UNH

18 runs · 2025-05-02 → 2026-10-23

Best Return

+33.6%

Best Alpha

+25.4pp

LLM Accuracy

62.5%

Total Runs

Alpha is the LLM strategy's return minus the buy-&-hold (B&H) return over the same period — how much the model beat simply holding the stock. +101.5 pp means the strategy outperformed buy-&-hold by 101.5 percentage points (pp = percentage points).

Next Trading Day Prediction

BUY

Predicted for: 2026-10-26UPConfidence: 70%

Last close: $418.09

We are already long and nothing says to sell, so stay in the position.

Portfolio Summary

Starting Fund

$10,000.00

Initial Capital

Current Fund

$11,074.46

as of 2026-10-23

Total Gain / Loss

$1,074.46

+10.7%

Current Position

● LONG HOLDINGEntry $395.76 · 26.4882 sharesOpen P&L: $591.61

Performance by Month

(latest 6)

Month	Start	End	Return	B&H	Alpha	Win%	Status
Oct 2026	$10,482.85	$11,074.46	+0.0%	+0.0%	+0.0pp	0%	Completed
Sep 2026	$10,482.85	$10,482.85	+0.0%	+0.0%	+0.0pp	0%	Completed
Aug 2026	$10,482.85	$10,482.85	+0.0%	+0.0%	+0.0pp	0%	Completed
Jul 2026	$10,211.97	$10,482.85	+0.0%	+0.0%	+0.0pp	0%	Completed
Jun 2026	$10,145.23	$10,211.97	+0.0%	+0.0%	+0.0pp	0%	Completed
May 2026	$9,784.21	$10,145.23	+0.0%	+0.0%	+0.0pp	0%	Completed

Prediction Accuracy by Model

Evaluated	Accuracy	BUY Acc.	SELL Acc.	SHORT Acc.	COVER Acc.	WAITs
8	62.5%	62.5%	—	—	—	13
15	33.3%	33.3%	—	—	—	89
7	28.6%	40.0%	0.0%	—	—	222

Period Summaries

(all runs combined)

Period	Days	Start	End	P&L	Return	Alpha	Trades	Win%	vs B&H
2026-Q4	1	$10,482.85	$10,482.85	$0.00	+0.0%	+0.0pp	0	—	0.0% vs 0.0%
2026-Q3	3	$10,211.97	$10,482.85	$270.88	+2.7%	+2.7pp	0	—	2.7% vs 0.0%
2026-Q2	2	$9,956.13	$10,145.23	$189.10	+1.9%	+1.9pp	0	—	1.9% vs 0.0%
2026-Q1	61	$10,000.00	$7,322.31	-$2,677.69	-26.8%	-7.2pp	2	0%	-26.8% vs -19.6%
2025-Q4	64	$10,000.00	$10,000.00	$0.00	+0.0%	+5.2pp	0	—	0.0% vs -5.2%
2025-Q3	64	$10,000.00	$10,000.00	$0.00	+0.0%	-5.9pp	0	—	0.0% vs 5.9%
2025-Q2	40	$10,000.00	$10,000.00	$0.00	+0.0%	+22.0pp	0	—	0.0% vs -22.0%

Latest 30 Trading Days

(most recent)View all →

Date	Close	Rec	Trade Action	Trade P&L	Unrealized	Portfolio
2026-10-23	$418.09	BUY	HOLD	—	$591.61	$11,074.46
2026-10-22	$425.01	BUY	HOLD	—	$774.91	$11,257.76
2026-10-21	$416.96	WAIT	HOLD	—	$561.68	$11,044.53
2026-10-20	$419.34	BUY	HOLD	—	$624.72	$11,107.57
2026-10-19	$406.87	BUY	HOLD	—	$294.42	$10,777.27
2026-10-16	$401.43	BUY	HOLD	—	$150.32	$10,633.17
2026-10-15	$406.72	BUY	HOLD	—	$290.44	$10,773.29
2026-10-14	$395.76	BUY	BUY	—	$0.00	$10,482.85
2026-10-13	$377.62	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$10,482.85
2026-10-12	$378.25	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$10,482.85
2026-10-09	$379.30	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$10,482.85
2026-10-08	$370.75	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$10,482.85
2026-10-07	$375.87	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$10,482.85
2026-10-06	$376.11	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$10,482.85
2026-10-05	$378.61	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$10,482.85
2026-10-02	$371.90	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$10,482.85
2026-10-01	$365.10	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$10,482.85
2026-09-30	$367.28	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$10,482.85
2026-09-29	$374.95	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$10,482.85
2026-09-28	$377.81	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$10,482.85
2026-09-25	$376.59	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$10,482.85
2026-09-24	$375.06	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$10,482.85
2026-09-23	$371.34	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$10,482.85
2026-09-22	$372.96	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$10,482.85
2026-09-21	$377.55	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$10,482.85
2026-09-18	$376.90	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$10,482.85
2026-09-17	$375.32	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$10,482.85
2026-09-16	$375.37	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$10,482.85
2026-09-15	$375.94	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$10,482.85
2026-09-14	$383.64	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$10,482.85