All Symbols
MSFT
13 runs · 2025-04-10 → 2026-04-24
Best Return
+16.5%
Best Alpha
+12.1pp
LLM Accuracy
65.3%
Total Runs
13
Alpha is the LLM strategy's return minus the buy-&-hold (B&H) return over the same period — how much the model beat simply holding the stock. +101.5 pp means the strategy outperformed buy-&-hold by 101.5 percentage points (pp = percentage points).
Next Trading Day Prediction
WAIT
Predicted for: 2026-04-27NEUTRALConfidence: 30%
Last close: $423.35
The weekly trend gate is closed because the daily momentum indicator isn't increasing, so no entry signal despite neutral market regime.
Portfolio Summary
Starting Fund
$10,000.00
Initial Capital
Current Fund
$12,840.39
as of 2026-04-24
Total Gain / Loss
$2,840.39
+28.4%
Current Position
● FLATNo open position
Performance by Month
(latest 6)| Month | Start | End | Return | B&H | Alpha | Trades | Win% | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2026 | $12,907.65 | $12,840.39 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Mar 2026 | $12,447.47 | $12,907.65 | +3.7% | -8.4% | +12.1pp | 1 | 100% | Completed |
| Feb 2026 | $12,638.36 | $12,447.47 | -1.5% | -4.5% | +3.0pp | 2 | 50% | Completed |
| Jan 2026 | $12,795.45 | $12,638.36 | -1.2% | -9.0% | +7.8pp | 2 | 50% | Completed |
| Dec 2025 | $12,856.30 | $12,795.45 | -0.5% | -1.3% | +0.8pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Nov 2025 | $12,875.69 | $12,856.30 | -0.2% | -4.3% | +4.2pp | 1 | 100% | Completed |
Prediction Accuracy by Model
| Evaluated | Accuracy | BUY Acc. | SELL Acc. | SHORT Acc. | COVER Acc. | WAITs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 72 | 65.3% | 63.5% | 75.0% | 80.0% | — | 184 |
Period Summaries
(all runs combined)| Period | Days | Start | End | P&L | Return | Alpha | Trades | Win% | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-Q2 | 8 | $12,907.65 | $12,907.65 | $0.00 | +0.0% | -4.1pp | 0 | — | 0.0% vs4.1% |
| 2026-Q1 | 61 | $12,795.45 | $12,907.65 | $112.20 | +0.9% | +22.6pp | 5 | 60% | 0.9% vs-21.7% |
| 2025-Q4 | 64 | $12,850.33 | $12,795.45 | -$54.88 | -0.4% | +6.5pp | 1 | 100% | -0.4% vs-6.9% |
| 2025-Q3 | 64 | $13,015.71 | $12,850.33 | -$165.38 | -1.3% | -6.5pp | 1 | 100% | -1.3% vs5.3% |
| 2025-Q2 | 55 | $10,000.00 | $13,015.71 | $3,015.71 | +30.2% | -0.3pp | 1 | 100% | 30.2% vs30.4% |
| Date | Close | Rec | Trade Action | Trade P&L | Unrealized | Portfolio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-24 | $424.62 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,840.39 |
| 2026-04-23 | $415.75 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,840.39 |
| 2026-04-22 | $432.92 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,840.39 |
| 2026-04-21 | $424.16 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,840.39 |
| 2026-04-20 | $418.07 | SELL | SELL | -$67.26 | -$67.26 | $12,840.39 |
| 2026-04-17 | $422.79 | BUY | HOLD | — | $77.71 | $12,985.36 |
| 2026-04-16 | $420.26 | BUY | BUY | — | $0.00 | $12,907.65 |
| 2026-04-15 | $411.22 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,907.65 |
| 2026-04-14 | $393.11 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,907.65 |
| 2026-04-13 | $384.37 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,907.65 |
| 2026-04-10 | $370.87 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,907.65 |
| 2026-04-09 | $373.07 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,907.65 |
| 2026-04-08 | $374.33 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,907.65 |
| 2026-04-07 | $372.29 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,907.65 |
| 2026-04-06 | $372.88 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,907.65 |
| 2026-04-02 | $373.46 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,907.65 |
| 2026-04-01 | $369.37 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,907.65 |
| 2026-03-31 | $370.17 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,907.65 |
| 2026-03-30 | $358.96 | COVER | COVER | $460.18 | $460.18 | $12,907.65 |
| 2026-03-27 | $356.77 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $533.31 | $12,980.78 |
| 2026-03-26 | $365.97 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $226.08 | $12,673.55 |
| 2026-03-25 | $371.04 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $56.77 | $12,504.24 |
| 2026-03-24 | $372.74 | SHORT | SHORT | — | $0.00 | $12,447.47 |
| 2026-03-23 | $383.00 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,447.47 |
| 2026-03-20 | $381.87 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,447.47 |
| 2026-03-19 | $389.02 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,447.47 |
| 2026-03-18 | $391.79 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,447.47 |
| 2026-03-17 | $399.41 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,447.47 |
| 2026-03-16 | $399.95 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,447.47 |
| 2026-03-13 | $395.55 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,447.47 |