All Symbols
TSLA
16 runs · 2025-04-10 → 2026-07-24
Best Return
+28.4%
Best Alpha
+7.1pp
LLM Accuracy
57.4%
Total Runs
16
Alpha is the LLM strategy's return minus the buy-&-hold (B&H) return over the same period — how much the model beat simply holding the stock. +101.5 pp means the strategy outperformed buy-&-hold by 101.5 percentage points (pp = percentage points).
Next Trading Day Prediction
WAIT
Predicted for: 2026-07-27NEUTRALConfidence: 20%
Last close: $313.03
The weekly signal is not strong enough to buy or sell, so stay out of the market.
Portfolio Summary
Starting Fund
$10,000.00
Initial Capital
Current Fund
$14,037.39
as of 2026-07-24
Total Gain / Loss
$4,037.39
+40.4%
Current Position
● FLATNo open position
Performance by Month
(latest 6)| Month | Start | End | Return | B&H | Alpha | Trades | Win% | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2026 | $15,313.92 | $14,037.39 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Jun 2026 | $15,712.84 | $15,313.92 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| May 2026 | $13,814.42 | $15,712.84 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Apr 2026 | $14,187.99 | $13,814.42 | -2.6% | +5.8% | -8.5pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Mar 2026 | $14,587.93 | $14,187.99 | -2.7% | -5.3% | +2.5pp | 1 | 0% | Completed |
| Feb 2026 | $14,587.93 | $14,587.93 | +0.0% | -4.6% | +4.6pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
Prediction Accuracy by Model
| Evaluated | Accuracy | BUY Acc. | SELL Acc. | SHORT Acc. | COVER Acc. | WAITs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 101 | 57.4% | 56.4% | 66.7% | 100.0% | — | 142 |
| 6 | 16.7% | 20.0% | 0.0% | — | — | 35 |
| 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | — | — | 20 |
Period Summaries
(all runs combined)| Period | Days | Start | End | P&L | Return | Alpha | Trades | Win% | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-Q3 | 1 | $15,313.92 | $15,518.18 | $204.26 | +1.3% | +1.3pp | 0 | — | 1.3% vs0.0% |
| 2026-Q2 | 2 | $15,691.31 | $15,099.35 | -$591.96 | -3.8% | -3.8pp | 0 | — | -3.8% vs0.0% |
| 2026-Q1 | 61 | $14,587.93 | $14,187.99 | -$399.94 | -2.7% | +12.4pp | 1 | 0% | -2.7% vs-15.1% |
| 2025-Q4 | 64 | $14,682.75 | $14,587.93 | -$94.82 | -0.6% | +1.5pp | 2 | 100% | -0.6% vs-2.1% |
| 2025-Q3 | 64 | $10,811.74 | $14,682.75 | $3,871.01 | +35.8% | -12.1pp | 2 | 100% | 35.8% vs47.9% |
| 2025-Q2 | 55 | $10,000.00 | $10,811.74 | $811.74 | +8.1% | -17.7pp | 2 | 100% | 8.1% vs25.9% |
| Date | Close | Rec | Trade Action | Trade P&L | Unrealized | Portfolio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $313.03 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,037.39 |
| 2026-07-23 | $319.60 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,037.39 |
| 2026-07-22 | $374.13 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,037.39 |
| 2026-07-21 | $378.88 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,037.39 |
| 2026-07-20 | $369.57 | SELL | SELL | -$1,450.57 | -$1,450.57 | $14,037.39 |
| 2026-07-17 | $380.84 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$1,022.50 | $14,465.45 |
| 2026-07-16 | $391.17 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$630.14 | $14,857.82 |
| 2026-07-15 | $394.35 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$509.35 | $14,978.61 |
| 2026-07-14 | $396.01 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$446.30 | $15,041.66 |
| 2026-07-13 | $394.76 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$493.78 | $14,994.18 |
| 2026-07-10 | $407.76 | BUY | BUY | — | $0.00 | $15,487.96 |
| 2026-07-09 | $406.55 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $15,487.96 |
| 2026-07-08 | $393.93 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $15,487.96 |
| 2026-07-07 | $402.90 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $15,487.96 |
| 2026-07-06 | $419.77 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $15,487.96 |
| 2026-07-02 | $392.82 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $15,487.96 |
| 2026-07-01 | $425.38 | BUY | HOLD | — | $492.99 | $15,487.96 |
| 2026-06-30 | $420.60 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $318.95 | $15,313.92 |
| 2026-06-29 | $411.84 | BUY | BUY | — | $0.00 | $14,994.97 |
| 2026-06-26 | $379.71 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,994.97 |
| 2026-06-25 | $375.12 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,994.97 |
| 2026-06-24 | $375.48 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,994.97 |
| 2026-06-23 | $380.61 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,994.97 |
| 2026-06-22 | $405.05 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,994.97 |
| 2026-06-18 | $400.49 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,994.97 |
| 2026-06-17 | $396.38 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,994.97 |
| 2026-06-16 | $404.66 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,994.97 |
| 2026-06-15 | $411.17 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,994.97 |
| 2026-06-12 | $406.43 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,994.97 |
| 2026-06-11 | $399.15 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,994.97 |