All Symbols
WMT
15 runs · 2025-04-10 → 2026-06-09
Best Return
+8.2%
Best Alpha
+8.0pp
LLM Accuracy
71.4%
Total Runs
15
Alpha is the LLM strategy's return minus the buy-&-hold (B&H) return over the same period — how much the model beat simply holding the stock. +101.5 pp means the strategy outperformed buy-&-hold by 101.5 percentage points (pp = percentage points).
Next Trading Day Prediction
WAIT
Predicted for: 2026-06-10NEUTRALConfidence: 20%
Last close: $118.88
The weekly trend signal is not strong enough to buy, so stay out of the market.
Portfolio Summary
Starting Fund
$10,000.00
Initial Capital
Current Fund
$11,218.65
as of 2026-06-09
Total Gain / Loss
$1,218.65
+12.2%
Current Position
● FLATNo open position
Performance by Month
(latest 6)| Month | Start | End | Return | B&H | Alpha | Trades | Win% | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2026 | $11,218.65 | $11,218.65 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| May 2026 | $12,485.88 | $11,218.65 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Apr 2026 | $11,761.89 | $12,485.88 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Mar 2026 | $11,688.07 | $11,761.89 | +0.6% | -2.8% | +3.5pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Feb 2026 | $10,807.27 | $11,688.07 | +8.2% | +0.2% | +8.0pp | 1 | 100% | Completed |
| Jan 2026 | $10,701.13 | $10,807.27 | +1.0% | +5.7% | -4.7pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
Prediction Accuracy by Model
| Evaluated | Accuracy | BUY Acc. | SELL Acc. | SHORT Acc. | COVER Acc. | WAITs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 71.4% | 71.4% | — | — | — | 14 |
| 132 | 54.5% | 54.8% | 50.0% | — | — | 112 |
| 1 | 0.0% | — | 0.0% | — | — | 9 |
Period Summaries
(all runs combined)| Period | Days | Start | End | P&L | Return | Alpha | Trades | Win% | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-Q2 | 2 | $11,221.49 | $11,218.65 | -$2.84 | -0.0% | -0.0pp | 1 | 0% | -0.0% vs0.0% |
| 2026-Q1 | 61 | $10,701.13 | $11,761.89 | $1,060.76 | +9.9% | -0.3pp | 1 | 100% | 9.9% vs10.2% |
| 2025-Q4 | 64 | $10,637.74 | $10,701.13 | $63.39 | +0.6% | -8.7pp | 3 | 67% | 0.6% vs9.3% |
| 2025-Q3 | 64 | $10,413.74 | $10,637.74 | $224.00 | +2.2% | -2.8pp | 2 | 50% | 2.2% vs4.9% |
| 2025-Q2 | 55 | $10,000.00 | $10,413.74 | $413.74 | +4.1% | -3.8pp | 2 | 50% | 4.1% vs7.9% |
| Date | Close | Rec | Trade Action | Trade P&L | Unrealized | Portfolio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-09 | $118.88 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $11,218.65 |
| 2026-06-08 | $119.83 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $11,218.65 |
| 2026-06-05 | $118.88 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $11,218.65 |
| 2026-06-04 | $117.75 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $11,218.65 |
| 2026-06-03 | $116.94 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $11,218.65 |
| 2026-06-02 | $113.06 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $11,218.65 |
| 2026-06-01 | $114.60 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $11,218.65 |
| 2026-05-29 | $115.75 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $11,218.65 |
| 2026-05-28 | $118.90 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $11,218.65 |
| 2026-05-27 | $118.54 | SELL | SELL | -$469.42 | -$469.42 | $11,218.65 |
| 2026-04-30 | $131.93 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $797.82 | $12,485.88 |
| 2026-04-29 | $128.01 | BUY | HOLD | — | $426.83 | $12,114.89 |
| 2026-04-28 | $127.59 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $387.08 | $12,075.15 |
| 2026-04-27 | $127.59 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $387.08 | $12,075.15 |
| 2026-04-24 | $129.92 | BUY | HOLD | — | $607.59 | $12,295.66 |
| 2026-04-23 | $132.03 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $807.28 | $12,495.35 |
| 2026-04-22 | $129.98 | BUY | HOLD | — | $613.27 | $12,301.34 |
| 2026-04-21 | $129.60 | BUY | HOLD | — | $577.31 | $12,265.37 |
| 2026-04-20 | $127.92 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $418.31 | $12,106.38 |
| 2026-04-17 | $127.50 | BUY | HOLD | — | $378.56 | $12,066.63 |
| 2026-04-16 | $124.82 | BUY | HOLD | — | $124.93 | $11,812.99 |
| 2026-04-15 | $124.76 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $119.25 | $11,807.31 |
| 2026-04-14 | $125.05 | BUY | HOLD | — | $146.69 | $11,834.76 |
| 2026-04-13 | $124.57 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $101.27 | $11,789.33 |
| 2026-04-10 | $126.77 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $309.47 | $11,997.54 |
| 2026-04-09 | $129.13 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $532.82 | $12,220.89 |
| 2026-04-08 | $127.26 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $355.85 | $12,043.91 |
| 2026-04-07 | $122.49 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$95.59 | $11,592.48 |
| 2026-04-06 | $126.79 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $311.37 | $11,999.43 |
| 2026-04-02 | $125.79 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $216.73 | $11,904.79 |