All Symbols
TSLA
13 runs · 2025-04-10 → 2026-04-24
Best Return
+28.4%
Best Alpha
+7.1pp
LLM Accuracy
57.7%
Total Runs
13
Alpha is the LLM strategy's return minus the buy-&-hold (B&H) return over the same period — how much the model beat simply holding the stock. +101.5 pp means the strategy outperformed buy-&-hold by 101.5 percentage points (pp = percentage points).
Next Trading Day Prediction
WAIT
Predicted for: 2026-04-27DOWNConfidence: 30%
Last close: $376.43
The key weekly trend signals aren't lining up in this bearish market environment, so we're waiting on the sidelines.
Portfolio Summary
Starting Fund
$10,000.00
Initial Capital
Current Fund
$14,185.30
as of 2026-04-24
Total Gain / Loss
$4,185.30
+41.9%
Current Position
● FLATNo open position
Performance by Month
(latest 6)| Month | Start | End | Return | B&H | Alpha | Trades | Win% | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2026 | $14,187.99 | $14,185.30 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Mar 2026 | $14,587.93 | $14,187.99 | -2.7% | -5.3% | +2.5pp | 1 | 0% | Completed |
| Feb 2026 | $14,587.93 | $14,587.93 | +0.0% | -4.6% | +4.6pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Jan 2026 | $14,587.93 | $14,587.93 | +0.0% | -4.7% | +4.7pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Dec 2025 | $13,651.67 | $14,587.93 | +6.9% | +4.8% | +2.1pp | 1 | 100% | Completed |
| Nov 2025 | $13,651.67 | $13,651.67 | +0.0% | -3.2% | +3.2pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
Prediction Accuracy by Model
| Evaluated | Accuracy | BUY Acc. | SELL Acc. | SHORT Acc. | COVER Acc. | WAITs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 104 | 57.7% | 55.8% | 71.4% | 100.0% | — | 155 |
Period Summaries
(all runs combined)| Period | Days | Start | End | P&L | Return | Alpha | Trades | Win% | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-Q2 | 8 | $14,187.99 | $14,479.13 | $291.14 | +2.1% | +9.6pp | 1 | 100% | 2.1% vs-7.6% |
| 2026-Q1 | 61 | $14,587.93 | $14,187.99 | -$399.94 | -2.7% | +12.4pp | 1 | 0% | -2.7% vs-15.1% |
| 2025-Q4 | 64 | $14,682.75 | $14,587.93 | -$94.82 | -0.6% | +1.5pp | 2 | 100% | -0.6% vs-2.1% |
| 2025-Q3 | 64 | $10,811.74 | $14,682.75 | $3,871.01 | +35.8% | -12.1pp | 2 | 100% | 35.8% vs47.9% |
| 2025-Q2 | 55 | $10,000.00 | $10,811.74 | $811.74 | +8.1% | -17.7pp | 2 | 100% | 8.1% vs25.9% |
| Date | Close | Rec | Trade Action | Trade P&L | Unrealized | Portfolio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-24 | $376.30 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,185.30 |
| 2026-04-23 | $373.72 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,185.30 |
| 2026-04-22 | $387.51 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,185.30 |
| 2026-04-21 | $386.42 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,185.30 |
| 2026-04-20 | $392.49 | SELL | SELL | -$293.83 | -$293.83 | $14,185.30 |
| 2026-04-17 | $400.62 | BUY | BUY | — | $0.00 | $14,479.13 |
| 2026-04-16 | $388.90 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,479.13 |
| 2026-04-15 | $391.95 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,479.13 |
| 2026-04-14 | $364.16 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,479.13 |
| 2026-04-13 | $352.42 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,479.13 |
| 2026-04-10 | $348.95 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,479.13 |
| 2026-04-09 | $345.58 | COVER | COVER | $291.14 | $291.14 | $14,479.13 |
| 2026-04-08 | $343.25 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $384.84 | $14,572.83 |
| 2026-04-07 | $346.65 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $248.11 | $14,436.10 |
| 2026-04-06 | $352.82 | SHORT | SHORT | — | $0.00 | $14,187.99 |
| 2026-04-02 | $360.59 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,187.99 |
| 2026-04-01 | $381.26 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,187.99 |
| 2026-03-31 | $371.75 | COVER | COVER | -$399.95 | -$399.95 | $14,187.99 |
| 2026-03-30 | $355.28 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $264.08 | $14,852.01 |
| 2026-03-27 | $361.83 | SHORT | SHORT | — | $0.00 | $14,587.93 |
| 2026-03-26 | $372.11 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,587.93 |
| 2026-03-25 | $385.95 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,587.93 |
| 2026-03-24 | $383.03 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,587.93 |
| 2026-03-23 | $380.85 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,587.93 |
| 2026-03-20 | $367.96 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,587.93 |
| 2026-03-19 | $380.30 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,587.93 |
| 2026-03-18 | $392.78 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,587.93 |
| 2026-03-17 | $399.27 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,587.93 |
| 2026-03-16 | $395.56 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,587.93 |
| 2026-03-13 | $391.20 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,587.93 |