MSFT

19 runs · 2025-04-10 → 2026-10-23

Best Return

+16.5%

Best Alpha

+12.1pp

LLM Accuracy

66.7%

Total Runs

Alpha is the LLM strategy's return minus the buy-&-hold (B&H) return over the same period — how much the model beat simply holding the stock. +101.5 pp means the strategy outperformed buy-&-hold by 101.5 percentage points (pp = percentage points).

Next Trading Day Prediction

WAIT

Predicted for: 2026-10-26NEUTRALConfidence: 20%

Last close: $524.51

The weekly trend signals are not aligned for a new buy, so we stay out of the market today.

Portfolio Summary

Starting Fund

$10,000.00

Initial Capital

Current Fund

$17,394.43

as of 2026-10-23

Total Gain / Loss

$7,394.43

+73.9%

Current Position

● FLATNo open position

Performance by Month

(latest 6)

Month	Start	End	Return	B&H	Alpha	Win%	Status
Oct 2026	$17,394.43	$17,394.43	+0.0%	+0.0%	+0.0pp	0%	Completed
Sep 2026	$17,612.11	$17,394.43	+0.0%	+0.0%	+0.0pp	0%	Completed
Aug 2026	$16,422.67	$17,612.11	+0.0%	+0.0%	+0.0pp	0%	Completed
Jul 2026	$14,174.41	$16,422.67	+0.0%	+0.0%	+0.0pp	0%	Completed
Jun 2026	$13,858.00	$14,174.41	+0.0%	+0.0%	+0.0pp	0%	Completed
May 2026	$13,693.79	$13,858.00	+0.0%	+0.0%	+0.0pp	0%	Completed

Prediction Accuracy by Model

Evaluated	Accuracy	BUY Acc.	SELL Acc.	SHORT Acc.	COVER Acc.	WAITs
6	66.7%	66.7%	—	—	—	15
69	66.7%	65.6%	66.7%	80.0%	—	170
9	44.4%	50.0%	0.0%	—	—	96

Period Summaries

(all runs combined)

Period	Days	Start	End	P&L	Return	Alpha	Trades	Win%	vs B&H
2026-Q4	1	$17,394.43	$17,394.43	$0.00	+0.0%	+0.0pp	0	—	0.0% vs 0.0%
2026-Q3	3	$14,174.41	$17,386.79	$3,212.38	+22.7%	+22.7pp	0	—	22.7% vs 0.0%
2026-Q2	2	$13,707.26	$14,201.80	$494.54	+3.6%	+3.6pp	1	0%	3.6% vs 0.0%
2026-Q1	61	$12,795.45	$12,907.65	$112.20	+0.9%	+22.6pp	5	60%	0.9% vs -21.7%
2025-Q4	64	$12,850.33	$12,795.45	-$54.88	-0.4%	+6.5pp	1	100%	-0.4% vs -6.9%
2025-Q3	64	$13,015.71	$12,850.33	-$165.38	-1.3%	-6.5pp	1	100%	-1.3% vs 5.3%
2025-Q2	55	$10,000.00	$13,015.71	$3,015.71	+30.2%	-0.3pp	1	100%	30.2% vs 30.4%

Latest 30 Trading Days

(most recent)View all →

Date	Close	Rec	Trade Action	Trade P&L	Unrealized	Portfolio
2026-10-23	$524.51	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$17,394.43
2026-10-22	$521.08	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$17,394.43
2026-10-21	$532.95	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$17,394.43
2026-10-20	$531.87	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$17,394.43
2026-10-19	$533.52	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$17,394.43
2026-10-16	$529.05	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$17,394.43
2026-10-15	$539.44	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$17,394.43
2026-10-14	$533.69	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$17,394.43
2026-10-13	$543.45	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$17,394.43
2026-10-12	$541.15	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$17,394.43
2026-10-09	$535.07	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$17,394.43
2026-10-08	$522.61	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$17,394.43
2026-10-07	$529.76	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$17,394.43
2026-10-06	$529.30	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$17,394.43
2026-10-05	$525.18	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$17,394.43
2026-10-02	$517.53	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$17,394.43
2026-10-01	$512.80	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$17,394.43
2026-09-30	$512.90	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$17,394.43
2026-09-29	$508.96	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$17,394.43
2026-09-28	$509.22	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$17,394.43
2026-09-25	$516.17	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$17,394.43
2026-09-24	$497.93	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$17,394.43
2026-09-23	$500.59	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$17,394.43
2026-09-22	$498.00	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$17,394.43
2026-09-21	$501.61	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$17,394.43
2026-09-18	$493.78	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$17,394.43
2026-09-17	$497.75	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$17,394.43
2026-09-16	$490.30	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$17,394.43
2026-09-15	$497.12	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$17,394.43
2026-09-14	$505.41	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$17,394.43