All Symbols
LLY
15 runs · 2025-04-10 → 2026-06-09
Best Return
+24.8%
Best Alpha
+10.5pp
LLM Accuracy
67.5%
Total Runs
15
Alpha is the LLM strategy's return minus the buy-&-hold (B&H) return over the same period — how much the model beat simply holding the stock. +101.5 pp means the strategy outperformed buy-&-hold by 101.5 percentage points (pp = percentage points).
Next Trading Day Prediction
BUY
Predicted for: 2026-06-10UPConfidence: 70%
Last close: $1,144.04
We are already long and nothing says to sell, so stay in the position.
Portfolio Summary
Starting Fund
$10,000.00
Initial Capital
Current Fund
$14,541.45
as of 2026-06-09
Total Gain / Loss
$4,541.45
+45.4%
Current Position
● LONG HOLDINGEntry $1,125.30 · 12.7107 sharesOpen P&L: $238.13
Performance by Month
(latest 6)| Month | Start | End | Return | B&H | Alpha | Trades | Win% | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2026 | $14,607.90 | $14,541.45 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| May 2026 | $14,333.32 | $14,607.90 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Apr 2026 | $15,078.93 | $14,333.32 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 1 | 0% | Completed |
| Mar 2026 | $15,078.93 | $15,078.93 | +0.0% | -8.7% | +8.7pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Feb 2026 | $15,078.93 | $15,078.93 | +0.0% | +5.0% | -5.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Jan 2026 | $15,078.93 | $15,078.93 | +0.0% | -0.4% | +0.4pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
Prediction Accuracy by Model
| Evaluated | Accuracy | BUY Acc. | SELL Acc. | SHORT Acc. | COVER Acc. | WAITs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | 67.5% | 66.1% | 85.7% | 62.5% | — | 159 |
| 3 | 66.7% | 50.0% | 100.0% | — | — | 18 |
| 7 | 57.1% | 57.1% | — | — | — | 2 |
Period Summaries
(all runs combined)| Period | Days | Start | End | P&L | Return | Alpha | Trades | Win% | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-Q2 | 2 | $15,865.78 | $14,263.19 | -$1,602.59 | -10.1% | -10.1pp | 0 | — | -10.1% vs0.0% |
| 2026-Q1 | 61 | $15,078.93 | $15,078.93 | $0.00 | +0.0% | +14.7pp | 0 | — | 0.0% vs-14.7% |
| 2025-Q4 | 64 | $11,771.57 | $15,078.93 | $3,307.36 | +28.1% | -2.3pp | 2 | 50% | 28.1% vs30.4% |
| 2025-Q3 | 64 | $11,885.12 | $11,771.57 | -$113.55 | -1.0% | +0.5pp | 8 | 50% | -1.0% vs-1.4% |
| 2025-Q2 | 55 | $10,000.00 | $11,885.12 | $1,885.12 | +18.9% | +10.5pp | 5 | 80% | 18.9% vs8.4% |
| Date | Close | Rec | Trade Action | Trade P&L | Unrealized | Portfolio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-09 | $1,144.04 | BUY | HOLD | — | $238.13 | $14,541.45 |
| 2026-06-08 | $1,148.97 | BUY | HOLD | — | $300.86 | $14,604.17 |
| 2026-06-05 | $1,131.42 | BUY | HOLD | — | $77.79 | $14,381.10 |
| 2026-06-04 | $1,125.30 | BUY | BUY | — | $0.00 | $14,303.31 |
| 2026-06-03 | $1,082.87 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,303.31 |
| 2026-06-02 | $1,064.84 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,303.31 |
| 2026-06-01 | $1,081.96 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$30.01 | $14,303.31 |
| 2026-05-29 | $1,105.00 | BUY | HOLD | — | $274.58 | $14,607.90 |
| 2026-05-28 | $1,127.45 | BUY | HOLD | — | $571.36 | $14,904.68 |
| 2026-05-27 | $1,084.23 | BUY | BUY | — | $0.00 | $14,333.32 |
| 2026-04-30 | $934.60 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,333.32 |
| 2026-04-29 | $851.21 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,333.32 |
| 2026-04-28 | $874.29 | SELL | SELL | -$745.61 | -$745.61 | $14,333.32 |
| 2026-04-27 | $868.27 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$844.30 | $14,234.63 |
| 2026-04-24 | $883.96 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$587.08 | $14,491.85 |
| 2026-04-23 | $917.65 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$34.76 | $15,044.18 |
| 2026-04-22 | $921.48 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $28.03 | $15,106.97 |
| 2026-04-21 | $903.02 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$274.60 | $14,804.33 |
| 2026-04-20 | $919.90 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $2.13 | $15,081.06 |
| 2026-04-17 | $927.03 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $119.02 | $15,197.95 |
| 2026-04-16 | $903.99 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$258.70 | $14,820.23 |
| 2026-04-15 | $905.03 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$241.65 | $14,837.28 |
| 2026-04-14 | $922.50 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $44.76 | $15,123.69 |
| 2026-04-13 | $929.55 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $160.34 | $15,239.27 |
| 2026-04-10 | $939.47 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $322.97 | $15,401.90 |
| 2026-04-09 | $955.19 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $580.68 | $15,659.62 |
| 2026-04-08 | $953.30 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $549.70 | $15,628.63 |
| 2026-04-07 | $931.09 | BUY | HOLD | — | $185.58 | $15,264.51 |
| 2026-04-06 | $927.06 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $119.51 | $15,198.45 |
| 2026-04-02 | $935.58 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $259.19 | $15,338.12 |