All Symbols
WMT
19 runs · 2025-04-10 → 2026-10-23
Best Return
+8.2%
Best Alpha
+8.0pp
LLM Accuracy
71.4%
Total Runs
19
Alpha is the LLM strategy's return minus the buy-&-hold (B&H) return over the same period — how much the model beat simply holding the stock. +101.5 pp means the strategy outperformed buy-&-hold by 101.5 percentage points (pp = percentage points).
Next Trading Day Prediction
BUY
Predicted for: 2026-10-26NEUTRALConfidence: 80%
Last close: $119.89
No reason to sell right now, so keep holding the stock.
Portfolio Summary
Starting Fund
$10,000.00
Initial Capital
Current Fund
$10,516.11
as of 2026-10-23
Total Gain / Loss
$516.11
+5.2%
Current Position
● LONG HOLDINGEntry $116.16 · 87.7146 sharesOpen P&L: $327.18
Performance by Month
(latest 6)| Month | Start | End | Return | B&H | Alpha | Trades | Win% | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2026 | $10,188.93 | $10,516.11 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Sep 2026 | $10,188.93 | $10,188.93 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Aug 2026 | $11,218.65 | $10,188.93 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Jul 2026 | $11,218.65 | $11,218.65 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Jun 2026 | $11,218.65 | $11,218.65 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| May 2026 | $12,485.88 | $11,218.65 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
Prediction Accuracy by Model
| Evaluated | Accuracy | BUY Acc. | SELL Acc. | SHORT Acc. | COVER Acc. | WAITs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 71.4% | 71.4% | — | — | — | 14 |
| 7 | 57.1% | 60.0% | 50.0% | — | — | 97 |
| 132 | 54.5% | 54.8% | 50.0% | — | — | 112 |
Period Summaries
(all runs combined)| Period | Days | Start | End | P&L | Return | Alpha | Trades | Win% | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-Q4 | 1 | $10,188.93 | $10,188.93 | $0.00 | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | — | 0.0% vs0.0% |
| 2026-Q3 | 3 | $11,218.65 | $10,188.93 | -$1,029.72 | -9.2% | -9.2pp | 0 | — | -9.2% vs0.0% |
| 2026-Q2 | 2 | $11,221.49 | $11,218.65 | -$2.84 | -0.0% | -0.0pp | 1 | 0% | -0.0% vs0.0% |
| 2026-Q1 | 61 | $10,701.13 | $11,761.89 | $1,060.76 | +9.9% | -0.3pp | 1 | 100% | 9.9% vs10.2% |
| 2025-Q4 | 64 | $10,637.74 | $10,701.13 | $63.39 | +0.6% | -8.7pp | 3 | 67% | 0.6% vs9.3% |
| 2025-Q3 | 64 | $10,413.74 | $10,637.74 | $224.00 | +2.2% | -2.8pp | 2 | 50% | 2.2% vs4.9% |
| 2025-Q2 | 55 | $10,000.00 | $10,413.74 | $413.74 | +4.1% | -3.8pp | 2 | 50% | 4.1% vs7.9% |
| Date | Close | Rec | Trade Action | Trade P&L | Unrealized | Portfolio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-23 | $119.89 | BUY | HOLD | — | $327.18 | $10,516.11 |
| 2026-10-22 | $121.12 | BUY | HOLD | — | $435.06 | $10,623.99 |
| 2026-10-21 | $117.80 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $143.85 | $10,332.78 |
| 2026-10-20 | $117.85 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $148.24 | $10,337.17 |
| 2026-10-19 | $118.70 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $222.80 | $10,411.73 |
| 2026-10-16 | $118.81 | BUY | HOLD | — | $232.44 | $10,421.37 |
| 2026-10-15 | $117.87 | BUY | HOLD | — | $149.99 | $10,338.92 |
| 2026-10-14 | $116.16 | BUY | BUY | — | $0.00 | $10,188.93 |
| 2026-10-13 | $112.28 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $10,188.93 |
| 2026-10-12 | $113.08 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $10,188.93 |
| 2026-10-09 | $111.35 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $10,188.93 |
| 2026-10-08 | $110.56 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $10,188.93 |
| 2026-10-07 | $108.11 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $10,188.93 |
| 2026-10-06 | $107.23 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $10,188.93 |
| 2026-10-05 | $105.10 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $10,188.93 |
| 2026-10-02 | $104.26 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $10,188.93 |
| 2026-10-01 | $104.26 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $10,188.93 |
| 2026-09-30 | $103.92 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $10,188.93 |
| 2026-09-29 | $106.83 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $10,188.93 |
| 2026-09-28 | $108.73 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $10,188.93 |
| 2026-09-25 | $107.98 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $10,188.93 |
| 2026-09-24 | $107.53 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $10,188.93 |
| 2026-09-23 | $110.53 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $10,188.93 |
| 2026-09-22 | $110.12 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $10,188.93 |
| 2026-09-21 | $107.44 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $10,188.93 |
| 2026-09-18 | $106.73 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $10,188.93 |
| 2026-09-17 | $106.79 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $10,188.93 |
| 2026-09-16 | $107.50 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $10,188.93 |
| 2026-09-15 | $108.09 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $10,188.93 |
| 2026-09-14 | $109.08 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $10,188.93 |