All Symbols
NVDA
18 runs · 2025-04-10 → 2026-09-10
Best Return
+11.9%
Best Alpha
+7.3pp
LLM Accuracy
80.0%
Total Runs
18
Alpha is the LLM strategy's return minus the buy-&-hold (B&H) return over the same period — how much the model beat simply holding the stock. +101.5 pp means the strategy outperformed buy-&-hold by 101.5 percentage points (pp = percentage points).
Next Trading Day Prediction
WAIT
Predicted for: 2026-09-11DOWNConfidence: 90%
Last close: $218.40
The system requires selling now because momentum has reversed downward while holding a long position.
Portfolio Summary
Starting Fund
$10,000.00
Initial Capital
Current Fund
$13,000.29
as of 2026-09-10
Total Gain / Loss
$3,000.29
+30.0%
Current Position
● LONG HOLDINGEntry $224.40 · 59.5251 sharesOpen P&L: -$357.15
Performance by Month
(latest 6)| Month | Start | End | Return | B&H | Alpha | Trades | Win% | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2026 | $13,545.42 | $13,000.29 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Aug 2026 | $13,537.04 | $13,545.42 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Jul 2026 | $14,225.52 | $13,537.04 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Jun 2026 | $14,596.35 | $14,225.52 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| May 2026 | $13,701.76 | $14,596.35 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Apr 2026 | $12,500.96 | $13,701.76 | +9.6% | +12.5% | -2.9pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
Prediction Accuracy by Model
| Evaluated | Accuracy | BUY Acc. | SELL Acc. | SHORT Acc. | COVER Acc. | WAITs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 80.0% | 80.0% | — | — | — | 5 |
| 91 | 59.3% | 56.6% | 87.5% | — | — | 153 |
| 29 | 51.7% | 50.0% | 66.7% | — | — | 45 |
Period Summaries
(all runs combined)| Period | Days | Start | End | P&L | Return | Alpha | Trades | Win% | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-Q3 | 3 | $14,225.52 | $13,377.10 | -$848.42 | -6.0% | -6.0pp | 0 | — | -6.0% vs0.0% |
| 2026-Q2 | 2 | $14,751.52 | $14,596.35 | -$155.17 | -1.1% | -1.1pp | 1 | 100% | -1.1% vs0.0% |
| 2026-Q1 | 61 | $13,417.02 | $12,500.96 | -$916.06 | -6.8% | +0.8pp | 2 | 0% | -6.8% vs-7.6% |
| 2025-Q4 | 64 | $12,772.86 | $13,417.02 | $644.16 | +5.0% | +5.4pp | 3 | 100% | 5.0% vs-0.4% |
| 2025-Q3 | 64 | $11,349.52 | $12,772.86 | $1,423.34 | +12.5% | -9.2pp | 2 | 100% | 12.5% vs21.7% |
| 2025-Q2 | 55 | $10,000.00 | $11,349.52 | $1,349.52 | +13.5% | -33.4pp | 1 | 100% | 13.5% vs46.9% |
| Date | Close | Rec | Trade Action | Trade P&L | Unrealized | Portfolio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | $218.40 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$357.15 | $13,000.29 |
| 2026-09-09 | $223.79 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$36.31 | $13,321.13 |
| 2026-09-08 | $225.80 | BUY | HOLD | — | $83.34 | $13,440.77 |
| 2026-09-04 | $230.36 | BUY | HOLD | — | $354.77 | $13,712.21 |
| 2026-09-03 | $228.41 | BUY | HOLD | — | $238.40 | $13,595.84 |
| 2026-09-02 | $224.40 | BUY | BUY | — | $0.00 | $13,357.44 |
| 2026-09-01 | $217.44 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$643.18 | $13,357.44 |
| 2026-08-31 | $220.50 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$455.20 | $13,545.42 |
| 2026-08-28 | $217.55 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$636.42 | $13,364.20 |
| 2026-08-27 | $227.91 | BUY | BUY | — | $0.00 | $14,000.62 |
| 2026-08-26 | $209.95 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,000.62 |
| 2026-08-25 | $212.95 | SELL | SELL | $66.40 | $66.40 | $14,000.62 |
| 2026-08-24 | $208.46 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$229.12 | $13,705.09 |
| 2026-08-21 | $214.72 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $182.77 | $14,116.99 |
| 2026-08-20 | $217.01 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $333.33 | $14,267.54 |
| 2026-08-19 | $217.56 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $369.49 | $14,303.71 |
| 2026-08-18 | $219.74 | BUY | HOLD | — | $512.82 | $14,447.03 |
| 2026-08-17 | $225.01 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $859.30 | $14,793.51 |
| 2026-08-14 | $225.16 | BUY | HOLD | — | $869.16 | $14,803.37 |
| 2026-08-13 | $225.30 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $878.37 | $14,812.58 |
| 2026-08-12 | $224.09 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $798.81 | $14,733.03 |
| 2026-08-11 | $217.48 | BUY | HOLD | — | $364.23 | $14,298.45 |
| 2026-08-10 | $217.56 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $369.49 | $14,303.71 |
| 2026-08-07 | $223.96 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $790.27 | $14,724.48 |
| 2026-08-06 | $218.99 | BUY | HOLD | — | $463.51 | $14,397.72 |
| 2026-08-05 | $219.22 | BUY | HOLD | — | $478.63 | $14,412.84 |
| 2026-08-04 | $211.94 | BUY | BUY | — | $0.00 | $13,934.21 |
| 2026-08-03 | $206.64 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$291.31 | $13,934.21 |
| 2026-07-31 | $200.75 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$688.48 | $13,537.04 |
| 2026-07-30 | $195.04 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$1,073.52 | $13,152.00 |