All Symbols
WMT
13 runs · 2025-04-10 → 2026-04-24
Best Return
+8.2%
Best Alpha
+8.0pp
LLM Accuracy
53.1%
Total Runs
13
Alpha is the LLM strategy's return minus the buy-&-hold (B&H) return over the same period — how much the model beat simply holding the stock. +101.5 pp means the strategy outperformed buy-&-hold by 101.5 percentage points (pp = percentage points).
Next Trading Day Prediction
WAIT
Predicted for: 2026-04-27UPConfidence: 40%
Last close: $130.06
There are some positive signs in the market trend, but the signals aren't strong enough to recommend buying right now.
Portfolio Summary
Starting Fund
$10,000.00
Initial Capital
Current Fund
$12,013.10
as of 2026-04-24
Total Gain / Loss
$2,013.10
+20.1%
Current Position
● LONG HOLDINGEntry $127.50 · 92.4653 sharesOpen P&L: $223.77
Performance by Month
(latest 6)| Month | Start | End | Return | B&H | Alpha | Trades | Win% | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2026 | $11,761.89 | $12,013.10 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Mar 2026 | $11,688.07 | $11,761.89 | +0.6% | -2.8% | +3.5pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Feb 2026 | $10,807.27 | $11,688.07 | +8.2% | +0.2% | +8.0pp | 1 | 100% | Completed |
| Jan 2026 | $10,701.13 | $10,807.27 | +1.0% | +5.7% | -4.7pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Dec 2025 | $10,663.50 | $10,701.13 | +0.4% | -0.9% | +1.2pp | 1 | 100% | Completed |
| Nov 2025 | $10,575.81 | $10,663.50 | +0.8% | +8.1% | -7.2pp | 1 | 0% | Completed |
Prediction Accuracy by Model
| Evaluated | Accuracy | BUY Acc. | SELL Acc. | SHORT Acc. | COVER Acc. | WAITs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 145 | 53.1% | 52.9% | 55.6% | — | — | 116 |
Period Summaries
(all runs combined)| Period | Days | Start | End | P&L | Return | Alpha | Trades | Win% | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-Q2 | 8 | $11,761.89 | $11,789.33 | $27.44 | +0.2% | +0.4pp | 1 | 100% | 0.2% vs-0.1% |
| 2026-Q1 | 61 | $10,701.13 | $11,761.89 | $1,060.76 | +9.9% | -0.3pp | 1 | 100% | 9.9% vs10.2% |
| 2025-Q4 | 64 | $10,637.74 | $10,701.13 | $63.39 | +0.6% | -8.7pp | 3 | 67% | 0.6% vs9.3% |
| 2025-Q3 | 64 | $10,413.74 | $10,637.74 | $224.00 | +2.2% | -2.8pp | 2 | 50% | 2.2% vs4.9% |
| 2025-Q2 | 55 | $10,000.00 | $10,413.74 | $413.74 | +4.1% | -3.8pp | 2 | 50% | 4.1% vs7.9% |
| Date | Close | Rec | Trade Action | Trade P&L | Unrealized | Portfolio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-24 | $129.92 | BUY | HOLD | — | $223.77 | $12,013.10 |
| 2026-04-23 | $132.03 | BUY | HOLD | — | $418.87 | $12,208.20 |
| 2026-04-22 | $129.98 | BUY | HOLD | — | $229.31 | $12,018.65 |
| 2026-04-21 | $129.60 | BUY | HOLD | — | $194.18 | $11,983.51 |
| 2026-04-20 | $127.92 | BUY | HOLD | — | $38.84 | $11,828.17 |
| 2026-04-17 | $127.50 | BUY | BUY | — | $0.00 | $11,789.33 |
| 2026-04-16 | $124.82 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $11,789.33 |
| 2026-04-15 | $124.76 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $11,789.33 |
| 2026-04-14 | $125.05 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $11,789.33 |
| 2026-04-13 | $124.57 | SELL | SELL | $101.27 | $101.27 | $11,789.33 |
| 2026-04-10 | $126.77 | BUY | HOLD | — | $309.47 | $11,997.54 |
| 2026-04-09 | $129.13 | BUY | HOLD | — | $532.82 | $12,220.89 |
| 2026-04-08 | $127.26 | BUY | HOLD | — | $355.85 | $12,043.91 |
| 2026-04-07 | $122.49 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$95.59 | $11,592.48 |
| 2026-04-06 | $126.79 | BUY | HOLD | — | $311.37 | $11,999.43 |
| 2026-04-02 | $125.79 | BUY | HOLD | — | $216.73 | $11,904.79 |
| 2026-04-01 | $124.74 | BUY | HOLD | — | $117.35 | $11,805.42 |
| 2026-03-31 | $124.28 | BUY | HOLD | — | $73.82 | $11,761.89 |
| 2026-03-30 | $123.50 | BUY | BUY | — | $0.00 | $11,688.07 |
| 2026-03-27 | $122.89 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $11,688.07 |
| 2026-03-26 | $122.18 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $11,688.07 |
| 2026-03-25 | $123.06 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $11,688.07 |
| 2026-03-24 | $122.05 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $11,688.07 |
| 2026-03-23 | $120.72 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $11,688.07 |
| 2026-03-20 | $119.02 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $11,688.07 |
| 2026-03-19 | $121.09 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $11,688.07 |
| 2026-03-18 | $121.98 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $11,688.07 |
| 2026-03-17 | $125.08 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $11,688.07 |
| 2026-03-16 | $125.99 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $11,688.07 |
| 2026-03-13 | $126.52 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $11,688.07 |