All Symbols
LLY
16 runs · 2025-04-10 → 2026-07-24
Best Return
+24.8%
Best Alpha
+10.5pp
LLM Accuracy
67.5%
Total Runs
16
Alpha is the LLM strategy's return minus the buy-&-hold (B&H) return over the same period — how much the model beat simply holding the stock. +101.5 pp means the strategy outperformed buy-&-hold by 101.5 percentage points (pp = percentage points).
Next Trading Day Prediction
BUY
Predicted for: 2026-07-27UPConfidence: 80%
Last close: $1,196.03
We are already long and nothing says to sell, so stay in the position.
Portfolio Summary
Starting Fund
$10,000.00
Initial Capital
Current Fund
$14,661.74
as of 2026-07-24
Total Gain / Loss
$4,661.74
+46.6%
Current Position
● LONG HOLDINGEntry $1,235.65 · 12.2587 sharesOpen P&L: -$485.69
Performance by Month
(latest 6)| Month | Start | End | Return | B&H | Alpha | Trades | Win% | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2026 | $15,241.49 | $14,661.74 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Jun 2026 | $14,607.90 | $15,241.49 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| May 2026 | $14,333.32 | $14,607.90 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Apr 2026 | $15,078.93 | $14,333.32 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 1 | 0% | Completed |
| Mar 2026 | $15,078.93 | $15,078.93 | +0.0% | -8.7% | +8.7pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Feb 2026 | $15,078.93 | $15,078.93 | +0.0% | +5.0% | -5.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
Prediction Accuracy by Model
| Evaluated | Accuracy | BUY Acc. | SELL Acc. | SHORT Acc. | COVER Acc. | WAITs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | 67.5% | 66.1% | 85.7% | 62.5% | — | 159 |
| 3 | 66.7% | 50.0% | 100.0% | — | — | 18 |
| 22 | 40.9% | 40.9% | — | — | — | 18 |
Period Summaries
(all runs combined)| Period | Days | Start | End | P&L | Return | Alpha | Trades | Win% | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-Q3 | 1 | $15,241.49 | $15,042.82 | -$198.67 | -1.3% | -1.3pp | 0 | — | -1.3% vs0.0% |
| 2026-Q2 | 2 | $15,865.78 | $14,263.19 | -$1,602.59 | -10.1% | -10.1pp | 0 | — | -10.1% vs0.0% |
| 2026-Q1 | 61 | $15,078.93 | $15,078.93 | $0.00 | +0.0% | +14.7pp | 0 | — | 0.0% vs-14.7% |
| 2025-Q4 | 64 | $11,771.57 | $15,078.93 | $3,307.36 | +28.1% | -2.3pp | 2 | 50% | 28.1% vs30.4% |
| 2025-Q3 | 64 | $11,885.12 | $11,771.57 | -$113.55 | -1.0% | +0.5pp | 8 | 50% | -1.0% vs-1.4% |
| 2025-Q2 | 55 | $10,000.00 | $11,885.12 | $1,885.12 | +18.9% | +10.5pp | 5 | 80% | 18.9% vs8.4% |
| Date | Close | Rec | Trade Action | Trade P&L | Unrealized | Portfolio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $1,196.03 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$485.69 | $14,661.74 |
| 2026-07-23 | $1,185.77 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$611.46 | $14,535.96 |
| 2026-07-22 | $1,163.08 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$889.61 | $14,257.81 |
| 2026-07-21 | $1,174.52 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$749.37 | $14,398.05 |
| 2026-07-20 | $1,146.80 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$1,089.18 | $14,058.24 |
| 2026-07-17 | $1,179.11 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$693.11 | $14,454.32 |
| 2026-07-16 | $1,170.23 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$801.96 | $14,345.46 |
| 2026-07-15 | $1,156.47 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$970.70 | $14,176.72 |
| 2026-07-14 | $1,154.47 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$995.16 | $14,152.27 |
| 2026-07-13 | $1,184.59 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$625.93 | $14,521.50 |
| 2026-07-10 | $1,188.58 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$577.02 | $14,570.41 |
| 2026-07-09 | $1,216.48 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$235.06 | $14,912.37 |
| 2026-07-08 | $1,215.84 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$242.84 | $14,904.58 |
| 2026-07-07 | $1,235.65 | BUY | BUY | — | $0.00 | $15,147.43 |
| 2026-07-06 | $1,202.56 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $15,147.43 |
| 2026-07-02 | $1,211.03 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $15,147.43 |
| 2026-07-01 | $1,191.71 | BUY | HOLD | — | $844.12 | $15,147.43 |
| 2026-06-30 | $1,199.11 | BUY | HOLD | — | $938.17 | $15,241.49 |
| 2026-06-29 | $1,228.58 | BUY | HOLD | — | $1,312.76 | $15,616.07 |
| 2026-06-26 | $1,208.12 | BUY | HOLD | — | $1,052.70 | $15,356.01 |
| 2026-06-25 | $1,129.13 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $48.68 | $14,351.99 |
| 2026-06-24 | $1,117.73 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$96.22 | $14,207.09 |
| 2026-06-23 | $1,110.75 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$184.94 | $14,118.37 |
| 2026-06-22 | $1,104.03 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$270.36 | $14,032.96 |
| 2026-06-18 | $1,098.13 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$345.35 | $13,957.96 |
| 2026-06-17 | $1,111.89 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$170.45 | $14,132.86 |
| 2026-06-16 | $1,122.57 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$34.70 | $14,268.61 |
| 2026-06-15 | $1,129.59 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $54.53 | $14,357.84 |
| 2026-06-12 | $1,133.00 | BUY | HOLD | — | $97.87 | $14,401.18 |
| 2026-06-11 | $1,160.87 | BUY | HOLD | — | $452.12 | $14,755.43 |