META

19 runs · 2025-04-10 → 2026-10-23

Best Return

+17.9%

Best Alpha

+11.5pp

LLM Accuracy

59.4%

Total Runs

Alpha is the LLM strategy's return minus the buy-&-hold (B&H) return over the same period — how much the model beat simply holding the stock. +101.5 pp means the strategy outperformed buy-&-hold by 101.5 percentage points (pp = percentage points).

Next Trading Day Prediction

WAIT

Predicted for: 2026-10-26NEUTRALConfidence: 20%

Last close: $642.62

No clear buy signal today so we stay out of the market.

Portfolio Summary

Starting Fund

$10,000.00

Initial Capital

Current Fund

$14,112.79

as of 2026-10-23

Total Gain / Loss

$4,112.79

+41.1%

Current Position

● FLATNo open position

Performance by Month

(latest 6)

Month	Start	End	Return	B&H	Alpha	Win%	Status
Oct 2026	$14,766.61	$14,112.79	+0.0%	+0.0%	+0.0pp	0%	Completed
Sep 2026	$12,072.02	$14,766.61	+0.0%	+0.0%	+0.0pp	0%	Completed
Aug 2026	$12,072.02	$12,072.02	+0.0%	+0.0%	+0.0pp	0%	Completed
Jul 2026	$12,459.06	$12,072.02	+0.0%	+0.0%	+0.0pp	0%	Completed
Jun 2026	$13,646.57	$12,459.06	+0.0%	+0.0%	+0.0pp	0%	Completed
May 2026	$13,705.79	$13,646.57	+0.0%	+0.0%	+0.0pp	0%	Completed

Prediction Accuracy by Model

Evaluated	Accuracy	BUY Acc.	SELL Acc.	SHORT Acc.	COVER Acc.	WAITs
32	59.4%	58.6%	66.7%	—	—	73
9	55.6%	50.0%	100.0%	—	—	12
97	54.6%	53.5%	80.0%	50.0%	—	142

Period Summaries

(all runs combined)

Period	Days	Start	End	P&L	Return	Alpha	Trades	Win%	vs B&H
2026-Q4	1	$14,766.61	$14,788.91	$22.30	+0.2%	+0.2pp	0	—	0.2% vs 0.0%
2026-Q3	3	$12,459.06	$12,072.02	-$387.04	-3.1%	-3.1pp	0	—	-3.1% vs 0.0%
2026-Q2	2	$13,705.79	$13,109.56	-$596.23	-4.4%	-4.4pp	0	—	-4.4% vs 0.0%
2026-Q1	61	$12,984.63	$13,717.21	$732.58	+5.6%	+17.7pp	5	100%	5.6% vs -12.0%
2025-Q4	64	$14,663.28	$12,984.63	-$1,678.65	-11.4%	-3.5pp	1	0%	-11.4% vs -7.9%
2025-Q3	64	$14,385.96	$14,663.28	$277.32	+1.9%	-0.2pp	3	100%	1.9% vs 2.2%
2025-Q2	55	$10,000.00	$14,385.96	$4,385.96	+43.9%	+8.6pp	1	100%	43.9% vs 35.2%

Latest 30 Trading Days

(most recent)View all →

Date	Close	Rec	Trade Action	Trade P&L	Unrealized	Portfolio
2026-10-23	$642.62	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$14,112.79
2026-10-22	$648.85	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$14,112.79
2026-10-21	$697.52	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$14,112.79
2026-10-20	$694.25	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$14,112.79
2026-10-19	$705.44	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$14,112.79
2026-10-16	$709.33	SELL	SELL	-$669.10	-$669.10	$14,112.79
2026-10-15	$736.72	BUY	HOLD	—	-$124.15	$14,657.74
2026-10-14	$737.54	BUY	HOLD	—	-$107.84	$14,674.05
2026-10-13	$762.50	BUY	HOLD	—	$388.77	$15,170.65
2026-10-12	$742.96	BUY	BUY	—	$0.00	$14,781.89
2026-10-09	$718.67	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$14,781.89
2026-10-08	$720.89	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$14,781.89
2026-10-07	$721.31	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$14,781.89
2026-10-06	$738.88	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$14,781.89
2026-10-05	$741.90	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$14,781.89
2026-10-02	$728.08	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$14,781.89
2026-10-01	$725.93	BUY	HOLD	—	$2,709.87	$14,781.89
2026-09-30	$725.18	WAIT	HOLD	—	$2,694.59	$14,766.61
2026-09-29	$738.96	BUY	HOLD	—	$2,975.29	$15,047.31
2026-09-28	$715.62	BUY	HOLD	—	$2,499.93	$14,571.95
2026-09-25	$751.66	BUY	HOLD	—	$3,233.80	$15,305.82
2026-09-24	$777.59	BUY	HOLD	—	$3,761.80	$15,833.82
2026-09-23	$744.10	BUY	HOLD	—	$3,079.86	$15,151.88
2026-09-22	$736.60	BUY	HOLD	—	$2,927.03	$14,999.05
2026-09-21	$741.25	WAIT	HOLD	—	$3,021.72	$15,093.74
2026-09-18	$665.75	BUY	HOLD	—	$1,484.44	$13,556.46
2026-09-17	$682.31	WAIT	HOLD	—	$1,821.65	$13,893.67
2026-09-16	$673.31	BUY	HOLD	—	$1,638.38	$13,710.40
2026-09-15	$670.24	WAIT	HOLD	—	$1,575.87	$13,647.89
2026-09-14	$665.60	BUY	HOLD	—	$1,481.39	$13,553.41