All Symbols
XOM
17 runs · 2025-05-02 → 2026-09-09
Best Return
+11.3%
Best Alpha
+1.7pp
LLM Accuracy
100.0%
Total Runs
17
Alpha is the LLM strategy's return minus the buy-&-hold (B&H) return over the same period — how much the model beat simply holding the stock. +101.5 pp means the strategy outperformed buy-&-hold by 101.5 percentage points (pp = percentage points).
Next Trading Day Prediction
BUY
Predicted for: 2026-09-10UPConfidence: 70%
Last close: $164.26
The trading rules show a clear buy signal today so we should open a long position.
Portfolio Summary
Starting Fund
$10,000.00
Initial Capital
Current Fund
$13,255.64
as of 2026-09-09
Total Gain / Loss
$3,255.64
+32.6%
Current Position
● LONG HOLDINGEntry $164.26 · 80.6991 sharesOpen P&L: $0.00
Performance by Month
(latest 6)| Month | Start | End | Return | B&H | Alpha | Trades | Win% | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2026 | $12,965.69 | $13,255.64 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Aug 2026 | $12,901.81 | $12,965.69 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Jul 2026 | $11,998.46 | $12,901.81 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Jun 2026 | $11,998.46 | $11,998.46 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| May 2026 | $11,998.46 | $11,998.46 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 0 | 0% | Completed |
| Apr 2026 | $13,030.72 | $11,998.46 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0pp | 1 | 100% | Completed |
Prediction Accuracy by Model
| Evaluated | Accuracy | BUY Acc. | SELL Acc. | SHORT Acc. | COVER Acc. | WAITs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 100.0% | — | 100.0% | — | — | 20 |
| 42 | 64.3% | 64.3% | — | — | — | 187 |
| 23 | 47.8% | 47.8% | — | — | — | 49 |
Period Summaries
(all runs combined)| Period | Days | Start | End | P&L | Return | Alpha | Trades | Win% | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-Q3 | 3 | $11,998.46 | $13,247.59 | $1,249.13 | +10.4% | +10.4pp | 0 | — | 10.4% vs0.0% |
| 2026-Q2 | 2 | $11,386.08 | $11,998.46 | $612.38 | +5.4% | +5.4pp | 0 | — | 5.4% vs0.0% |
| 2026-Q1 | 61 | $10,000.00 | $13,030.72 | $3,030.72 | +30.3% | -8.0pp | 0 | — | 30.3% vs38.3% |
| 2025-Q4 | 64 | $10,000.00 | $10,000.00 | $0.00 | +0.0% | -7.5pp | 0 | — | 0.0% vs7.5% |
| 2025-Q3 | 64 | $10,000.00 | $10,000.00 | $0.00 | +0.0% | -3.2pp | 0 | — | 0.0% vs3.2% |
| 2025-Q2 | 40 | $10,000.00 | $10,000.00 | $0.00 | +0.0% | -1.5pp | 0 | — | 0.0% vs1.5% |
| Date | Close | Rec | Trade Action | Trade P&L | Unrealized | Portfolio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | $164.26 | BUY | BUY | — | $0.00 | $13,255.64 |
| 2026-09-08 | $160.71 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,255.64 |
| 2026-09-04 | $159.47 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,255.64 |
| 2026-09-03 | $162.25 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,255.64 |
| 2026-09-02 | $164.19 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $13,255.64 |
| 2026-09-01 | $164.58 | BUY | HOLD | — | $386.20 | $13,255.64 |
| 2026-08-31 | $160.98 | BUY | HOLD | — | $96.25 | $12,965.69 |
| 2026-08-28 | $156.71 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$247.67 | $12,621.77 |
| 2026-08-27 | $156.45 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$268.61 | $12,600.83 |
| 2026-08-26 | $158.20 | WAIT | HOLD | — | -$127.66 | $12,741.78 |
| 2026-08-25 | $160.63 | BUY | HOLD | — | $68.06 | $12,937.50 |
| 2026-08-24 | $163.93 | BUY | HOLD | — | $333.85 | $13,203.29 |
| 2026-08-21 | $165.11 | BUY | HOLD | — | $428.89 | $13,298.33 |
| 2026-08-20 | $166.33 | BUY | HOLD | — | $526.75 | $13,396.19 |
| 2026-08-19 | $164.79 | BUY | HOLD | — | $403.11 | $13,272.55 |
| 2026-08-18 | $165.61 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $469.16 | $13,338.60 |
| 2026-08-17 | $161.51 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $138.94 | $13,008.38 |
| 2026-08-14 | $160.10 | BUY | HOLD | — | $25.37 | $12,894.81 |
| 2026-08-13 | $158.67 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$89.80 | $12,779.64 |
| 2026-08-12 | $159.77 | BUY | HOLD | — | -$1.21 | $12,868.23 |
| 2026-08-11 | $159.80 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $1.21 | $12,870.65 |
| 2026-08-10 | $159.79 | BUY | BUY | — | $0.00 | $12,869.44 |
| 2026-08-07 | $153.04 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,869.44 |
| 2026-08-06 | $154.86 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,869.44 |
| 2026-08-05 | $151.62 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,869.44 |
| 2026-08-04 | $153.95 | WAIT | SKIP | — | $0.00 | $12,869.44 |
| 2026-08-03 | $155.05 | WAIT | HOLD | — | $870.98 | $12,869.44 |
| 2026-07-31 | $155.44 | BUY | HOLD | — | $903.35 | $12,901.81 |
| 2026-07-30 | $157.08 | BUY | HOLD | — | $1,039.47 | $13,037.93 |
| 2026-07-29 | $156.82 | BUY | HOLD | — | $1,017.89 | $13,016.35 |