All Symbols
WMT
16 runs · 2025-04-10 → 2026-07-24
Best Return
+8.2%
Best Alpha
+8.0pp
LLM Accuracy
71.4%
Total Runs
16
Alpha is the LLM strategy's return minus the buy-&-hold (B&H) return over the same period — how much the model beat simply holding the stock. +101.5 pp means the strategy outperformed buy-&-hold by 101.5 percentage points (pp = percentage points).
Next Trading Day Prediction
WAIT
Predicted for: 2026-07-27NEUTRALConfidence: 20%
Last close: $109.47
The key weekly trend signal is not positive enough to buy or sell, so stay out of the market.
Portfolio Summary
Starting Fund
$10,000.00
Initial Capital
Current Fund
$11,218.65
as of 2026-07-24
Total Gain / Loss
$1,218.65
+12.2%
Current Position
● FLATNo open position
Performance by Month
(latest 6)| Month | Start | End | Return | B&H | Alpha | Trades | Win% | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2026 | $11,218.65 | $11,218.65 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Jun 2026 | $11,218.65 | $11,218.65 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| May 2026 | $12,485.88 | $11,218.65 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Apr 2026 | $11,761.89 | $12,485.88 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Mar 2026 | $11,688.07 | $11,761.89 | +0.6% | -2.8% | +3.5pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Feb 2026 | $10,807.27 | $11,688.07 | +8.2% | +0.2% | +8.0pp | 1 | 100% | Completed |
Prediction Accuracy by Model
| Evaluated | Accuracy | BUY Acc. | SELL Acc. | SHORT Acc. | COVER Acc. | WAITs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 71.4% | 71.4% | — | — | — | 14 |
| 132 | 54.5% | 54.8% | 50.0% | — | — | 112 |
| 1 | 0.0% | — | 0.0% | — | — | 40 |
Period Summaries
(all runs combined)| Period | Days | Start | End | P&L | Return | Alpha | Trades | Win% | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-Q3 | 1 | $11,218.65 | $11,218.65 | $0.00 | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | — | 0.0% vs0.0% |
| 2026-Q2 | 2 | $11,221.49 | $11,218.65 | -$2.84 | -0.0% | -0.0pp | 1 | 0% | -0.0% vs0.0% |
| 2026-Q1 | 61 | $10,701.13 | $11,761.89 | $1,060.76 | +9.9% | -0.3pp | 1 | 100% | 9.9% vs10.2% |
| 2025-Q4 | 64 | $10,637.74 | $10,701.13 | $63.39 | +0.6% | -8.7pp | 3 | 67% | 0.6% vs9.3% |
| 2025-Q3 | 64 | $10,413.74 | $10,637.74 | $224.00 | +2.2% | -2.8pp | 2 | 50% | 2.2% vs4.9% |
| 2025-Q2 | 55 | $10,000.00 | $10,413.74 | $413.74 | +4.1% | -3.8pp | 2 | 50% | 4.1% vs7.9% |
| Date | Close | Rec | Trade Action | Trade P&L | Unrealized | Portfolio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $109.47 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $11,218.65 |
| 2026-07-23 | $108.38 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $11,218.65 |
| 2026-07-22 | $109.34 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $11,218.65 |
| 2026-07-21 | $110.36 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $11,218.65 |
| 2026-07-20 | $112.20 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $11,218.65 |
| 2026-07-17 | $114.24 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $11,218.65 |
| 2026-07-16 | $114.95 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $11,218.65 |
| 2026-07-15 | $112.52 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $11,218.65 |
| 2026-07-14 | $113.70 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $11,218.65 |
| 2026-07-13 | $114.78 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $11,218.65 |
| 2026-07-10 | $113.90 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $11,218.65 |
| 2026-07-09 | $112.21 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $11,218.65 |
| 2026-07-08 | $113.10 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $11,218.65 |
| 2026-07-07 | $111.54 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $11,218.65 |
| 2026-07-06 | $110.65 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $11,218.65 |
| 2026-07-02 | $111.84 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $11,218.65 |
| 2026-07-01 | $108.82 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $11,218.65 |
| 2026-06-30 | $113.19 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $11,218.65 |
| 2026-06-29 | $114.60 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $11,218.65 |
| 2026-06-26 | $115.69 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $11,218.65 |
| 2026-06-25 | $115.78 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $11,218.65 |
| 2026-06-24 | $119.01 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $11,218.65 |
| 2026-06-23 | $119.46 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $11,218.65 |
| 2026-06-22 | $117.18 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $11,218.65 |
| 2026-06-18 | $117.21 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $11,218.65 |
| 2026-06-17 | $118.17 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $11,218.65 |
| 2026-06-16 | $121.03 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $11,218.65 |
| 2026-06-15 | $120.82 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $11,218.65 |
| 2026-06-12 | $121.04 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $11,218.65 |
| 2026-06-11 | $120.50 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $11,218.65 |