XOM

18 runs · 2025-05-02 → 2026-10-23

Best Return

+11.3%

Best Alpha

+1.7pp

LLM Accuracy

100.0%

Total Runs

Alpha is the LLM strategy's return minus the buy-&-hold (B&H) return over the same period — how much the model beat simply holding the stock. +101.5 pp means the strategy outperformed buy-&-hold by 101.5 percentage points (pp = percentage points).

Next Trading Day Prediction

BUY

Predicted for: 2026-10-26UPConfidence: 80%

Last close: $183.21

We are already long and there is no reason to sell right now, so stay in the position.

Portfolio Summary

Starting Fund

$10,000.00

Initial Capital

Current Fund

$14,374.39

as of 2026-10-23

Total Gain / Loss

$4,374.39

+43.7%

Current Position

● LONG HOLDINGEntry $168.56 · 78.4586 sharesOpen P&L: $1,149.42

Performance by Month

(latest 6)

Month	Start	End	Return	B&H	Alpha	Win%	Status
Oct 2026	$13,144.28	$14,374.39	+0.0%	+0.0%	+0.0pp	0%	Completed
Sep 2026	$12,965.69	$13,144.28	+0.0%	+0.0%	+0.0pp	0%	Completed
Aug 2026	$12,901.81	$12,965.69	+0.0%	+0.0%	+0.0pp	0%	Completed
Jul 2026	$11,998.46	$12,901.81	+0.0%	+0.0%	+0.0pp	0%	Completed
Jun 2026	$11,998.46	$11,998.46	+0.0%	+0.0%	+0.0pp	0%	Completed
May 2026	$11,998.46	$11,998.46	+0.0%	+0.0%	+0.0pp	0%	Completed

Prediction Accuracy by Model

Evaluated	Accuracy	BUY Acc.	SELL Acc.	SHORT Acc.	COVER Acc.	WAITs
1	100.0%	—	100.0%	—	—	20
42	64.3%	64.3%	—	—	—	187
46	54.3%	54.3%	—	—	—	58

Period Summaries

(all runs combined)

Period	Days	Start	End	P&L	Return	Alpha	Win%	vs B&H
2026-Q4	1	$13,144.28	$13,208.04	$63.76	+0.5%	+0.5pp	—	0.5% vs 0.0%
2026-Q3	3	$11,998.46	$13,247.59	$1,249.13	+10.4%	+10.4pp	—	10.4% vs 0.0%
2026-Q2	2	$11,386.08	$11,998.46	$612.38	+5.4%	+5.4pp	—	5.4% vs 0.0%
2026-Q1	61	$10,000.00	$13,030.72	$3,030.72	+30.3%	-8.0pp	—	30.3% vs 38.3%
2025-Q4	64	$10,000.00	$10,000.00	$0.00	+0.0%	-7.5pp	—	0.0% vs 7.5%
2025-Q3	64	$10,000.00	$10,000.00	$0.00	+0.0%	-3.2pp	—	0.0% vs 3.2%
2025-Q2	40	$10,000.00	$10,000.00	$0.00	+0.0%	-1.5pp	—	0.0% vs 1.5%

Latest 30 Trading Days

(most recent)View all →

Date	Close	Rec	Trade Action	Trade P&L	Unrealized	Portfolio
2026-10-23	$183.21	BUY	HOLD	—	$1,149.42	$14,374.39
2026-10-22	$178.20	BUY	HOLD	—	$756.34	$13,981.31
2026-10-21	$178.10	BUY	HOLD	—	$748.49	$13,973.47
2026-10-20	$177.87	BUY	HOLD	—	$730.45	$13,955.42
2026-10-19	$178.28	BUY	HOLD	—	$762.22	$13,987.20
2026-10-16	$178.98	BUY	HOLD	—	$817.54	$14,042.51
2026-10-15	$174.70	BUY	HOLD	—	$481.74	$13,706.71
2026-10-14	$177.05	BUY	HOLD	—	$666.11	$13,891.09
2026-10-13	$174.13	BUY	HOLD	—	$437.01	$13,661.99
2026-10-12	$172.14	BUY	HOLD	—	$280.88	$13,505.86
2026-10-09	$168.94	BUY	HOLD	—	$29.81	$13,254.79
2026-10-08	$168.56	BUY	BUY	—	$0.00	$13,224.97
2026-10-07	$164.06	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$13,224.97
2026-10-06	$164.48	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$13,224.97
2026-10-05	$164.00	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$13,224.97
2026-10-02	$164.01	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$13,224.97
2026-10-01	$163.88	BUY	HOLD	—	-$30.67	$13,224.97
2026-09-30	$162.88	WAIT	HOLD	—	-$111.36	$13,144.28
2026-09-29	$161.36	BUY	HOLD	—	-$234.03	$13,021.61
2026-09-28	$162.53	BUY	HOLD	—	-$139.61	$13,116.03
2026-09-25	$160.59	BUY	HOLD	—	-$296.17	$12,959.47
2026-09-24	$162.12	BUY	HOLD	—	-$172.70	$13,082.94
2026-09-23	$161.28	BUY	HOLD	—	-$240.48	$13,015.16
2026-09-22	$158.69	WAIT	HOLD	—	-$449.49	$12,806.15
2026-09-21	$158.40	WAIT	HOLD	—	-$472.90	$12,782.74
2026-09-18	$163.54	BUY	HOLD	—	-$58.10	$13,197.54
2026-09-17	$163.30	WAIT	HOLD	—	-$77.47	$13,178.17
2026-09-16	$163.35	BUY	HOLD	—	-$73.84	$13,181.80
2026-09-15	$169.28	WAIT	HOLD	—	$405.11	$13,660.75
2026-09-14	$165.07	BUY	HOLD	—	$65.37	$13,321.01