All Symbols
META
18 runs · 2025-04-10 → 2026-09-09
Best Return
+17.9%
Best Alpha
+11.5pp
LLM Accuracy
55.6%
Total Runs
18
Alpha is the LLM strategy's return minus the buy-&-hold (B&H) return over the same period — how much the model beat simply holding the stock. +101.5 pp means the strategy outperformed buy-&-hold by 101.5 percentage points (pp = percentage points).
Next Trading Day Prediction
WAIT
Predicted for: 2026-09-10UPConfidence: 70%
Last close: $653.69
Signals are good enough to stay in the position without selling.
Portfolio Summary
Starting Fund
$10,000.00
Initial Capital
Current Fund
$13,310.89
as of 2026-09-09
Total Gain / Loss
$3,310.89
+33.1%
Current Position
● LONG HOLDINGEntry $592.85 · 20.3627 sharesOpen P&L: $1,238.87
Performance by Month
(latest 6)| Month | Start | End | Return | B&H | Alpha | Trades | Win% | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2026 | $12,072.02 | $13,310.89 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Aug 2026 | $12,072.02 | $12,072.02 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Jul 2026 | $12,459.06 | $12,072.02 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Jun 2026 | $13,646.57 | $12,459.06 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| May 2026 | $13,705.79 | $13,646.57 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Apr 2026 | $13,717.21 | $13,705.79 | -0.1% | +6.5% | -6.6pp | 1 | 0% | Completed |
Prediction Accuracy by Model
| Evaluated | Accuracy | BUY Acc. | SELL Acc. | SHORT Acc. | COVER Acc. | WAITs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 55.6% | 50.0% | 100.0% | — | — | 12 |
| 97 | 54.6% | 53.5% | 80.0% | 50.0% | — | 142 |
| 15 | 46.7% | 46.2% | 50.0% | — | — | 58 |
Period Summaries
(all runs combined)| Period | Days | Start | End | P&L | Return | Alpha | Trades | Win% | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-Q3 | 3 | $12,459.06 | $12,072.02 | -$387.04 | -3.1% | -3.1pp | 0 | — | -3.1% vs0.0% |
| 2026-Q2 | 2 | $13,705.79 | $13,109.56 | -$596.23 | -4.4% | -4.4pp | 0 | — | -4.4% vs0.0% |
| 2026-Q1 | 61 | $12,984.63 | $13,717.21 | $732.58 | +5.6% | +17.7pp | 5 | 100% | 5.6% vs-12.0% |
| 2025-Q4 | 64 | $14,663.28 | $12,984.63 | -$1,678.65 | -11.4% | -3.5pp | 1 | 0% | -11.4% vs-7.9% |
| 2025-Q3 | 64 | $14,385.96 | $14,663.28 | $277.32 | +1.9% | -0.2pp | 3 | 100% | 1.9% vs2.2% |
| 2025-Q2 | 55 | $10,000.00 | $14,385.96 | $4,385.96 | +43.9% | +8.6pp | 1 | 100% | 43.9% vs35.2% |
| Date | Close | Rec | Trade Action | Trade P&L | Unrealized | Portfolio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | $653.69 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $1,238.87 | $13,310.89 |
| 2026-09-08 | $613.48 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $420.08 | $12,492.10 |
| 2026-09-04 | $616.77 | BUY | HOLD | — | $487.08 | $12,559.10 |
| 2026-09-03 | $610.68 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $363.07 | $12,435.09 |
| 2026-09-02 | $592.85 | BUY | BUY | — | $0.00 | $12,072.02 |
| 2026-09-01 | $578.54 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,072.02 |
| 2026-08-31 | $572.34 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,072.02 |
| 2026-08-28 | $578.02 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,072.02 |
| 2026-08-27 | $571.10 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,072.02 |
| 2026-08-26 | $576.14 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,072.02 |
| 2026-08-25 | $570.05 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,072.02 |
| 2026-08-24 | $559.02 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,072.02 |
| 2026-08-21 | $549.90 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,072.02 |
| 2026-08-20 | $545.83 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,072.02 |
| 2026-08-19 | $546.03 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,072.02 |
| 2026-08-18 | $543.67 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,072.02 |
| 2026-08-17 | $568.97 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,072.02 |
| 2026-08-14 | $589.85 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,072.02 |
| 2026-08-13 | $594.97 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,072.02 |
| 2026-08-12 | $578.85 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,072.02 |
| 2026-08-11 | $599.12 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,072.02 |
| 2026-08-10 | $594.92 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,072.02 |
| 2026-08-07 | $592.10 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,072.02 |
| 2026-08-06 | $589.90 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,072.02 |
| 2026-08-05 | $588.77 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,072.02 |
| 2026-08-04 | $587.94 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,072.02 |
| 2026-08-03 | $590.24 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,072.02 |
| 2026-07-31 | $556.71 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,072.02 |
| 2026-07-30 | $539.03 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,072.02 |
| 2026-07-29 | $585.61 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,072.02 |