All Symbols
MU
18 runs · 2025-04-10 → 2026-09-09
Best Return
+45.4%
Best Alpha
+12.5pp
LLM Accuracy
64.9%
Total Runs
18
Alpha is the LLM strategy's return minus the buy-&-hold (B&H) return over the same period — how much the model beat simply holding the stock. +101.5 pp means the strategy outperformed buy-&-hold by 101.5 percentage points (pp = percentage points).
Next Trading Day Prediction
BUY
Predicted for: 2026-09-10UPConfidence: 80%
Last close: $1,027.77
The strategy shows positive signals with no reason to sell, so continue holding the position.
Portfolio Summary
Starting Fund
$10,000.00
Initial Capital
Current Fund
$74,653.68
as of 2026-09-09
Total Gain / Loss
$64,653.68
+646.5%
Current Position
● LONG HOLDINGEntry $1,016.59 · 72.6366 sharesOpen P&L: $812.08
Performance by Month
(latest 6)| Month | Start | End | Return | B&H | Alpha | Trades | Win% | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2026 | $75,842.22 | $74,653.68 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Aug 2026 | $80,036.47 | $75,842.22 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Jul 2026 | $89,496.35 | $80,036.47 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Jun 2026 | $77,421.37 | $89,496.35 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| May 2026 | $43,126.67 | $77,421.37 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Apr 2026 | $35,150.29 | $43,126.67 | +22.7% | +41.2% | -18.5pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
Prediction Accuracy by Model
| Evaluated | Accuracy | BUY Acc. | SELL Acc. | SHORT Acc. | COVER Acc. | WAITs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 111 | 64.9% | 64.5% | 75.0% | — | — | 133 |
| 25 | 40.0% | 37.5% | 100.0% | — | — | 47 |
| 6 | 16.7% | 16.7% | — | — | — | 14 |
Period Summaries
(all runs combined)| Period | Days | Start | End | P&L | Return | Alpha | Trades | Win% | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-Q3 | 3 | $89,496.35 | $73,677.06 | -$15,819.29 | -17.7% | -17.7pp | 1 | 0% | -17.7% vs0.0% |
| 2026-Q2 | 2 | $74,708.65 | $82,392.76 | $7,684.11 | +10.3% | +10.3pp | 0 | — | 10.3% vs0.0% |
| 2026-Q1 | 61 | $26,442.40 | $35,150.29 | $8,707.89 | +32.9% | +25.8pp | 1 | 100% | 32.9% vs7.1% |
| 2025-Q4 | 64 | $16,861.92 | $26,442.40 | $9,580.48 | +56.8% | +0.1pp | 1 | 100% | 56.8% vs56.7% |
| 2025-Q3 | 64 | $12,517.45 | $16,861.92 | $4,344.47 | +34.7% | -3.7pp | 0 | — | 34.7% vs38.4% |
| 2025-Q2 | 55 | $10,000.00 | $12,517.45 | $2,517.45 | +25.2% | -50.8pp | 2 | 100% | 25.2% vs75.9% |
| Date | Close | Rec | Trade Action | Trade P&L | Unrealized | Portfolio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | $1,027.77 | BUY | HOLD | — | $812.08 | $74,653.68 |
| 2026-09-08 | $1,000.26 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$1,186.16 | $72,655.45 |
| 2026-09-04 | $1,016.59 | BUY | BUY | — | $0.00 | $73,841.60 |
| 2026-09-03 | $958.16 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $73,841.60 |
| 2026-09-02 | $956.08 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $73,841.60 |
| 2026-09-01 | $933.44 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$6,194.87 | $73,841.60 |
| 2026-08-31 | $958.73 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$4,194.25 | $75,842.22 |
| 2026-08-28 | $932.86 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$6,240.75 | $73,795.72 |
| 2026-08-27 | $935.39 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$6,040.61 | $73,995.86 |
| 2026-08-26 | $938.40 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$5,802.50 | $74,233.97 |
| 2026-08-25 | $932.97 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$6,232.05 | $73,804.42 |
| 2026-08-24 | $910.43 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$8,015.12 | $72,021.35 |
| 2026-08-21 | $966.78 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$3,557.44 | $76,479.03 |
| 2026-08-20 | $974.33 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$2,960.18 | $77,076.29 |
| 2026-08-19 | $937.11 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$5,904.94 | $74,131.53 |
| 2026-08-18 | $940.76 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$5,615.80 | $74,420.67 |
| 2026-08-17 | $1,011.75 | BUY | BUY | — | $0.00 | $80,036.47 |
| 2026-08-14 | $971.66 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $80,036.47 |
| 2026-08-13 | $949.83 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $80,036.47 |
| 2026-08-12 | $911.29 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $80,036.47 |
| 2026-08-11 | $868.52 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $80,036.47 |
| 2026-08-10 | $861.00 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $80,036.47 |
| 2026-08-07 | $877.57 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $80,036.47 |
| 2026-08-06 | $881.47 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $80,036.47 |
| 2026-08-05 | $893.19 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $80,036.47 |
| 2026-08-04 | $892.67 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $80,036.47 |
| 2026-08-03 | $829.11 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $80,036.47 |
| 2026-07-31 | $823.03 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $80,036.47 |
| 2026-07-30 | $874.66 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $80,036.47 |
| 2026-07-29 | $739.00 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $80,036.47 |