All Symbols
META
27 runs · 2024-01-02 → 2026-03-11
Best Return
+18.7%
Best Alpha
+15.4pp
LLM Accuracy
58.7%
Total Runs
27
Alpha is the LLM strategy's return minus the buy-&-hold (B&H) return over the same period — how much the model beat simply holding the stock. +101.5 pp means the strategy outperformed buy-&-hold by 101.5 percentage points (pp = percentage points).
Next Trading Day Prediction
BUY
Predicted for: 2026-03-12UPConfidence: 80%
Last close: $654.86
The weekly and daily trend signals align positively, making it a good time to buy the stock.
Performance by Month
(latest 6)| Month | Start | End | Return | B&H | Alpha | Trades | Win% | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2026 | $21,593.80 | $21,593.80 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Feb 2026 | $22,728.53 | $21,593.80 | -5.0% | -6.3% | +1.3pp | 2 | 100% | Completed |
| Jan 2026 | $21,195.41 | $22,728.53 | +7.2% | +8.8% | -1.5pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Dec 2025 | $20,893.60 | $21,195.41 | +1.4% | +2.1% | -0.6pp | 1 | 100% | Completed |
| Nov 2025 | $20,741.87 | $20,893.60 | +0.7% | +3.3% | -2.6pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Oct 2025 | $23,849.95 | $20,741.87 | -13.0% | -10.8% | -2.2pp | 1 | 0% | Completed |
Prediction Accuracy by Model
| Evaluated | Accuracy | BUY Acc. | SELL Acc. | WAITs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 235 | 58.7% | 58.5% | 61.1% | 313 |
Period Summaries
(all runs combined)| Period | Days | Start | End | P&L | Return | Alpha | Trades | Win% | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-Q4 | 64 | $23,849.95 | $21,195.41 | -$2,654.54 | -11.1% | -3.2pp | 2 | 50% | -11.1% vs-7.9% |
| 2025-Q3 | 64 | $23,103.72 | $23,849.95 | $746.23 | +3.2% | +1.1pp | 4 | 50% | 3.2% vs2.2% |
| 2025-Q2 | 62 | $17,773.79 | $23,103.72 | $5,329.93 | +30.0% | +3.9pp | 1 | 100% | 30.0% vs26.1% |
| 2025-Q1 | 60 | $15,968.80 | $17,773.79 | $1,804.99 | +11.3% | +15.0pp | 2 | 50% | 11.3% vs-3.7% |
| 2024-Q4 | 64 | $15,806.41 | $15,968.80 | $162.39 | +1.0% | -0.6pp | 2 | 50% | 1.0% vs1.7% |
| 2024-Q3 | 64 | $13,084.21 | $15,806.41 | $2,722.20 | +20.8% | +7.3pp | 3 | 100% | 20.8% vs13.5% |
| 2024-Q2 | 63 | $13,108.33 | $13,084.21 | -$24.12 | -0.2% | -1.1pp | 1 | 0% | -0.2% vs0.9% |
| 2024-Q1 | 61 | $10,000.00 | $13,108.33 | $3,108.33 | +31.1% | -1.2pp | 1 | 100% | 31.1% vs32.3% |
| Date | Close | Rec | Trade Action | Trade P&L | Unrealized | Portfolio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-11 | $654.86 | BUY | BUY | — | $0.00 | $21,593.80 |
| 2026-03-10 | $654.07 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $21,593.80 |
| 2026-03-09 | $647.39 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $21,593.80 |
| 2026-03-06 | $644.86 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $21,593.80 |
| 2026-03-05 | $660.57 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $21,593.80 |
| 2026-03-04 | $667.73 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $21,593.80 |
| 2026-03-03 | $655.08 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $21,593.80 |
| 2026-03-02 | $653.56 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $21,593.80 |
| 2026-02-27 | $648.18 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $21,593.80 |
| 2026-02-26 | $657.01 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $21,593.80 |
| 2026-02-25 | $653.69 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $21,593.80 |
| 2026-02-24 | $639.30 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $21,593.80 |
| 2026-02-23 | $637.25 | SELL | SELL | $69.24 | $69.24 | $21,593.80 |
| 2026-02-20 | $655.66 | BUY | BUY | — | $0.00 | $21,524.56 |
| 2026-02-19 | $644.78 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $21,524.56 |
| 2026-02-18 | $643.22 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $21,524.56 |
| 2026-02-17 | $639.29 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $21,524.56 |
| 2026-02-13 | $639.77 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $21,524.56 |
| 2026-02-12 | $649.81 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $21,524.56 |
| 2026-02-11 | $668.69 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $21,524.56 |
| 2026-02-10 | $670.72 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $21,524.56 |
| 2026-02-09 | $677.22 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $21,524.56 |
| 2026-02-06 | $661.46 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $21,524.56 |
| 2026-02-05 | $670.21 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $21,524.56 |
| 2026-02-04 | $668.99 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $21,524.56 |
| 2026-02-03 | $691.70 | SELL | SELL | $329.15 | $329.15 | $21,524.56 |
| 2026-02-02 | $706.41 | BUY | HOLD | — | $1,059.83 | $22,255.24 |
| 2026-01-30 | $716.50 | BUY | HOLD | — | $1,533.12 | $22,728.53 |
| 2026-01-29 | $738.31 | BUY | HOLD | — | $1,857.77 | $23,053.18 |
| 2026-01-28 | $668.73 | BUY | HOLD | — | $2,559.50 | $23,754.91 |