All Symbols
WMT
27 runs · 2024-01-02 → 2026-03-11
Best Return
+13.6%
Best Alpha
+7.3pp
LLM Accuracy
58.4%
Total Runs
27
Alpha is the LLM strategy's return minus the buy-&-hold (B&H) return over the same period — how much the model beat simply holding the stock. +101.5 pp means the strategy outperformed buy-&-hold by 101.5 percentage points (pp = percentage points).
Next Trading Day Prediction
WAIT
Predicted for: 2026-03-12NEUTRALConfidence: 30%
Last close: $123.49
The key trend indicators aren't showing enough strength to buy, so no action is recommended.
Performance by Month
(latest 6)| Month | Start | End | Return | B&H | Alpha | Trades | Win% | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2026 | $16,754.28 | $16,754.28 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Feb 2026 | $16,616.36 | $16,754.28 | +0.8% | +0.2% | +0.6pp | 1 | 100% | Completed |
| Jan 2026 | $17,000.55 | $16,616.36 | -2.3% | +5.7% | -8.0pp | 1 | 0% | Completed |
| Dec 2025 | $16,804.28 | $17,000.55 | +1.2% | -0.7% | +1.9pp | 1 | 100% | Completed |
| Nov 2025 | $14,841.87 | $16,804.28 | +13.2% | +8.1% | +5.2pp | 1 | 100% | Completed |
| Oct 2025 | $15,104.23 | $14,841.87 | -1.7% | -0.5% | -1.2pp | 1 | 0% | Completed |
Prediction Accuracy by Model
| Evaluated | Accuracy | BUY Acc. | SELL Acc. | WAITs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 255 | 58.4% | 59.0% | 52.4% | 294 |
Period Summaries
(all runs combined)| Period | Days | Start | End | P&L | Return | Alpha | Trades | Win% | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-Q4 | 64 | $15,104.23 | $17,000.55 | $1,896.32 | +12.6% | +3.1pp | 3 | 67% | 12.6% vs9.5% |
| 2025-Q3 | 64 | $14,377.55 | $15,104.23 | $726.68 | +5.1% | -0.1pp | 3 | 67% | 5.1% vs5.2% |
| 2025-Q2 | 62 | $13,673.40 | $14,377.55 | $704.15 | +5.1% | -5.2pp | 2 | 100% | 5.1% vs10.3% |
| 2025-Q1 | 60 | $12,792.02 | $13,673.40 | $881.38 | +6.9% | +9.1pp | 1 | 100% | 6.9% vs-2.2% |
| 2024-Q4 | 64 | $12,006.03 | $12,792.02 | $785.99 | +6.5% | -4.9pp | 2 | 100% | 6.5% vs11.4% |
| 2024-Q3 | 64 | $10,722.03 | $12,006.03 | $1,284.00 | +12.0% | -8.0pp | 3 | 33% | 12.0% vs20.0% |
| 2024-Q2 | 63 | $10,941.06 | $10,722.03 | -$219.03 | -2.0% | -15.2pp | 3 | 0% | -2.0% vs13.2% |
| 2024-Q1 | 61 | $10,000.00 | $10,941.06 | $941.06 | +9.4% | -2.1pp | 2 | 100% | 9.4% vs11.6% |
| Date | Close | Rec | Trade Action | Trade P&L | Unrealized | Portfolio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-11 | $123.49 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,754.28 |
| 2026-03-10 | $125.12 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,754.28 |
| 2026-03-09 | $124.34 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,754.28 |
| 2026-03-06 | $123.80 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,754.28 |
| 2026-03-05 | $123.31 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,754.28 |
| 2026-03-04 | $127.81 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,754.28 |
| 2026-03-03 | $127.91 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,754.28 |
| 2026-03-02 | $127.10 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,754.28 |
| 2026-02-27 | $127.95 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,754.28 |
| 2026-02-26 | $124.42 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,754.28 |
| 2026-02-25 | $125.75 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,754.28 |
| 2026-02-24 | $126.75 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,754.28 |
| 2026-02-23 | $125.81 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,754.28 |
| 2026-02-20 | $122.99 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,754.28 |
| 2026-02-19 | $124.87 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,754.28 |
| 2026-02-18 | $126.62 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,754.28 |
| 2026-02-17 | $128.85 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,754.28 |
| 2026-02-13 | $133.89 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,754.28 |
| 2026-02-12 | $133.64 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,754.28 |
| 2026-02-11 | $128.77 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,754.28 |
| 2026-02-10 | $126.70 | SELL | SELL | $137.92 | $137.92 | $16,754.28 |
| 2026-02-09 | $129.02 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$131.41 | $16,484.95 |
| 2026-02-06 | $131.18 | BUY | HOLD | — | $170.44 | $16,786.80 |
| 2026-02-05 | $126.94 | BUY | HOLD | — | $451.48 | $17,067.84 |
| 2026-02-04 | $128.00 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$100.18 | $16,516.17 |
| 2026-02-03 | $127.71 | BUY | HOLD | — | $37.73 | $16,654.09 |
| 2026-02-02 | $124.06 | BUY | BUY | — | $0.00 | $16,616.36 |
| 2026-01-30 | $119.14 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,616.36 |
| 2026-01-29 | $117.41 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,616.36 |
| 2026-01-28 | $116.57 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $16,616.36 |