All Symbols
NVDA
16 runs · 2025-04-10 → 2026-07-27
Best Return
+11.9%
Best Alpha
+7.3pp
LLM Accuracy
80.0%
Total Runs
16
Alpha is the LLM strategy's return minus the buy-&-hold (B&H) return over the same period — how much the model beat simply holding the stock. +101.5 pp means the strategy outperformed buy-&-hold by 101.5 percentage points (pp = percentage points).
Next Trading Day Prediction
WAIT
Predicted for: 2026-07-28DOWNConfidence: 90%
Last close: $196.53
The system says sell now because momentum has reversed downward.
Portfolio Summary
Starting Fund
$10,000.00
Initial Capital
Current Fund
$13,252.47
as of 2026-07-27
Total Gain / Loss
$3,252.47
+32.5%
Current Position
● LONG HOLDINGEntry $210.96 · 67.4323 sharesOpen P&L: -$973.05
Performance by Month
(latest 6)| Month | Start | End | Return | B&H | Alpha | Trades | Win% | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2026 | $14,225.52 | $13,252.47 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Jun 2026 | $14,596.35 | $14,225.52 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| May 2026 | $13,701.76 | $14,596.35 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Apr 2026 | $12,500.96 | $13,701.76 | +9.6% | +12.5% | -2.9pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Mar 2026 | $12,935.72 | $12,500.96 | -3.4% | -3.1% | -0.3pp | 1 | 0% | Completed |
| Feb 2026 | $13,709.68 | $12,935.72 | -5.6% | -1.7% | -3.9pp | 1 | 0% | Completed |
Prediction Accuracy by Model
| Evaluated | Accuracy | BUY Acc. | SELL Acc. | SHORT Acc. | COVER Acc. | WAITs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 80.0% | 80.0% | — | — | — | 5 |
| 91 | 59.3% | 56.6% | 87.5% | — | — | 153 |
| 11 | 27.3% | 22.2% | 50.0% | — | — | 31 |
Period Summaries
(all runs combined)| Period | Days | Start | End | P&L | Return | Alpha | Trades | Win% | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-Q3 | 1 | $14,225.52 | $14,225.52 | $0.00 | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | — | 0.0% vs0.0% |
| 2026-Q2 | 2 | $14,751.52 | $14,596.35 | -$155.17 | -1.1% | -1.1pp | 1 | 100% | -1.1% vs0.0% |
| 2026-Q1 | 61 | $13,417.02 | $12,500.96 | -$916.06 | -6.8% | +0.8pp | 2 | 0% | -6.8% vs-7.6% |
| 2025-Q4 | 64 | $12,772.86 | $13,417.02 | $644.16 | +5.0% | +5.4pp | 3 | 100% | 5.0% vs-0.4% |
| 2025-Q3 | 64 | $11,349.52 | $12,772.86 | $1,423.34 | +12.5% | -9.2pp | 2 | 100% | 12.5% vs21.7% |
| 2025-Q2 | 55 | $10,000.00 | $11,349.52 | $1,349.52 | +13.5% | -33.4pp | 1 | 100% | 13.5% vs46.9% |
| Date | Close | Rec | Trade Action | Trade P&L | Unrealized | Portfolio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | $196.53 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$973.05 | $13,252.47 |
| 2026-07-24 | $206.84 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$277.82 | $13,947.70 |
| 2026-07-23 | $208.75 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$149.03 | $14,076.49 |
| 2026-07-22 | $212.04 | BUY | HOLD | — | $72.76 | $14,298.28 |
| 2026-07-21 | $207.14 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$257.59 | $13,967.93 |
| 2026-07-20 | $203.28 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$517.88 | $13,707.64 |
| 2026-07-17 | $202.81 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$549.57 | $13,675.95 |
| 2026-07-16 | $207.40 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$240.06 | $13,985.46 |
| 2026-07-15 | $212.50 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $103.85 | $14,329.37 |
| 2026-07-14 | $211.81 | BUY | HOLD | — | $57.32 | $14,282.84 |
| 2026-07-13 | $203.53 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$501.02 | $13,724.50 |
| 2026-07-10 | $210.96 | BUY | BUY | — | $0.00 | $14,225.52 |
| 2026-07-09 | $202.70 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,225.52 |
| 2026-07-08 | $204.08 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,225.52 |
| 2026-07-07 | $196.93 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,225.52 |
| 2026-07-06 | $195.55 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,225.52 |
| 2026-07-02 | $194.83 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,225.52 |
| 2026-07-01 | $197.58 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,225.52 |
| 2026-06-30 | $200.09 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,225.52 |
| 2026-06-29 | $194.89 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,225.52 |
| 2026-06-26 | $192.53 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,225.52 |
| 2026-06-25 | $195.74 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,225.52 |
| 2026-06-24 | $198.91 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,225.52 |
| 2026-06-23 | $200.81 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,225.52 |
| 2026-06-22 | $208.66 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,225.52 |
| 2026-06-18 | $210.20 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,225.52 |
| 2026-06-17 | $204.65 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,225.52 |
| 2026-06-16 | $207.42 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,225.52 |
| 2026-06-15 | $212.45 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,225.52 |
| 2026-06-12 | $205.19 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,225.52 |