading Day Prediction
BUY
Predicted for: 2026-10-26UPConfidence: 80%
Last close: $1,273.46
Stay in the long position as there are no signs to sell right now.
Portfolio Summary
Starting Fund
$10,000.00
Initial Capital
Current Fund
$13,870.56
as of 2026-10-23
Total Gain / Loss
$3,870.56
+38.7%
Current Position
● LONG HOLDINGEntry $1,188.60 · 10.8920 sharesOpen P&L: $924.30
Performance by Month
(latest 6)| Month | Start | End | Return | B&H | Alpha | Trades | Win% | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2026 | $12,946.26 | $13,870.56 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Sep 2026 | $12,920.57 | $12,946.26 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Aug 2026 | $14,083.25 | $12,920.57 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Jul 2026 | $15,241.49 | $14,083.25 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Jun 2026 | $14,607.90 | $15,241.49 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| May 2026 | $14,333.32 | $14,607.90 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
Prediction Accuracy by Model
| Evaluated | Accuracy | BUY Acc. | SELL Acc. | SHORT Acc. | COVER Acc. | WAITs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | 67.5% | 66.1% | 85.7% | 62.5% | — | 159 |
| 3 | 66.7% | 50.0% | 100.0% | — | — | 18 |
| 41 | 48.8% | 48.8% | — | — | — | 63 |
Period Summaries
(all runs combined)| Period | Days | Start | End | P&L | Return | Alpha | Trades | Win% | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-Q4 | 1 | $12,946.26 | $12,946.26 | $0.00 | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | — | 0.0% vs0.0% |
| 2026-Q3 | 3 | $15,241.49 | $12,930.28 | -$2,311.21 | -15.2% | -15.2pp | 1 | 0% | -15.2% vs0.0% |
| 2026-Q2 | 2 | $15,865.78 | $14,263.19 | -$1,602.59 | -10.1% | -10.1pp | 0 | — | -10.1% vs0.0% |
| 2026-Q1 | 61 | $15,078.93 | $15,078.93 | $0.00 | +0.0% | +14.7pp | 0 | — | 0.0% vs-14.7% |
| 2025-Q4 | 64 | $11,771.57 | $15,078.93 | $3,307.36 | +28.1% | -2.3pp | 2 | 50% | 28.1% vs30.4% |
| 2025-Q3 | 64 | $11,885.12 | $11,771.57 | -$113.55 | -1.0% | +0.5pp | 8 | 50% | -1.0% vs-1.4% |
| 2025-Q2 | 55 | $10,000.00 | $11,885.12 | $1,885.12 | +18.9% | +10.5pp | 5 | 80% | 18.9% vs8.4% |
| Date | Close | Rec | Trade Action | Trade P&L | Unrealized | Portfolio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-23 | $1,273.46 | BUY | HOLD | — | $924.30 | $13,870.56 |
| 2026-10-22 | $1,306.94 | BUY | HOLD | — | $1,288.96 | $14,235.22 |
| 2026-10-21 | $1,271.72 | BUY | HOLD | — | $905.35 | $13,851.61 |
| 2026-10-20 | $1,285.15 | BUY | HOLD | — | $1,051.62 | $13,997.88 |
| 2026-10-19 | $1,240.47 | BUY | HOLD | — | $564.97 | $13,511.23 |
| 2026-10-16 | $1,257.03 | BUY | HOLD | — | $745.34 | $13,691.60 |
| 2026-10-15 | $1,252.24 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $693.17 | $13,639.43 |
| 2026-10-14 | $1,211.40 | BUY | HOLD | — | $248.34 | $13,194.60 |
| 2026-10-13 | $1,166.99 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$235.38 | $12,710.88 |
| 2026-10-12 | $1,182.10 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$70.83 | $12,875.43 |
| 2026-10-09 | $1,179.27 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$101.62 | $12,844.64 |
| 2026-10-08 | $1,169.93 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$203.35 | $12,742.91 |
| 2026-10-07 | $1,188.60 | BUY | BUY | — | $0.00 | $12,946.26 |
| 2026-10-06 | $1,157.77 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,946.26 |
| 2026-10-05 | $1,144.80 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,946.26 |
| 2026-10-02 | $1,142.85 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,946.26 |
| 2026-10-01 | $1,151.42 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,946.26 |
| 2026-09-30 | $1,159.25 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,946.26 |
| 2026-09-29 | $1,186.10 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,946.26 |
| 2026-09-28 | $1,185.70 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,946.26 |
| 2026-09-25 | $1,183.46 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,946.26 |
| 2026-09-24 | $1,183.79 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,946.26 |
| 2026-09-23 | $1,152.70 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,946.26 |
| 2026-09-22 | $1,170.60 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,946.26 |
| 2026-09-21 | $1,164.66 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,946.26 |
| 2026-09-18 | $1,152.93 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,946.26 |
| 2026-09-17 | $1,152.25 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,946.26 |
| 2026-09-16 | $1,138.80 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,946.26 |
| 2026-09-15 | $1,136.98 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,946.26 |
| 2026-09-14 | $1,137.15 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,946.26 |