All Symbols
TSLA
19 runs · 2025-04-10 → 2026-10-23
Best Return
+28.4%
Best Alpha
+7.1pp
LLM Accuracy
57.4%
Total Runs
19
Alpha is the LLM strategy's return minus the buy-&-hold (B&H) return over the same period — how much the model beat simply holding the stock. +101.5 pp means the strategy outperformed buy-&-hold by 101.5 percentage points (pp = percentage points).
Next Trading Day Prediction
WAIT
Predicted for: 2026-10-26DOWNConfidence: 90%
Last close: $372.22
The system requires selling now because momentum has reversed downward.
Portfolio Summary
Starting Fund
$10,000.00
Initial Capital
Current Fund
$12,336.40
as of 2026-10-23
Total Gain / Loss
$2,336.40
+23.4%
Current Position
● LONG HOLDINGEntry $386.47 · 33.1428 sharesOpen P&L: -$472.28
Performance by Month
(latest 6)| Month | Start | End | Return | B&H | Alpha | Trades | Win% | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2026 | $13,675.67 | $12,336.40 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Sep 2026 | $15,093.05 | $13,675.67 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 1 | 0% | Completed |
| Aug 2026 | $14,037.39 | $15,093.05 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Jul 2026 | $15,313.92 | $14,037.39 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Jun 2026 | $15,712.84 | $15,313.92 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| May 2026 | $13,814.42 | $15,712.84 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
Prediction Accuracy by Model
| Evaluated | Accuracy | BUY Acc. | SELL Acc. | SHORT Acc. | COVER Acc. | WAITs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 101 | 57.4% | 56.4% | 66.7% | 100.0% | — | 142 |
| 19 | 21.1% | 25.0% | 0.0% | — | — | 86 |
| 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | — | — | 20 |
Period Summaries
(all runs combined)| Period | Days | Start | End | P&L | Return | Alpha | Trades | Win% | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-Q4 | 1 | $13,675.67 | $13,675.67 | $0.00 | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | — | 0.0% vs0.0% |
| 2026-Q3 | 3 | $15,313.92 | $14,588.60 | -$725.32 | -4.7% | -4.7pp | 0 | — | -4.7% vs0.0% |
| 2026-Q2 | 2 | $15,691.31 | $15,099.35 | -$591.96 | -3.8% | -3.8pp | 0 | — | -3.8% vs0.0% |
| 2026-Q1 | 61 | $14,587.93 | $14,187.99 | -$399.94 | -2.7% | +12.4pp | 1 | 0% | -2.7% vs-15.1% |
| 2025-Q4 | 64 | $14,682.75 | $14,587.93 | -$94.82 | -0.6% | +1.5pp | 2 | 100% | -0.6% vs-2.1% |
| 2025-Q3 | 64 | $10,811.74 | $14,682.75 | $3,871.01 | +35.8% | -12.1pp | 2 | 100% | 35.8% vs47.9% |
| 2025-Q2 | 55 | $10,000.00 | $10,811.74 | $811.74 | +8.1% | -17.7pp | 2 | 100% | 8.1% vs25.9% |
| Date | Close | Rec | Trade Action | Trade P&L | Unrealized | Portfolio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-23 | $372.22 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$472.28 | $12,336.40 |
| 2026-10-22 | $374.58 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$394.07 | $12,414.62 |
| 2026-10-21 | $386.47 | BUY | BUY | — | $0.00 | $12,808.69 |
| 2026-10-20 | $373.71 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,808.69 |
| 2026-10-19 | $368.06 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,808.69 |
| 2026-10-16 | $354.72 | SELL | SELL | -$866.98 | -$866.98 | $12,808.69 |
| 2026-10-15 | $362.44 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$588.22 | $13,087.45 |
| 2026-10-14 | $367.16 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$417.78 | $13,257.89 |
| 2026-10-13 | $375.20 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$127.47 | $13,548.20 |
| 2026-10-12 | $378.03 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$25.28 | $13,650.39 |
| 2026-10-09 | $382.70 | BUY | HOLD | — | $143.35 | $13,819.02 |
| 2026-10-08 | $375.03 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$133.60 | $13,542.07 |
| 2026-10-07 | $377.61 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$40.44 | $13,635.23 |
| 2026-10-06 | $380.68 | BUY | HOLD | — | $70.41 | $13,746.08 |
| 2026-10-05 | $378.73 | BUY | BUY | — | $0.00 | $13,675.67 |
| 2026-10-02 | $370.59 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,675.67 |
| 2026-10-01 | $354.11 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,675.67 |
| 2026-09-30 | $354.81 | SELL | SELL | -$928.52 | -$928.52 | $13,675.67 |
| 2026-09-29 | $352.84 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$1,004.45 | $13,599.74 |
| 2026-09-28 | $357.45 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$826.76 | $13,777.42 |
| 2026-09-25 | $372.11 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$261.71 | $14,342.47 |
| 2026-09-24 | $377.94 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$37.00 | $14,567.18 |
| 2026-09-23 | $380.12 | BUY | HOLD | — | $47.02 | $14,651.21 |
| 2026-09-22 | $378.90 | BUY | BUY | — | $0.00 | $14,604.18 |
| 2026-09-21 | $375.21 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,604.18 |
| 2026-09-18 | $364.27 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,604.18 |
| 2026-09-17 | $366.02 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,604.18 |
| 2026-09-16 | $358.08 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,604.18 |
| 2026-09-15 | $356.58 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,604.18 |
| 2026-09-14 | $358.97 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $14,604.18 |