All Symbols
MSFT
15 runs · 2025-04-10 → 2026-06-09
Best Return
+16.5%
Best Alpha
+12.1pp
LLM Accuracy
66.7%
Total Runs
15
Alpha is the LLM strategy's return minus the buy-&-hold (B&H) return over the same period — how much the model beat simply holding the stock. +101.5 pp means the strategy outperformed buy-&-hold by 101.5 percentage points (pp = percentage points).
Next Trading Day Prediction
WAIT
Predicted for: 2026-06-10NEUTRALConfidence: 30%
Last close: $403.41
No trade signal because the weekly confirmation gate is closed, so stay out of the market.
Portfolio Summary
Starting Fund
$10,000.00
Initial Capital
Current Fund
$14,174.41
as of 2026-06-09
Total Gain / Loss
$4,174.41
+41.7%
Current Position
● FLATNo open position
Performance by Month
(latest 6)| Month | Start | End | Return | B&H | Alpha | Trades | Win% | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2026 | $13,858.00 | $14,174.41 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| May 2026 | $13,693.79 | $13,858.00 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Apr 2026 | $12,907.65 | $13,693.79 | +6.1% | +9.2% | -3.1pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Mar 2026 | $12,447.47 | $12,907.65 | +3.7% | -8.4% | +12.1pp | 1 | 100% | Completed |
| Feb 2026 | $12,638.36 | $12,447.47 | -1.5% | -4.5% | +3.0pp | 2 | 50% | Completed |
| Jan 2026 | $12,795.45 | $12,638.36 | -1.2% | -9.0% | +7.8pp | 2 | 50% | Completed |
Prediction Accuracy by Model
| Evaluated | Accuracy | BUY Acc. | SELL Acc. | SHORT Acc. | COVER Acc. | WAITs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 66.7% | 66.7% | — | — | — | 15 |
| 69 | 66.7% | 65.6% | 66.7% | 80.0% | — | 170 |
| 2 | 50.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | — | — | 8 |
Period Summaries
(all runs combined)| Period | Days | Start | End | P&L | Return | Alpha | Trades | Win% | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-Q2 | 2 | $13,707.26 | $14,201.80 | $494.54 | +3.6% | +3.6pp | 1 | 0% | 3.6% vs0.0% |
| 2026-Q1 | 61 | $12,795.45 | $12,907.65 | $112.20 | +0.9% | +22.6pp | 5 | 60% | 0.9% vs-21.7% |
| 2025-Q4 | 64 | $12,850.33 | $12,795.45 | -$54.88 | -0.4% | +6.5pp | 1 | 100% | -0.4% vs-6.9% |
| 2025-Q3 | 64 | $13,015.71 | $12,850.33 | -$165.38 | -1.3% | -6.5pp | 1 | 100% | -1.3% vs5.3% |
| 2025-Q2 | 55 | $10,000.00 | $13,015.71 | $3,015.71 | +30.2% | -0.3pp | 1 | 100% | 30.2% vs30.4% |
| Date | Close | Rec | Trade Action | Trade P&L | Unrealized | Portfolio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-09 | $403.41 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,174.41 |
| 2026-06-08 | $411.77 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,174.41 |
| 2026-06-05 | $416.67 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,174.41 |
| 2026-06-04 | $428.05 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,174.41 |
| 2026-06-03 | $427.59 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,174.41 |
| 2026-06-02 | $441.31 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,174.41 |
| 2026-06-01 | $460.52 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $316.41 | $14,174.41 |
| 2026-05-29 | $450.24 | BUY | BUY | — | $0.00 | $13,858.00 |
| 2026-05-28 | $426.99 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,858.00 |
| 2026-05-27 | $412.67 | SELL | SELL | $950.35 | $950.35 | $13,858.00 |
| 2026-04-30 | $407.78 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $786.14 | $13,693.79 |
| 2026-04-29 | $424.46 | BUY | HOLD | — | $1,346.27 | $14,253.92 |
| 2026-04-28 | $429.25 | BUY | HOLD | — | $1,507.13 | $14,414.78 |
| 2026-04-27 | $424.82 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $1,358.36 | $14,266.01 |
| 2026-04-24 | $424.62 | BUY | HOLD | — | $1,351.65 | $14,259.30 |
| 2026-04-23 | $415.75 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $1,053.78 | $13,961.43 |
| 2026-04-22 | $432.92 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $1,630.37 | $14,538.02 |
| 2026-04-21 | $424.16 | BUY | HOLD | — | $1,336.20 | $14,243.85 |
| 2026-04-20 | $418.07 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $1,131.69 | $14,039.34 |
| 2026-04-17 | $422.79 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $1,290.19 | $14,197.84 |
| 2026-04-16 | $420.26 | BUY | HOLD | — | $1,205.23 | $14,112.88 |
| 2026-04-15 | $411.22 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $901.66 | $13,809.31 |
| 2026-04-14 | $393.11 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $293.50 | $13,201.15 |
| 2026-04-13 | $384.37 | BUY | BUY | — | $0.00 | $12,907.65 |
| 2026-04-10 | $370.87 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,907.65 |
| 2026-04-09 | $373.07 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,907.65 |
| 2026-04-08 | $374.33 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,907.65 |
| 2026-04-07 | $372.29 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,907.65 |
| 2026-04-06 | $372.88 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,907.65 |
| 2026-04-02 | $373.46 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,907.65 |