All Symbols
WMT
18 runs · 2025-04-10 → 2026-09-09
Best Return
+8.2%
Best Alpha
+8.0pp
LLM Accuracy
71.4%
Total Runs
18
Alpha is the LLM strategy's return minus the buy-&-hold (B&H) return over the same period — how much the model beat simply holding the stock. +101.5 pp means the strategy outperformed buy-&-hold by 101.5 percentage points (pp = percentage points).
Next Trading Day Prediction
WAIT
Predicted for: 2026-09-10NEUTRALConfidence: 20%
Last close: $105.83
The weekly signal is not confirming a move, so we stay out of the market.
Portfolio Summary
Starting Fund
$10,000.00
Initial Capital
Current Fund
$10,188.93
as of 2026-09-09
Total Gain / Loss
$188.93
+1.9%
Current Position
● FLATNo open position
Performance by Month
(latest 6)| Month | Start | End | Return | B&H | Alpha | Trades | Win% | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2026 | $10,188.93 | $10,188.93 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Aug 2026 | $11,218.65 | $10,188.93 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Jul 2026 | $11,218.65 | $11,218.65 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Jun 2026 | $11,218.65 | $11,218.65 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| May 2026 | $12,485.88 | $11,218.65 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Apr 2026 | $11,761.89 | $12,485.88 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
Prediction Accuracy by Model
| Evaluated | Accuracy | BUY Acc. | SELL Acc. | SHORT Acc. | COVER Acc. | WAITs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 71.4% | 71.4% | — | — | — | 14 |
| 132 | 54.5% | 54.8% | 50.0% | — | — | 112 |
| 3 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 50.0% | — | — | 70 |
Period Summaries
(all runs combined)| Period | Days | Start | End | P&L | Return | Alpha | Trades | Win% | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-Q3 | 3 | $11,218.65 | $10,188.93 | -$1,029.72 | -9.2% | -9.2pp | 0 | — | -9.2% vs0.0% |
| 2026-Q2 | 2 | $11,221.49 | $11,218.65 | -$2.84 | -0.0% | -0.0pp | 1 | 0% | -0.0% vs0.0% |
| 2026-Q1 | 61 | $10,701.13 | $11,761.89 | $1,060.76 | +9.9% | -0.3pp | 1 | 100% | 9.9% vs10.2% |
| 2025-Q4 | 64 | $10,637.74 | $10,701.13 | $63.39 | +0.6% | -8.7pp | 3 | 67% | 0.6% vs9.3% |
| 2025-Q3 | 64 | $10,413.74 | $10,637.74 | $224.00 | +2.2% | -2.8pp | 2 | 50% | 2.2% vs4.9% |
| 2025-Q2 | 55 | $10,000.00 | $10,413.74 | $413.74 | +4.1% | -3.8pp | 2 | 50% | 4.1% vs7.9% |
| Date | Close | Rec | Trade Action | Trade P&L | Unrealized | Portfolio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | $105.83 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $10,188.93 |
| 2026-09-08 | $106.08 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $10,188.93 |
| 2026-09-04 | $107.14 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $10,188.93 |
| 2026-09-03 | $108.42 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $10,188.93 |
| 2026-09-02 | $106.09 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $10,188.93 |
| 2026-09-01 | $105.92 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $10,188.93 |
| 2026-08-31 | $104.87 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $10,188.93 |
| 2026-08-28 | $103.09 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $10,188.93 |
| 2026-08-27 | $102.63 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $10,188.93 |
| 2026-08-26 | $104.34 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $10,188.93 |
| 2026-08-25 | $105.38 | SELL | SELL | -$1,029.72 | -$1,029.72 | $10,188.93 |
| 2026-08-24 | $106.53 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$918.53 | $10,300.12 |
| 2026-08-21 | $103.70 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$1,192.16 | $10,026.49 |
| 2026-08-20 | $103.84 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$1,178.62 | $10,040.03 |
| 2026-08-19 | $114.30 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$167.27 | $11,051.38 |
| 2026-08-18 | $115.20 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$80.25 | $11,138.40 |
| 2026-08-17 | $114.33 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$164.37 | $11,054.28 |
| 2026-08-14 | $115.27 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$73.48 | $11,145.17 |
| 2026-08-13 | $115.72 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$29.97 | $11,188.68 |
| 2026-08-12 | $116.03 | BUY | BUY | — | $0.00 | $11,218.65 |
| 2026-08-11 | $113.26 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $11,218.65 |
| 2026-08-10 | $112.66 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $11,218.65 |
| 2026-08-07 | $111.85 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $11,218.65 |
| 2026-08-06 | $112.07 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $11,218.65 |
| 2026-08-05 | $112.34 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $11,218.65 |
| 2026-08-04 | $111.55 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $11,218.65 |
| 2026-08-03 | $110.71 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $11,218.65 |
| 2026-07-31 | $111.20 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $11,218.65 |
| 2026-07-30 | $111.09 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $11,218.65 |
| 2026-07-29 | $114.23 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $11,218.65 |