All Symbols
NVDA
19 runs · 2025-04-10 → 2026-10-23
Best Return
+11.9%
Best Alpha
+7.3pp
LLM Accuracy
80.0%
Total Runs
19
Alpha is the LLM strategy's return minus the buy-&-hold (B&H) return over the same period — how much the model beat simply holding the stock. +101.5 pp means the strategy outperformed buy-&-hold by 101.5 percentage points (pp = percentage points).
Next Trading Day Prediction
WAIT
Predicted for: 2026-10-26NEUTRALConfidence: 20%
Last close: $210.96
No buy signal today because the weekly trend check failed and the market regime is neutral.
Portfolio Summary
Starting Fund
$10,000.00
Initial Capital
Current Fund
$12,072.24
as of 2026-10-23
Total Gain / Loss
$2,072.24
+20.7%
Current Position
● FLATNo open position
Performance by Month
(latest 6)| Month | Start | End | Return | B&H | Alpha | Trades | Win% | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2026 | $12,613.25 | $12,072.24 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Sep 2026 | $13,545.42 | $12,613.25 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Aug 2026 | $13,537.04 | $13,545.42 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Jul 2026 | $14,225.52 | $13,537.04 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Jun 2026 | $14,596.35 | $14,225.52 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| May 2026 | $13,701.76 | $14,596.35 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
Prediction Accuracy by Model
| Evaluated | Accuracy | BUY Acc. | SELL Acc. | SHORT Acc. | COVER Acc. | WAITs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 80.0% | 80.0% | — | — | — | 5 |
| 91 | 59.3% | 56.6% | 87.5% | — | — | 153 |
| 39 | 56.4% | 55.9% | 60.0% | — | — | 66 |
Period Summaries
(all runs combined)| Period | Days | Start | End | P&L | Return | Alpha | Trades | Win% | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-Q4 | 1 | $12,613.25 | $12,800.75 | $187.50 | +1.5% | +1.5pp | 0 | — | 1.5% vs0.0% |
| 2026-Q3 | 3 | $14,225.52 | $13,377.10 | -$848.42 | -6.0% | -6.0pp | 0 | — | -6.0% vs0.0% |
| 2026-Q2 | 2 | $14,751.52 | $14,596.35 | -$155.17 | -1.1% | -1.1pp | 1 | 100% | -1.1% vs0.0% |
| 2026-Q1 | 61 | $13,417.02 | $12,500.96 | -$916.06 | -6.8% | +0.8pp | 2 | 0% | -6.8% vs-7.6% |
| 2025-Q4 | 64 | $12,772.86 | $13,417.02 | $644.16 | +5.0% | +5.4pp | 3 | 100% | 5.0% vs-0.4% |
| 2025-Q3 | 64 | $11,349.52 | $12,772.86 | $1,423.34 | +12.5% | -9.2pp | 2 | 100% | 12.5% vs21.7% |
| 2025-Q2 | 55 | $10,000.00 | $11,349.52 | $1,349.52 | +13.5% | -33.4pp | 1 | 100% | 13.5% vs46.9% |
| Date | Close | Rec | Trade Action | Trade P&L | Unrealized | Portfolio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-23 | $210.96 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,072.24 |
| 2026-10-22 | $212.21 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,072.24 |
| 2026-10-21 | $221.86 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,072.24 |
| 2026-10-20 | $216.47 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,072.24 |
| 2026-10-19 | $217.09 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,072.24 |
| 2026-10-16 | $214.13 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,072.24 |
| 2026-10-15 | $217.23 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,072.24 |
| 2026-10-14 | $221.51 | SELL | SELL | -$677.98 | -$677.98 | $12,072.24 |
| 2026-10-13 | $228.52 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$295.93 | $12,454.28 |
| 2026-10-12 | $226.32 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$415.83 | $12,334.38 |
| 2026-10-09 | $229.28 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$254.51 | $12,495.70 |
| 2026-10-08 | $230.48 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$189.11 | $12,561.10 |
| 2026-10-07 | $237.36 | BUY | HOLD | — | $185.84 | $12,936.06 |
| 2026-10-06 | $239.27 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $289.94 | $13,040.15 |
| 2026-10-05 | $238.90 | BUY | HOLD | — | $269.77 | $13,019.99 |
| 2026-10-02 | $233.95 | BUY | BUY | — | $0.00 | $12,750.21 |
| 2026-10-01 | $230.86 | BUY | HOLD | — | $192.20 | $12,750.21 |
| 2026-09-30 | $228.38 | BUY | HOLD | — | $55.23 | $12,613.25 |
| 2026-09-29 | $227.30 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$4.42 | $12,553.60 |
| 2026-09-28 | $228.86 | BUY | HOLD | — | $81.74 | $12,639.76 |
| 2026-09-25 | $225.07 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$127.58 | $12,430.44 |
| 2026-09-24 | $224.58 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$154.64 | $12,403.37 |
| 2026-09-23 | $225.66 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$94.99 | $12,463.02 |
| 2026-09-22 | $228.87 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $82.29 | $12,640.31 |
| 2026-09-21 | $227.38 | BUY | BUY | — | $0.00 | $12,558.02 |
| 2026-09-18 | $222.27 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,558.02 |
| 2026-09-17 | $219.34 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,558.02 |
| 2026-09-16 | $213.90 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,558.02 |
| 2026-09-15 | $212.17 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,558.02 |
| 2026-09-14 | $210.97 | SELL | SELL | -$799.42 | -$799.42 | $12,558.02 |