All Symbols
TSLA
27 runs · 2024-01-02 → 2026-03-11
Best Return
+32.6%
Best Alpha
+25.3pp
LLM Accuracy
57.5%
Total Runs
27
Alpha is the LLM strategy's return minus the buy-&-hold (B&H) return over the same period — how much the model beat simply holding the stock. +101.5 pp means the strategy outperformed buy-&-hold by 101.5 percentage points (pp = percentage points).
Next Trading Day Prediction
BUY
Predicted for: 2026-03-12UPConfidence: 100%
Last close: $407.82
Strong momentum and price trends are aligning positively, making it a great time to buy and ride the upward swing.
Performance by Month
(latest 6)| Month | Start | End | Return | B&H | Alpha | Trades | Win% | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2026 | $22,940.65 | $23,433.96 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Feb 2026 | $22,940.65 | $22,940.65 | +0.0% | -4.6% | +4.6pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Jan 2026 | $22,940.65 | $22,940.65 | +0.0% | -4.7% | +4.7pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Dec 2025 | $20,722.33 | $22,940.65 | +10.7% | +4.8% | +5.9pp | 1 | 100% | Completed |
| Nov 2025 | $20,722.33 | $20,722.33 | +0.0% | -3.2% | +3.2pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Oct 2025 | $21,006.25 | $20,722.33 | -1.4% | +4.7% | -6.1pp | 1 | 100% | Completed |
Prediction Accuracy by Model
| Evaluated | Accuracy | BUY Acc. | SELL Acc. | WAITs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 219 | 57.5% | 57.6% | 56.3% | 329 |
Period Summaries
(all runs combined)| Period | Days | Start | End | P&L | Return | Alpha | Trades | Win% | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-Q4 | 64 | $21,006.25 | $22,940.65 | $1,934.40 | +9.2% | +11.3pp | 2 | 100% | 9.2% vs-2.1% |
| 2025-Q3 | 64 | $14,833.87 | $21,006.25 | $6,172.38 | +41.6% | -6.3pp | 2 | 100% | 41.6% vs47.9% |
| 2025-Q2 | 62 | $11,204.05 | $14,833.87 | $3,629.82 | +32.4% | +14.1pp | 2 | 50% | 32.4% vs18.3% |
| 2025-Q1 | 60 | $12,025.38 | $11,204.05 | -$821.33 | -6.8% | +24.8pp | 1 | 0% | -6.8% vs-31.7% |
| 2024-Q4 | 64 | $11,739.88 | $12,025.38 | $285.50 | +2.4% | -54.1pp | 4 | 75% | 2.4% vs56.5% |
| 2024-Q3 | 64 | $9,963.06 | $11,739.88 | $1,776.82 | +17.8% | -6.8pp | 1 | 100% | 17.8% vs24.7% |
| 2024-Q2 | 63 | $9,514.25 | $9,963.06 | $448.81 | +4.7% | -8.2pp | 3 | 33% | 4.7% vs12.9% |
| 2024-Q1 | 61 | $10,000.00 | $9,514.25 | -$485.75 | -4.9% | +11.0pp | 1 | 0% | -4.9% vs-15.8% |
| Date | Close | Rec | Trade Action | Trade P&L | Unrealized | Portfolio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-11 | $407.82 | BUY | HOLD | — | $493.31 | $23,433.96 |
| 2026-03-10 | $399.24 | BUY | BUY | — | $0.00 | $22,940.65 |
| 2026-03-09 | $398.68 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $22,940.65 |
| 2026-03-06 | $396.73 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $22,940.65 |
| 2026-03-05 | $405.55 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $22,940.65 |
| 2026-03-04 | $405.94 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $22,940.65 |
| 2026-03-03 | $392.43 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $22,940.65 |
| 2026-03-02 | $403.32 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $22,940.65 |
| 2026-02-27 | $402.51 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $22,940.65 |
| 2026-02-26 | $408.58 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $22,940.65 |
| 2026-02-25 | $417.40 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $22,940.65 |
| 2026-02-24 | $409.38 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $22,940.65 |
| 2026-02-23 | $399.83 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $22,940.65 |
| 2026-02-20 | $411.82 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $22,940.65 |
| 2026-02-19 | $411.71 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $22,940.65 |
| 2026-02-18 | $411.32 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $22,940.65 |
| 2026-02-17 | $410.63 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $22,940.65 |
| 2026-02-13 | $417.44 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $22,940.65 |
| 2026-02-12 | $417.07 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $22,940.65 |
| 2026-02-11 | $428.27 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $22,940.65 |
| 2026-02-10 | $425.21 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $22,940.65 |
| 2026-02-09 | $417.32 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $22,940.65 |
| 2026-02-06 | $411.11 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $22,940.65 |
| 2026-02-05 | $397.21 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $22,940.65 |
| 2026-02-04 | $406.01 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $22,940.65 |
| 2026-02-03 | $421.96 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $22,940.65 |
| 2026-02-02 | $421.81 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $22,940.65 |
| 2026-01-30 | $430.41 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $22,940.65 |
| 2026-01-29 | $416.56 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $22,940.65 |
| 2026-01-28 | $431.46 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $22,940.65 |