All Symbols
META
16 runs · 2025-04-10 → 2026-07-24
Best Return
+17.9%
Best Alpha
+11.5pp
LLM Accuracy
55.6%
Total Runs
16
Alpha is the LLM strategy's return minus the buy-&-hold (B&H) return over the same period — how much the model beat simply holding the stock. +101.5 pp means the strategy outperformed buy-&-hold by 101.5 percentage points (pp = percentage points).
Next Trading Day Prediction
WAIT
Predicted for: 2026-07-27DOWNConfidence: 90%
Last close: $595.19
Strong sell signals and bearish market conditions mean we should exit the long position right away.
Portfolio Summary
Starting Fund
$10,000.00
Initial Capital
Current Fund
$12,098.85
as of 2026-07-24
Total Gain / Loss
$2,098.85
+21.0%
Current Position
● LONG HOLDINGEntry $612.91 · 20.3277 sharesOpen P&L: -$360.21
Performance by Month
(latest 6)| Month | Start | End | Return | B&H | Alpha | Trades | Win% | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2026 | $12,459.06 | $12,098.85 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Jun 2026 | $13,646.57 | $12,459.06 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| May 2026 | $13,705.79 | $13,646.57 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Apr 2026 | $13,717.21 | $13,705.79 | -0.1% | +6.5% | -6.6pp | 1 | 0% | Completed |
| Mar 2026 | $14,812.49 | $13,717.21 | -7.4% | -12.7% | +5.3pp | 1 | 100% | Completed |
| Feb 2026 | $14,074.74 | $14,812.49 | +5.2% | -6.3% | +11.5pp | 3 | 100% | Completed |
Prediction Accuracy by Model
| Evaluated | Accuracy | BUY Acc. | SELL Acc. | SHORT Acc. | COVER Acc. | WAITs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 55.6% | 50.0% | 100.0% | — | — | 12 |
| 97 | 54.6% | 53.5% | 80.0% | 50.0% | — | 142 |
| 12 | 41.7% | 36.4% | 100.0% | — | — | 29 |
Period Summaries
(all runs combined)| Period | Days | Start | End | P&L | Return | Alpha | Trades | Win% | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-Q3 | 1 | $12,459.06 | $12,459.06 | $0.00 | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | — | 0.0% vs0.0% |
| 2026-Q2 | 2 | $13,705.79 | $13,109.56 | -$596.23 | -4.4% | -4.4pp | 0 | — | -4.4% vs0.0% |
| 2026-Q1 | 61 | $12,984.63 | $13,717.21 | $732.58 | +5.6% | +17.7pp | 5 | 100% | 5.6% vs-12.0% |
| 2025-Q4 | 64 | $14,663.28 | $12,984.63 | -$1,678.65 | -11.4% | -3.5pp | 1 | 0% | -11.4% vs-7.9% |
| 2025-Q3 | 64 | $14,385.96 | $14,663.28 | $277.32 | +1.9% | -0.2pp | 3 | 100% | 1.9% vs2.2% |
| 2025-Q2 | 55 | $10,000.00 | $14,385.96 | $4,385.96 | +43.9% | +8.6pp | 1 | 100% | 43.9% vs35.2% |
| Date | Close | Rec | Trade Action | Trade P&L | Unrealized | Portfolio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $595.19 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$360.21 | $12,098.85 |
| 2026-07-23 | $606.10 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$138.43 | $12,320.63 |
| 2026-07-22 | $627.17 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $289.87 | $12,748.93 |
| 2026-07-21 | $643.81 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $628.13 | $13,087.19 |
| 2026-07-20 | $645.85 | BUY | HOLD | — | $669.59 | $13,128.65 |
| 2026-07-17 | $646.01 | BUY | HOLD | — | $672.85 | $13,131.91 |
| 2026-07-16 | $664.54 | BUY | HOLD | — | $1,049.52 | $13,508.58 |
| 2026-07-15 | $681.31 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $1,390.42 | $13,849.48 |
| 2026-07-14 | $661.04 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $978.37 | $13,437.43 |
| 2026-07-13 | $656.73 | BUY | HOLD | — | $890.76 | $13,349.82 |
| 2026-07-10 | $669.21 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $1,144.45 | $13,603.51 |
| 2026-07-09 | $631.48 | BUY | HOLD | — | $377.49 | $12,836.55 |
| 2026-07-08 | $603.03 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$200.84 | $12,258.22 |
| 2026-07-07 | $615.58 | BUY | HOLD | — | $54.28 | $12,513.34 |
| 2026-07-06 | $600.29 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$256.54 | $12,202.52 |
| 2026-07-02 | $582.88 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$610.36 | $11,848.70 |
| 2026-07-01 | $612.91 | BUY | BUY | — | $0.00 | $12,459.06 |
| 2026-06-30 | $563.29 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,459.06 |
| 2026-06-29 | $562.60 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,459.06 |
| 2026-06-26 | $550.25 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,459.06 |
| 2026-06-25 | $542.87 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,459.06 |
| 2026-06-24 | $557.80 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,459.06 |
| 2026-06-23 | $564.06 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,459.06 |
| 2026-06-22 | $563.85 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,459.06 |
| 2026-06-18 | $577.22 | SELL | SELL | -$496.23 | -$496.23 | $12,459.06 |
| 2026-06-17 | $567.58 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$704.31 | $12,250.99 |
| 2026-06-16 | $600.21 | BUY | BUY | — | $0.00 | $12,955.29 |
| 2026-06-15 | $593.48 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,955.29 |
| 2026-06-12 | $566.98 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,955.29 |
| 2026-06-11 | $568.43 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,955.29 |