XOM

15 runs · 2025-05-02 → 2026-07-24

Best Return

+11.3%

Best Alpha

+1.7pp

LLM Accuracy

100.0%

Total Runs

Alpha is the LLM strategy's return minus the buy-&-hold (B&H) return over the same period — how much the model beat simply holding the stock. +101.5 pp means the strategy outperformed buy-&-hold by 101.5 percentage points (pp = percentage points).

Next Trading Day Prediction

BUY

Predicted for: 2026-07-27UPConfidence: 80%

Last close: $156.94

No reason to sell yet, so stay in the long position.

Portfolio Summary

Starting Fund

$10,000.00

Initial Capital

Current Fund

$13,026.31

as of 2026-07-24

Total Gain / Loss

$3,026.31

+30.3%

Current Position

● LONG HOLDINGEntry $144.56 · 83.0019 sharesOpen P&L: $1,027.85

Performance by Month

(latest 6)

Month	Start	End	Return	B&H	Alpha	Trades	Win%	Status
Jul 2026	$11,998.46	$13,026.31	+0.0%	+0.0%	+0.0pp	0	0%	Completed
Jun 2026	$11,998.46	$11,998.46	+0.0%	+0.0%	+0.0pp	0	0%	Completed
May 2026	$11,998.46	$11,998.46	+0.0%	+0.0%	+0.0pp	0	0%	Completed
Apr 2026	$13,030.72	$11,998.46	+0.0%	+0.0%	+0.0pp	1	100%	Completed
Mar 2026	$11,712.75	$13,030.72	+11.3%	+11.7%	-0.5pp	0	0%	Completed
Feb 2026	$10,860.22	$11,712.75	+7.9%	+6.1%	+1.7pp	0	0%	Completed

Prediction Accuracy by Model

Evaluated	Accuracy	BUY Acc.	SELL Acc.	SHORT Acc.	COVER Acc.	WAITs
1	100.0%	—	100.0%	—	—	20
7	85.7%	85.7%	—	—	—	33
42	64.3%	64.3%	—	—	—	187

Period Summaries

(all runs combined)

Period	Days	Start	End	P&L	Return	Alpha	Win%	vs B&H
2026-Q3	1	$11,998.46	$11,998.46	$0.00	+0.0%	+0.0pp	—	0.0% vs 0.0%
2026-Q2	2	$11,386.08	$11,998.46	$612.38	+5.4%	+5.4pp	—	5.4% vs 0.0%
2026-Q1	61	$10,000.00	$13,030.72	$3,030.72	+30.3%	-8.0pp	—	30.3% vs 38.3%
2025-Q4	64	$10,000.00	$10,000.00	$0.00	+0.0%	-7.5pp	—	0.0% vs 7.5%
2025-Q3	64	$10,000.00	$10,000.00	$0.00	+0.0%	-3.2pp	—	0.0% vs 3.2%
2025-Q2	40	$10,000.00	$10,000.00	$0.00	+0.0%	-1.5pp	—	0.0% vs 1.5%

Latest 30 Trading Days

(most recent)View all →

Date	Close	Rec	Trade Action	Trade P&L	Unrealized	Portfolio
2026-07-24	$156.94	BUY	HOLD	—	$1,027.85	$13,026.31
2026-07-23	$156.91	BUY	HOLD	—	$1,024.95	$13,023.41
2026-07-22	$154.48	BUY	HOLD	—	$823.67	$12,822.13
2026-07-21	$151.72	BUY	HOLD	—	$594.58	$12,593.04
2026-07-20	$148.40	BUY	HOLD	—	$318.93	$12,317.39
2026-07-17	$147.36	BUY	HOLD	—	$232.70	$12,231.16
2026-07-16	$145.96	WAIT	HOLD	—	$116.08	$12,114.54
2026-07-15	$144.49	WAIT	HOLD	—	-$5.52	$11,992.94
2026-07-14	$145.09	BUY	HOLD	—	$44.28	$12,042.74
2026-07-13	$144.56	BUY	BUY	—	$0.00	$11,998.46
2026-07-10	$138.88	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$11,998.46
2026-07-09	$137.37	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$11,998.46
2026-07-08	$140.95	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$11,998.46
2026-07-07	$141.65	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$11,998.46
2026-07-06	$136.50	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$11,998.46
2026-07-02	$137.02	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$11,998.46
2026-07-01	$136.27	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$11,998.46
2026-06-30	$136.48	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$11,998.46
2026-06-29	$136.04	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$11,998.46
2026-06-26	$136.54	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$11,998.46
2026-06-25	$137.52	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$11,998.46
2026-06-24	$136.92	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$11,998.46
2026-06-23	$139.97	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$11,998.46
2026-06-22	$138.47	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$11,998.46
2026-06-18	$137.79	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$11,998.46
2026-06-17	$140.77	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$11,998.46
2026-06-16	$141.87	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$11,998.46
2026-06-15	$140.97	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$11,998.46
2026-06-12	$147.01	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$11,998.46
2026-06-11	$146.51	WAIT	SKIP	—	$0.00	$11,998.46