MU

16 runs · 2025-04-10 → 2026-07-24

Best Return

+45.4%

Best Alpha

+12.5pp

LLM Accuracy

64.9%

Total Runs

Alpha is the LLM strategy's return minus the buy-&-hold (B&H) return over the same period — how much the model beat simply holding the stock. +101.5 pp means the strategy outperformed buy-&-hold by 101.5 percentage points (pp = percentage points).

Next Trading Day Prediction

WAIT

Predicted for: 2026-07-27NEUTRALConfidence: 20%

Last close: $920.95

The weekly trend signal is not improving, so we stay out of the market and wait.

Portfolio Summary

Starting Fund

$10,000.00

Initial Capital

Current Fund

$80,036.47

as of 2026-07-24

Total Gain / Loss

$70,036.47

+700.4%

Current Position

● FLATNo open position

Performance by Month

(latest 6)

Month	Start	End	Return	B&H	Alpha	Trades	Win%	Status
Jul 2026	$89,496.35	$80,036.47	+0.0%	+0.0%	+0.0pp	0	0%	Completed
Jun 2026	$77,421.37	$89,496.35	+0.0%	+0.0%	+0.0pp	0	0%	Completed
May 2026	$43,126.67	$77,421.37	+0.0%	+0.0%	+0.0pp	0	0%	Completed
Apr 2026	$35,150.29	$43,126.67	+22.7%	+41.2%	-18.5pp	0	0%	Completed
Mar 2026	$35,150.29	$35,150.29	+0.0%	-11.0%	+11.0pp	0	0%	Completed
Feb 2026	$38,437.41	$35,150.29	-8.6%	-1.7%	-6.9pp	1	100%	Completed

Prediction Accuracy by Model

Evaluated	Accuracy	BUY Acc.	SELL Acc.	SHORT Acc.	COVER Acc.	WAITs
111	64.9%	64.5%	75.0%	—	—	133
18	50.0%	47.1%	100.0%	—	—	23
6	16.7%	16.7%	—	—	—	14

Period Summaries

(all runs combined)

Period	Days	Start	End	P&L	Return	Alpha	Trades	Win%	vs B&H
2026-Q3	1	$89,496.35	$81,902.71	-$7,593.64	-8.5%	-8.5pp	1	0%	-8.5% vs 0.0%
2026-Q2	2	$74,708.65	$82,392.76	$7,684.11	+10.3%	+10.3pp	0	—	10.3% vs 0.0%
2026-Q1	61	$26,442.40	$35,150.29	$8,707.89	+32.9%	+25.8pp	1	100%	32.9% vs 7.1%
2025-Q4	64	$16,861.92	$26,442.40	$9,580.48	+56.8%	+0.1pp	1	100%	56.8% vs 56.7%
2025-Q3	64	$12,517.45	$16,861.92	$4,344.47	+34.7%	-3.7pp	0	—	34.7% vs 38.4%
2025-Q2	55	$10,000.00	$12,517.45	$2,517.45	+25.2%	-50.8pp	2	100%	25.2% vs 75.9%

Latest 30 Trading Days

(most recent)View all →

Date	Close	Rec	Trade Action	Trade P&L	Unrealized	Portfolio
2026-07-24	$920.95	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$80,036.47
2026-07-23	$990.21	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$80,036.47
2026-07-22	$959.48	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$80,036.47
2026-07-21	$970.82	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$80,036.47
2026-07-20	$865.46	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$80,036.47
2026-07-17	$848.95	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$80,036.47
2026-07-16	$853.20	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$80,036.47
2026-07-15	$904.28	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$80,036.47
2026-07-14	$983.12	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$80,036.47
2026-07-13	$937.00	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$80,036.47
2026-07-10	$979.30	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$80,036.47
2026-07-09	$991.64	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$80,036.47
2026-07-08	$948.80	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$80,036.47
2026-07-07	$938.38	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$80,036.47
2026-07-06	$984.75	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$80,036.47
2026-07-02	$975.56	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$80,036.47
2026-07-01	$1,032.28	SELL	SELL	-$2,467.12	-$2,467.12	$80,036.47
2026-06-30	$1,154.29	BUY	HOLD	—	$6,992.76	$89,496.35
2026-06-29	$1,145.28	BUY	HOLD	—	$6,294.18	$88,797.78
2026-06-26	$1,132.33	BUY	HOLD	—	$5,290.12	$87,793.71
2026-06-25	$1,213.56	BUY	HOLD	—	$11,588.18	$94,091.77
2026-06-24	$1,047.22	WAIT	HOLD	—	-$1,308.77	$81,194.82
2026-06-23	$1,046.43	BUY	HOLD	—	-$1,370.02	$81,133.57
2026-06-22	$1,211.38	BUY	HOLD	—	$11,419.16	$93,922.75
2026-06-18	$1,132.01	WAIT	HOLD	—	$5,265.31	$87,768.90
2026-06-17	$1,043.19	BUY	HOLD	—	-$1,621.23	$80,882.36
2026-06-16	$1,020.76	BUY	HOLD	—	-$3,360.31	$79,143.28
2026-06-15	$1,087.99	WAIT	HOLD	—	$1,852.28	$84,355.87
2026-06-12	$981.61	WAIT	HOLD	—	-$6,395.75	$76,107.84
2026-06-11	$995.87	BUY	HOLD	—	-$5,290.12	$77,213.47